102 Baxter St · Daleville, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.8/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Full of character and ready for a new owner’s personal touch! This house sits on a large fenced lot and is ideally located at the end of a dead-end street which enhances privacy. Several mature trees and the wooded property line create a nice buffer from neighboring properties. The original carport was converted into a large living room several years ago and provides a great space for family gatherings. Located out back is a nice sized storage building. The sale also includes the adjoining lot. This house presents the perfect opportunity for any buyer to design and personalize every corner!
Key facts
- Wooded property line
- Large fenced lot
- Dead-end street
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $42 ($510/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (21.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $117k (21.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#278 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
- Daleville City (town): math 9% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #97 of 129 in AL (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Dale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Dale County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 298 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 298 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.21%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $221,013
- List price
- $149,900
- Delta
- -32.18%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 300 Bruer Rd | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,420 (+14%) | 2mo | $159,000 | $112 | 67 |
| 303 Bruer Rd | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,080 (-13%) | 3mo | $157,900 | $146 | 67 |
| 100 Demaria St | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,305 (+5%) | 23mo | $128,000 | $98 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.01×
- Total profit
- $84,270
- Equity at exit
- $135,042
- IRR
- 22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.86×
- Total profit
- $245,884
- Equity at exit
- $291,223
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36322
- Home prices YoY
- 31.4%
- Active inventory
- 41
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,175 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $443/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$247
- Net cashflow
- $42
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $149,900 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $149,900 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $149,900 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-09pricedays on market $149,900 Active 288 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $155,000 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $155,000 Active 283 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $155,000 Active 282 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $155,000 Active 281 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $155,000 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $155,000 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-02-16price $155,000 604-char remark
Show marketing remark (604 chars)
Full of character and ready for a new owner’s personal touch! This house sits on a large fenced lot and is ideally located at the end of a dead-end street which enhances privacy. Several mature trees and the wooded property line create a nice buffer from neighboring properties. The original carport was converted into a large living room several years ago and provides a great space for family gatherings. Located out back is a nice sized storage building. The sale also includes the adjoining lot. This house presents the perfect opportunity for any buyer to design and personalize every corner!
-
2025-11-18price $160,000 604-char remark
Show marketing remark (604 chars)
Full of character and ready for a new owner’s personal touch! This house sits on a large fenced lot and is ideally located at the end of a dead-end street which enhances privacy. Several mature trees and the wooded property line create a nice buffer from neighboring properties. The original carport was converted into a large living room several years ago and provides a great space for family gatherings. Located out back is a nice sized storage building. The sale also includes the adjoining lot. This house presents the perfect opportunity for any buyer to design and personalize every corner!
-
2025-08-25$165,000 Active 604-char remark
Show marketing remark (604 chars)
Full of character and ready for a new owner’s personal touch! This house sits on a large fenced lot and is ideally located at the end of a dead-end street which enhances privacy. Several mature trees and the wooded property line create a nice buffer from neighboring properties. The original carport was converted into a large living room several years ago and provides a great space for family gatherings. Located out back is a nice sized storage building. The sale also includes the adjoining lot. This house presents the perfect opportunity for any buyer to design and personalize every corner!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $443 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $615 · $51/mo
- Expected delta
- +$172/yr (+$14/mo · 38.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,095
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$443
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,128
- − Management
- −$1,128
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable loss
- −$2,110
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$506
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,016/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Daleville City
- NCES district ID
- 0101080
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,865
- Composite
- 19.89/100
- National rank
- #8687
- State rank
- #97 of 129 in AL
Livability — Daleville
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #278
- US rank
- #18463
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Daleville, AL
- County
- Dale County · 7,959 people
- City population
- 7,740
- Metro
- Ozark, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,959
- Household income
- $47,276
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 115.0
Population outlook (Dale County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 46,805 people
- By 2030
- 45,176 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 41,523 · -11.3%
- By 2050
- 37,575 · -19.7%
- By 2075
- 28,931 · -38.2%
- By 2100
- 22,172 · -52.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 23% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · South Korea, China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dale
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.3) · D 23.5% · R 75.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -52.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.3 2020: R+46.3 2016: R+50.4 2012: R+42.2 2008: R+44.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 49.15%
- Current HPI
- 205.6
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Ozark, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
-6.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-16 Price Changed $155,000 WBR
- 2025-11-18 Price Changed $160,000 WBR
- 2025-08-25 Listed $165,000 WBR
Property tax history
+13.3%/yrLatest (2024): $443 · +28.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…