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413 Hedgewood St
D- Composite 38.34
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.3/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.8/10.0

$349,900

413 Hedgewood St · Lehigh Acres, FL 33974
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,600 sqft · Land · 60 Days on market
Built 2025 9,949 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Lot Next To This One On Market Also Mls# 80182296

Key facts

  • New construction
  • Premium upgrades
  • 10 foot ceilings

Tags

NEW CONSTRUCTIONSEMI-CUSTOMPREMIUM UPGRADESOPEN-CONCEPT FLOOR PLAN10 FOOT CEILINGS11 FOOT TRAY CEILING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Pets allowed
  • HOA & community: Non-gated community; No association fee reported

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; Garage door opener; Covered parking for 2 vehicles
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-story; New construction; South-facing
  • Construction: Block, concrete and stucco construction; Shingle roof; New construction
  • Exterior features: Security/high-impact doors; Sprinkler/irrigation system; Patio; Room for pool; Lanai; Screened patio/porch; Porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in oven; Double oven; Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Disposal; Icemaker; Microwave; Refrigerator (with ice maker); Water purifier; Kitchen island; Breakfast bar; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: Guest quarters
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Built-in features; Bathtub; Coffered ceilings; Separate/formal dining room; Dual sinks; French doors/atrium doors; Kitchen island; Multiple shower heads; Custom mirrors; Pantry; Separate shower; Split bedroom floor plan; Unfurnished
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Indoor laundry; Laundry tub

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $350k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-439 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $272k (22.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $204k (41.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $204k (41.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Veterans Park Academy For The Arts (math 41% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,366 of 2,144 statewide, top 64%, 2,133 students, 36% FRL); Oak Hammock Middle School (math 43% / reading 41%, grade D-, #340 of 571 statewide, top 61%, 1,563 students, 56% FRL); Lehigh Senior High School (math 23% / reading 45%, grade F, #394 of 667 statewide, top 60%, 2,476 students, 57% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.7%/yr); 2476 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $37k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $35k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$60k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($339k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $16k; list at $350k implies a 2087% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $203,690 (41.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 42% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.58%
Cap rate
4.79%
Cash-on-cash
-5.38%
DSCR
0.76
GRM
14.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.8%
Equity multiple
2.60×
Total profit
$156,445
Equity at exit
$315,218
10-year hold
IRR
17.7%
Equity multiple
5.81×
Total profit
$471,608
Equity at exit
$679,779

Cash invested: $97,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33974

Home prices YoY
5.8%
Rents YoY
-4.7%
Active inventory
2476
Price-to-rent
14.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,037 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,835
Tax from tax record
$67 /mo · $808/yr
Insurance
$146
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$428
Net cashflow
$-439

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,592
Max offer price $272,366
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-241 -5% $-340 +0% $-439 +5% $-538 +10% $-637
Rent -10% $-600 -5% $-519 +0% $-439 +5% $-358 +10% $-278
Rate -1.0pp $-263 -0.5pp $-350 base $-439 +0.5pp $-530 +1.0pp $-622

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,475
Closing costs
$10,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
548 Knapp St Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1182 $1,565 $1.32 16d 1 0.62mi
558 Nimitz Blvd Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1186 $1,595 $1.34 25d 1 0.68mi
528 Raintree St E Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 3.0 1400 $1,700 $1.21 25d 1 0.77mi
744 Oakridge Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1493 $2,000 $1.34 21d 1 0.83mi
722 La Plata Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1770 $1,900 $1.07 17d 1 0.96mi
804 Gaylord Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1833 $1,875 $1.02 25d 1 0.96mi
758 Worth Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1360 $2,000 $1.47 17d 1 0.98mi
771 Gaylord Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1523 $2,000 $1.31 25d 1 1.01mi
652 Keller St E Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1417 $1,861 $1.31 23d 1 1.13mi
337 Marabou Dr Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1850 $2,300 $1.24 5d 1 1.14mi
335 Parish Dr Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 3.0 2205 $2,390 $1.08 12d 1 1.19mi
711 Nimitz Blvd Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1571 $2,191 $1.39 5d 1 1.30mi
696 Homestead Rd S Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1777 $2,200 $1.24 25d 1 1.31mi
218 Manatee St Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1456 $1,996 $1.37 5d 1 1.33mi
719 Fullerton Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1650 $2,000 $1.21 21d 1 1.33mi
215 Mossrosse St Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1422 $2,011 $1.41 5d 1 1.34mi
736 Barcia St E Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1833 $1,775 $0.97 25d 1 1.42mi
645 Homestead Rd S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1165 $1,700 $1.46 25d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-04-27
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-09
    price $349,900
  3. 2026-03-23
    price $358,000
  4. 2026-02-23
    listed $360,000 Active
  5. 2026-02-19
    historical
  6. 2025-10-20
    price $387,000
  7. 2025-09-07
    listed $395,000 Active
  8. 2006-11-01
    soldstatus $16,000 49-char remark
    Show marketing remark (49 chars)

    Lot Next To This One On Market Also Mls# 80182296

  9. 2006-10-20
    soldstatus $32,000
  10. 2006-10-20
    soldstatus $20,000
  11. 2006-10-05
    price $17,000 49-char remark
    Show marketing remark (49 chars)

    Lot Next To This One On Market Also Mls# 80182296

  12. 2005-06-28
    soldstatus $34,000
  13. 2005-06-21
    soldstatus $26,200
  14. 2005-06-02
    soldstatus $34,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$808 · $67/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,904 · $242/mo
Expected delta
+$2,096/yr (+$175/mo · 259.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,443
− Mortgage interest
−$19,600
− Property taxes
−$808
− Insurance
−$1,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,955
− Management
−$1,955
− Depreciation
−$10,179
Taxable loss
−$11,804
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,833
After-tax cash flow
$-2,434/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lehigh Acres

Score
59/100
State rank
#826
US rank
#20055

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lehigh Acres, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
130,638
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
19,927
Household income
$72,192
Rent vs Own
27.3% rent · 72.7% own
Severe rent burden
434.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 52% Two or more races 31% White 26% Black 18%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 20% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 7% Italian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
32% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
48% English-only · Spanish 43% French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 16.53%
Current HPI
303.3399
Rent YoY
▼ -4.68%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+929.1% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $349,900 FORTMLS
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $358,000 FORTMLS
  • 2026-02-23 Listed $360,000 FORTMLS
  • 2026-02-19 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2025-10-20 Price Changed $387,000 FORTMLS
  • 2025-09-07 Listed $395,000 FORTMLS
  • 2006-11-01 Sold (MLS) $16,000 FORTMLS
  • 2006-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
  • 2006-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
  • 2006-10-05 Price Changed $17,000 FORTMLS
  • 2005-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
  • 2005-06-21 Sold (Public Records) $26,200 Public Records
  • 2005-06-02 Sold (MLS) $34,000 FORTMLS

Property tax history

+25.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $808 · +124.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…