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1233 Oak St NE 8-Plex
B- Composite 68.44
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.6/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,499,990

1233 Oak St NE · St. Petersburg, FL 33701
64 bd · 8.0 ba · 4,938 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1925 4,260 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 8 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

RARE FIND – TIMELESS MEDITERRANEAN MULTIFAMILY INCOME PROPERTY IN OLD NORTHEAST. The iconic “Melrose” is a boutique 8-unit residence located in the highly sought after historic “Old Northeast". This neighborhood is recognized as one of St Petersburg’s top spots to live, work, and play. Nestled in this famous enclave, which boasts red-brick roads, mature oak shade trees, and splendid homes, the Melrose is a landmark property of the area. Mediterranean architecture with global appeal, this grand building enjoys terrific visibility and brilliant curb appeal. The Melrose boasts classic Mediterranean features; thick stucco exterior walls, barrel tile ornate acc

Key facts

  • Onsite coin laundry
  • New roof installed
  • 4,260 sq ft lot

Tags

HISTORIC OLD NORTHEASTMATURE OAK SHADE TREESHEXAGONAL PAVER SIDEWALKVINTAGE HARDWOOD FLOORINGONSITE COIN LAUNDRYNEW ROOF INSTALLED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Tenant pays electricity
  • Financial info: Annual net income: reported
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Has garage (1 garage space, approximately 20x20); Off-street parking available; On-street parking available
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Cable connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Residential income property; Multi-family (5+ units); Single building (The Melrose); Crawlspace foundation
  • Construction: Stucco and frame construction; Built-up roof
  • Exterior features: Lighting; Sidewalk; Storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Gas water heater; Tankless water heater
  • Bedrooms: 8 total bedrooms
  • Flooring: Wood flooring; Linoleum flooring
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen
  • Laundry & utility: Common area laundry room; Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 8 × 8-bed/8.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.50M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $9k ($112k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($24k rent vs $1.50M).
  • Recommended offer: $1.48M (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 2.6% in St. Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.6%/yr); 345 active listings in the ZIP; 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $24,398/mo this rent would consume 398% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 2230% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $45k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $420k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.48M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $525k; list at $1.50M implies a 186% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1,477,490 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.63%
Cap rate
13.76%
Cash-on-cash
26.66%
DSCR
2.19
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.1%
Equity multiple
1.67×
Total profit
$279,891
Equity at exit
$223,653
10-year hold
IRR
23.5%
Equity multiple
2.75×
Total profit
$733,156
Equity at exit
$129,692

Cash invested: $419,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33701

Rents YoY
-3.6%
Active inventory
345
Price-to-rent
41.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$24,398 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$7,866
Tax from tax record
$1,452 /mo · $17,418/yr
Insurance
$625
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$5,124
Net cashflow
$9,332

Break-even live

Break-even rent $12,586
Max offer price $1,499,990
Occupancy floor 57%

8-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (8 units) $24,398

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$374,998
Closing costs
$45,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $1,499,990 Active 20 DOM
  2. 2026-05-07
    status Pending
  3. 2026-04-29
    status Active
  4. 2026-02-19
    status Pending
  5. 2026-02-06
    listed $1,499,990 Active
  6. 2023-07-25
    historical
  7. 2023-04-01
    price $2,249,900
  8. 2023-02-08
    listed $2,599,000 Active
  9. 2005-09-02
    soldstatus $525,000
  10. 2003-06-06
    soldstatus $360,000
  11. 2001-11-01
    soldstatus $130,000
  12. 1999-02-23
    soldstatus $81,000
  13. 1999-01-28
    soldstatus $164,800
  14. 1999-01-28
    soldstatus $164,800
  15. 1998-08-31
    soldstatus $125,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$17,418 · $1,452/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$17,418 · $1,452/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$292,776
− Mortgage interest
−$84,023
− Property taxes
−$17,418
− Insurance
−$7,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$23,422
− Management
−$23,422
− Depreciation
−$43,636
Taxable income
$93,355
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$22,405
After-tax cash flow
$89,576/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pinellas
NCES district ID
1201560
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$46,270
Composite
43.27/100
National rank
#3046
State rank
#31 of 73 in FL

Livability — St. Petersburg

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Petersburg, FL
County
Pinellas County · 939,478 people
City population
249,151
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
18,823
Household income
$73,542
Rent vs Own
60.6% rent · 39.4% own
Severe rent burden
2230.0

Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,027,532 people
By 2030
1,063,586 · +3.5%
By 2040
1,125,020 · +9.5%
By 2050
1,168,637 · +13.7%
By 2075
1,265,188 · +23.1%
By 2100
1,260,357 · +22.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -425.52%
Current HPI
486.3846
Rent YoY
▼ -3.56%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1100.0% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-29 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-19 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-06 Listed $1,499,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-07-25 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-04-01 Price Changed $2,249,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-02-08 Listed $2,599,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $525,000 Public Records
  • 2003-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $360,000 Public Records
  • 2001-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
  • 1999-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records
  • 1999-01-28 Sold (Public Records) $164,800 Public Records
  • 1999-01-28 Sold (Public Records) $164,800 Public Records
  • 1998-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $17,418 · +17.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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