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4226 Floral
B+ Composite 77.9
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,000

4226 Floral · Sacramento, CA 95834
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,536 sqft · Manufactured · 3 Days on market
Built 1980 Est $137k · 35% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to Stadium Club Estates, one of Sacramento's most desirable 55+ manufactured home communities. This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers approximately 1,536 square feet of comfortable living space and has been thoughtfully updated throughout. The spacious floor plan features newer laminate flooring, updated ceiling lighting, higher ceilings in portions of the home, a dining area, and a cozy fireplace that creates a warm and inviting atmosphere. The kitchen has been refreshed with newer cabinets and appliances, while both bathrooms have been updated with newer cabinetry. The spacious primary suite offers a large bedroom and an oversized bathroom designed for comfort and conv

Key facts

  • Newer cabinets
  • Cozy fireplace
  • Updated cabinetry

Tags

NEWER LAMINATE FLOORINGUPDATED CEILING LIGHTINGCOZY FIREPLACEREFRESHED KITCHENNEWER CABINETSUPDATED CABINETRY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Not a land lease (land lease: No); Located in Stadium Club Estates
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Located in a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered parking
  • Security: Leased security system; Fire alarm; Carbon monoxide detector
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electric service (other)
  • Home design: Manufactured in park (double wide); Original and updated/remodeled condition
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Aluminum skirting; Manufacturer: Hlark
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Backyard

Interior

  • Kitchen: No built-in kitchen features listed
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Laminate flooring; Fire alarm; Leased security system; Carbon monoxide detector; Shower stall(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer included; Dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $89k).
  • Cap rate 26.0% vs local median 3.0% in Sacramento — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#218 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, cost of living F.
  • Natomas Unified (urban): math 33% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #155 of 517 in CA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 145 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($101k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A99 (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $89,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.95%
Cap rate
25.96%
Cash-on-cash
70.24%
DSCR
4.13
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$136,704
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4922 N Brookdale Dr #128 0.12mi 2/2.0 1,536 (0%) 5mo $74,900 $49 90
4208 Bouquet Way #38 0.11mi 1/2.0 (-1) 1,560 (+2%) 11mo $152,000 $97 78
4901 Gardendell Rd #84 0.03mi 2/2.0 1,344 (-12%) 5mo $119,000 $89 74
4916 Brookdale Dr #130 0.10mi 2/2.0 1,344 (-12%) 2mo $40,000 $30 73
4203 Bouquet Way 0.13mi 2/2.0 1,440 (-6%) 14mo $120,000 $83 72
4872 Brookdale #163 0.02mi 2/2.0 1,400 (-9%) 16mo $110,000 $79 71
4907 Gardendell Rd #87 0.12mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (-6%) 12mo $145,000 $101 69
4213 Floral Dr #60 0.06mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,680 (+9%) 20mo $164,000 $98 60
4215 Atrium Way #102 0.08mi 2/2.0 1,344 (-12%) 22mo $120,000 $89 57
4211 Brookside Dr #153 0.15mi 2/2.0 1,344 (-12%) 23mo $105,400 $78 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
60.7%
Equity multiple
3.61×
Total profit
$64,989
Equity at exit
$13,270
10-year hold
IRR
64.6%
Equity multiple
6.79×
Total profit
$144,290
Equity at exit
$7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95834

Home prices YoY
-13.2%
Rents YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
145
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,625 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax est. 1.5%
$111 /mo · $1,335/yr
Insurance
$37
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$551
Net cashflow
$1,333

Break-even live

Break-even rent $937
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 44%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 38 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3301 Arena Blvd Sacramento, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 952 $2,300 $2.42 2d 1 0.17mi
4138 Hydo Lake Way Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1954 $3,000 $1.54 18d 1 0.21mi
101 Lily Bay Cir Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1950 $2,900 $1.49 20d 1 0.23mi
4032 Vittoria Ln Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1601 $2,795 $1.75 23d 1 0.27mi
4118 Adriatic Sea Way Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1593 $2,995 $1.88 18d 1 0.34mi
4045 Neapolis Ln Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1811 $2,800 $1.55 3d 1 0.34mi
4237 Malta Island St Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1954 $2,895 $1.48 44d 1 0.36mi
17 Hertford Cir Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1511 $2,450 $1.62 23d 1 0.50mi
17 Advantage Ct Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1394 $2,595 $1.86 44d 1 0.68mi
4470 Saone Walk Sacramento, CA 3.0–4.0 2.5–3.5 1846 $2,595 $1.41 2d 1 0.72mi
4190 E Commerce Way Sacramento, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 940 $2,675 $2.85 2d 20 0.83mi
3635 Poppy Hill Way Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.0 1441 $2,895 $2.01 23d 1 0.84mi
4800 Westlake Pkwy Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.5–2.5 1214 $2,250 $1.85 2d 3 0.90mi
3610 Duckhorn Dr Sacramento, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 927 $2,635 $2.84 2d 29 0.91mi
4800 Westlake Pkwy #3008 Sacramento, CA 2.0 2.0 1304 $2,250 $1.73 44d 1 0.93mi
301 Candela Cir Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1541 $2,750 $1.78 15d 1 0.97mi
3791 E Commerce Way Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 865 $2,970 $3.43 2d 21 1.00mi
3900 E Commerce Way Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.0 1311 $2,600 $1.98 44d 1 1.01mi
3547 Jumilla Way Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.0 1323 $2,650 $2.00 12d 1 1.02mi
620 Candela Cir Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1681 $2,595 $1.54 44d 1 1.03mi
3761 E Commerce Way Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 865 $3,231 $3.74 2d 29 1.04mi
5050 Trouville Ln Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1583 $2,950 $1.86 44d 1 1.15mi
3828 Aircraft Way Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1826 $2,395 $1.31 23d 1 1.15mi
2201 Arena Blvd Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1015 $2,777 $2.74 2d 14 1.18mi
570 Wapello Cir Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1697 $3,000 $1.77 44d 1 1.19mi
4800 Kokomo Dr Sacramento, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.5 1229 $2,906 $2.36 2d 26 1.25mi
260 Wapello Cir Sacramento, CA 3.0 3.0 1697 $2,650 $1.56 7d 1 1.30mi
4101 Innovator Dr Sacramento, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 950 $2,695 $2.84 2d 10 1.30mi
3351 Duckhorn Dr Sacramento, CA 1.0 1.0 981 $2,030 $2.07 2d 8 1.35mi
2442 Buzz Aldrin Way Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1826 $2,795 $1.53 15d 1 1.37mi
2490 Quiet Trail Ln Sacramento, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1113 $2,899 $2.60 2d 14 1.37mi
2445 Buzz Aldrin Way Sacramento, CA 3.0 3.0 1826 $2,995 $1.64 22d 1 1.38mi
2445 Buzz Aldrin Way Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1826 $2,995 $1.64 23d 1 1.38mi
2445 Buzz Aldrin Way Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1826 $2,895 $1.59 4d 1 1.38mi
3301 N Park Dr Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1678 $2,672 $1.59 44d 2 1.38mi
4100 Innovator Dr Sacramento, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 860 $2,990 $3.47 2d 18 1.39mi
4000 Innovator Dr Sacramento, CA 2.0–4.0 2.0–3.0 1403 $2,295 $1.64 15d 1 1.45mi
3065 Touchman St Sacramento, CA 3.0 2.5 1473 $2,395 $1.63 20d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    remarks 699-char remark
  4. 2026-06-15
    listed $89,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone A99 · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 27 unhealthy d/yr today · 33 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,500
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$1,335
− Insurance
−$1,948
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,520
− Management
−$2,520
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$15,603
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,745
After-tax cash flow
$12,257/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Natomas Unified
NCES district ID
0600036
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▲ 13.00%
Median HH income
$67,969
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3457
State rank
#155 of 517 in CA

Livability — Sacramento

Score
71/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#6957

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment B- Housing A Health & safety A- User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sacramento, CA
County
Sacramento County · 1,539,646 people
City population
761,410
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
Population (ZIP)
36,245
Household income
$101,260
Rent vs Own
47.6% rent · 52.4% own
Severe rent burden
1444.0

Population outlook (Sacramento County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,660,763 people
By 2030
1,732,990 · +4.3%
By 2040
1,855,755 · +11.7%
By 2050
1,941,335 · +16.9%
By 2075
2,046,162 · +23.2%
By 2100
1,961,444 · +18.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.78)
Race & ethnicity
Asian 29% Hispanic / Latino 28% White 19% Two or more races 16% Black 15% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Subsaharan African 1% Russian 1%
Foreign-born
30% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
58% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 14% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Sacramento

2024 margin
D (+19.7) · D 58.1% · R 38.4% · Other 3.5%
2008→2024 swing
+0.7pp no change · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 19.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.7 2020: D+25.3 2016: D+23.7 2012: D+16.3 2008: D+19.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -45.12%
Current HPI
295.8305
Rent YoY
▲ 0.82%
Metro
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $89,000 BAREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…