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121464 U.s. 101 None Multi-family
B- Composite 69.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Schools +0.4/10.0

$210,000

121464 U.s. 101 None · Orick, CA 95555
3 bd · None ba · 1,370 sqft · MultiFamily · 21 Days on market
Built 1952 Poor condition 10,018 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

Income potential! The house is a 3 bedroom, 1 1/2 bath with a good size kitchen and living room. The commercial building is configured to be a five unit apartment building and has a roof that is only 4 years old. The potential is here for a steady cash flow.

Key facts

  • Good size kitchen
  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Built 1952

Tags

GOOD SIZE KITCHENFIVE UNIT APARTMENT BUILDINGROOF ONLY 4 YEARS OLD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning listed as commercial

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Private sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Built on approximately 0.23-acre irregular lot
  • Exterior features: Partial fencing; Gravel road access

Interior

  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating
  • Interior features: Total of 5 rooms; Baseboard heating

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/?-bath multifamily listed at $210k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($35k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $210k).
  • Recommended offer: $207k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 52/100 on livability (#1,002 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Watch: cost of living C-, health & safety C-, crime F.
  • Orick Elementary (rural): math 0% / reading 0% proficiency, ranked #1,389 of 1,400 in CA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Orick Elementary (math 10% / reading 50%, 10 students, 100% FRL); Mckinleyville High (math 10% / reading 50%, grade F, #723 of 1,170 statewide, top 64%, 556 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 75% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 0% district-wide (+30 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Orick Elementary average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 188 units permitted in Humboldt County in 2024 (17 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Humboldt County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $206,850 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.64%
Cap rate
23.01%
Cash-on-cash
59.72%
DSCR
3.66
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
64.6%
Equity multiple
4.60×
Total profit
$211,748
Equity at exit
$94,425
10-year hold
IRR
64.1%
Equity multiple
9.38×
Total profit
$492,764
Equity at exit
$145,520

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95555

Active inventory
4
Price-to-rent
15.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,541 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax est. 1.5%
$262 /mo · $3,150/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,164
Net cashflow
$2,926

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,837
Max offer price $210,000
Occupancy floor 42%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $3,071 -5% $2,999 +0% $2,926 +5% $2,854 +10% $2,781
Rent -10% $2,488 -5% $2,707 +0% $2,926 +5% $3,145 +10% $3,364
Rate -1.0pp $3,032 -0.5pp $2,980 base $2,926 +0.5pp $2,872 +1.0pp $2,816

5-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (5 units) $5,541

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $210,000 Active 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $210,000 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-19
    days on market $210,000 Active 18 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $210,000 Active 17 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $210,000 Active 16 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $210,000 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $210,000 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $210,000 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $210,000 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-10
    days on market $210,000 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $210,000 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $210,000 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $210,000 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-06-05
    days on market $210,000 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-06-05
    days on market $210,000 Active 3 DOM
  16. 2026-06-03
    days on market $210,000 Active 2 DOM
  17. 2026-06-01
    remarks 259-char remark
  18. 2026-06-01
    listed $210,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$66,492
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$3,150
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,319
− Management
−$5,319
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable income
$33,781
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$8,107
After-tax cash flow
$27,006/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including landscaping and exterior updates, to improve its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major landscaping — Overgrown vegetation and unkempt lawn
  • Major exterior siding — General lack of maintenance and overgrown vegetation
  • Major interior walls and paint — No visible condition

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping and exterior maintenance — Improves curb appeal and rental potential
  • Both Interior painting and updates — Enhances interior aesthetics and rental appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
landscaping · Overgrown vegetation and unkempt lawn Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · General lack of maintenance and overgrown vegetation Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls and paint · No visible condition Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $45,000–150,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping and exterior maintenance — Improves curb appeal and rental potential
  • Both Interior painting and updates — Enhances interior aesthetics and rental appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Orick Elementary
NCES district ID
0628830
Math proficiency
0% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
0% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$38,017
Composite
4.25/100
National rank
#15032
State rank
#1389 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Orick

Score
52/100
State rank
#1002
US rank
#24838

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C- Crime F Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Orick, CA
Population (ZIP)
349

Population outlook (Humboldt County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
135,550 people
By 2030
134,798 · -0.6%
By 2040
132,222 · -2.5%
By 2050
130,850 · -3.5%
By 2075
128,656 · -5.1%
By 2100
120,238 · -11.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Two or more races 29% Hispanic / Latino 8% Native American 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Slovak 13% Portuguese 5% Lithuanian 5%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Humboldt

2024 margin
Strong D (+28.4) · D 62.0% · R 33.6% · Other 4.5%
2008→2024 swing
+0.2pp no change · 2008: 28.2pp · 2024: 28.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+28.4 2020: D+33.4 2016: D+25.9 2012: D+26.2 2008: D+28.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $210,000 HAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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