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309 Windsor Walk SE
D Composite 40.39
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.6/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.3/30.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$242,000

309 Windsor Walk SE · Conyers, GA 30094
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,820 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 216 Days on market
Built 1985 10,018 sqft lot $133/sqft · 9% below area Est $266k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Priced to sell! Welcome home to this beautifully maintained, move-in-ready. Proximity to shopping, dining and schools. offers 3 spacious bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, Adorable Home* Desirable Neighborhood* Great Price*. No HOA.

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1985

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $242k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-88 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $226k (6.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (21.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $190k (21.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.4% in Conyers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#167 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, amenities D.
  • Rockdale County (suburban): math 14% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #136 of 174 in GA (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 386 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 483 units permitted in Rockdale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rockdale County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 216 days — a 12% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $119k; list at $242k implies a 104% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $189,973 (21.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 216 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
5.86%
Cash-on-cash
-1.56%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$266,176
List price
$242,000
Delta
-9.08%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1511 Hillside Dr SE 0.60mi 3/2.5 1,840 (+1%) 4mo $257,000 $140 67
423 Cindy Dr SE 0.27mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,800 (-1%) 17mo $260,000 $144 64
2627 Stanton Rd SE 0.20mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,874 (+3%) 20mo $290,000 $155 62
2368 Ebenezer Rd SE 0.29mi 3/2.0 2,018 (+11%) 8mo $270,000 $134 60
1507 Hillside Dr SE 0.58mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,798 (-1%) 9mo $250,000 $139 58
417 Stanton Ridge Way SE 0.31mi 3/2.5 1,641 (-10%) 18mo $251,000 $153 54
1508 Hillside Dr SE 0.55mi 3/3.0 1,992 (+10%) 5mo $165,000 $83 53
224 Potts Rd SE 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,740 (-4%) 11mo $225,000 $129 52
139 Old Mill Trl SW 0.63mi 3/2.5 1,928 (+6%) 10mo $245,000 $127 52
1600 Sugar Plum Dr SW 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,944 (+7%) 1mo $220,000 $113 52
2617 Laurel Woods Ln SE 0.58mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,035 (+12%) 5mo $250,000 $123 42
2802 Stanton Rd SE 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,612 (-11%) 18mo $254,900 $158 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.16% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.7%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-42,589
Equity at exit
$36,083
10-year hold
IRR
-7.8%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-34,959
Equity at exit
$20,924

Cash invested: $67,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30094

Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
386
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,900 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,269
Tax from tax record
$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
Insurance
$101
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$399
Net cashflow
$-88

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,011
Max offer price $226,482
Occupancy floor 100%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,500
Closing costs
$7,260
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 26 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
359 Cindy Dr SE Conyers, GA 3.0 1.0 1265 $1,326 $1.05 44d 1 0.05mi
337 Windsor Walk SE Conyers, GA 3.0 2.0 1247 $1,695 $1.36 13d 1 0.11mi
325 Morris Ct SE Conyers, GA 3.0 2.0 1256 $1,770 $1.41 44d 1 0.12mi
2641 Rolling Hills Way SE Conyers, GA 3.0 2.0 1452 $1,791 $1.23 13d 1 0.21mi
411 Cindy Dr SE Conyers, GA 3.0 2.0 1424 $1,830 $1.29 2d 1 0.22mi
288 Morris Dr SE Conyers, GA 3.0 2.0 1251 $1,731 $1.38 13d 1 0.25mi
1510 Marshall Ln SE Conyers, GA 4.0 2.0 1525 $2,073 $1.36 44d 1 0.34mi
1576 Cherry Hill Ct SW Conyers, GA 3.0 2.0 1392 $1,450 $1.04 20d 1 0.53mi
2511 Nugget Dr SW Conyers, GA 3.0 2.0 1311 $1,755 $1.34 22d 1 0.53mi
1419 Hillside Pl SE Conyers, GA 4.0 2.0 1536 $1,955 $1.27 5d 1 0.55mi
1616 Cherry Hill Rd SW Conyers, GA 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,639 $1.31 3d 1 0.68mi
1605 Sugar Plum Dr SW Conyers, GA 3.0 2.0 2240 $1,800 $0.80 44d 1 0.75mi
1520 Cherry Hill Rd SW Conyers, GA 4.0 2.0 1686 $2,300 $1.36 4d 1 0.90mi
1477 Cherry Hill Rd SW Conyers, GA 3.0 2.0 1396 $1,725 $1.24 24d 1 0.91mi
2120 Weatherstone Cir SE Conyers, GA 3.0 2.0 2076 $2,250 $1.08 24d 1 0.95mi
2133 Boxwood Cir Conyers, GA 4.0 2.5 2087 $2,250 $1.08 24d 1 0.98mi
661 Greenview Ave SE Conyers, GA 3.0 2.0 1393 $1,700 $1.22 24d 1 1.04mi
2165 Boxwood Cir Conyers, GA 4.0 2.5 2091 $2,250 $1.08 44d 1 1.06mi
619 Lakeridge Cir SE Conyers, GA 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,545 $1.14 20d 1 1.16mi
2146 Miller Chapel Rd SE Conyers, GA 3.0 2.5 1875 $2,265 $1.21 44d 2 1.20mi
595 Lakeridge Cir SE Conyers, GA 3.0 2.0 1304 $1,656 $1.27 5d 1 1.22mi
1825 Parker Rd SE Conyers, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1111 $1,895 $1.71 2d 18 1.34mi
2856 Bay Leaf Dr SE Conyers, GA 3.0 2.0 1296 $2,400 $1.85 24d 1 1.35mi
3131 Goode Rd Conyers, GA 3.0 2.0 1824 $2,000 $1.10 20d 1 1.43mi
1103 Sunset Rd SE , GA 3.0–4.0 2.5 1850 $2,040 $1.10 18d 24 1.45mi
3144 Goode Rd Conyers, GA 3.0 1.5 1468 $1,500 $1.02 44d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $242,000 Active 216 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $242,000 Active 215 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $242,000 Active 214 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $242,000 Active 213 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $242,000 Active 211 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $242,000 Active 207 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $242,000 Active 206 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $242,000 Active 205 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $242,000 Active 202 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $242,000 Active 201 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $242,000 Active 200 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $242,000 Active 199 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $242,000 Active 198 DOM
  14. 2026-05-04
    price $242,000 228-char remark
    Show marketing remark (228 chars)

    Priced to sell! Welcome home to this beautifully maintained, move-in-ready. Proximity to shopping, dining and schools. offers 3 spacious bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, Adorable Home* Desirable Neighborhood* Great Price*. No HOA.

  15. 2026-05-04
    listed $242,000 New 228-char remark
    Show marketing remark (228 chars)

    Priced to sell! Welcome home to this beautifully maintained, move-in-ready. Proximity to shopping, dining and schools. offers 3 spacious bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, Adorable Home* Desirable Neighborhood* Great Price*. No HOA.

  16. 2026-04-30
    historical
  17. 2025-11-14
    listed $249,500 Active 228-char remark
    Show marketing remark (228 chars)

    Priced to sell! Welcome home to this beautifully maintained, move-in-ready. Proximity to shopping, dining and schools. offers 3 spacious bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, Adorable Home* Desirable Neighborhood* Great Price*. No HOA.

  18. 2025-11-14
    listed $249,500 New
    Show marketing remark (228 chars)

    Priced to sell! Welcome home to this beautifully maintained, move-in-ready. Proximity to shopping, dining and schools. offers 3 spacious bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, Adorable Home* Desirable Neighborhood* Great Price*. No HOA.

  19. 2025-11-13
    historical
    Show marketing remark (228 chars)

    Priced to sell! Welcome home to this beautifully maintained, move-in-ready. Proximity to shopping, dining and schools. offers 3 spacious bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, Adorable Home* Desirable Neighborhood* Great Price*. No HOA.

  20. 2025-11-13
    historical $249,500 228-char remark
    Show marketing remark (228 chars)

    Priced to sell! Welcome home to this beautifully maintained, move-in-ready. Proximity to shopping, dining and schools. offers 3 spacious bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, Adorable Home* Desirable Neighborhood* Great Price*. No HOA.

  21. 2003-12-19
    soldstatus $118,800
  22. 1985-10-18
    soldstatus $70,100
  23. 1985-10-18
    soldstatus $70,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,625 · $219/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,625 · $219/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,797
− Mortgage interest
−$13,556
− Property taxes
−$2,625
− Insurance
−$1,210
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,824
− Management
−$1,824
− Depreciation
−$7,040
Taxable loss
−$5,281
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,267
After-tax cash flow
$213/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockdale County
NCES district ID
1304410
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$53,325
Composite
19.42/100
National rank
#8776
State rank
#136 of 174 in GA

Livability — Conyers

Score
67/100
State rank
#167
US rank
#10533

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Rockdale County · 96,534 people
City population
96,534
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
33,731
Household income
$88,530
Rent vs Own
20.5% rent · 79.5% own
Severe rent burden
549.0

Population outlook (Rockdale County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
99,145 people
By 2030
104,558 · +5.5%
By 2040
116,100 · +17.1%
By 2050
127,827 · +28.9%
By 2075
159,113 · +60.5%
By 2100
181,178 · +82.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Black 56% White 29% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Rockdale

2024 margin
Solid D (+47.5) · D 73.4% · R 25.9%
2008→2024 swing
+37.9pp toward D · 2008: 9.6pp · 2024: 47.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+47.5 2020: D+40.8 2016: D+25.9 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+9.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -168.06%
Current HPI
205.627
Rent YoY
▲ 4.16%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+245.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $242,000 FMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $242,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-11-14 Listed $249,500 FMLS
  • 2025-11-14 Listed $249,500 GAMLS
  • 2025-11-13 Coming Soon GAMLS
  • 2025-11-13 Coming Soon $249,500 FMLS
  • 2003-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $118,800 Public Records
  • 1985-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 1985-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $70,100 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,625 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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