178 Paradise N · Leesburg, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.7/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to the 55+ community of Molokai Co-Op Mobile Home Park, where residents enjoy a wide range of amenities. This fully furnished 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home features a screened-in porch with vinyl windows, as well as a spacious Florida Room—perfect for relaxing or entertaining. A new A/C unit was installed in 2021 for added comfort. Don’t miss out—schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Screened in porch
- New a/c unit
- Florida room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Furnished; No lease restrictions reported
- Financial info: Total monthly fees $235; total annual fees $2,820
- HOA & community: HOA (monthly $235) — association approval required; Association amenities include clubhouse, pool, shuffleboard court, laundry, maintenance, cable TV, internet, trash, sewer, common area taxes, management, and escrow reserves; Community features: association-owned recreation, clubhouse, community mailbox, deed restrictions, golf carts allowed, handicap modified access, wheelchair access, buyer approval required; Senior community; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking; Off-street parking; Ground-level carport (1 space)
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Private water source; Private sewer; Public utilities available and connected; Electricity available and connected; Cable available and connected; High-speed internet / BB/HS internet available; Underground utilities; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; One level; South-facing
- Construction: Metal frame and wood frame construction with vinyl siding; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as a double-wide manufactured home
- Exterior features: Covered, screened side porch; Awnings; Rain gutters; Sliding doors; Exterior storage; Irrigation equipment; Landscaped with trees
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floor plan; Split bedroom layout; Thermostat; Walk-in closets; Window treatments (blinds, drapes, rods); Smoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $397 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 4.5% in Leesburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#751 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, amenities F.
- Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 285 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 309 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 309 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.20%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $6,060
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $38,593
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34788
- Home prices YoY
- -18.2%
- Active inventory
- 285
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,862 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$160 /mo · $1,915/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$235
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$391
- Net cashflow
- $397
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $465 | -5% $431 | +0% $397 | +5% $363 | +10% $330 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $250 | -5% $324 | +0% $397 | +5% $471 | +10% $544 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $458 | -0.5pp $428 | base $397 | +0.5pp $366 | +1.0pp $335 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32818 Lake Square Ct #10 Leesburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,200 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 32635 Vista Ave Leesburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1159 | $1,950 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 32629 Vista Ave Leesburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,950 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 32629 Vista Ave Leesburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,850 | $1.23 | 18d | 1 | 0.76mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $235 · $2,820/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $119,900 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,900 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-03-14price $119,900
-
2025-12-30price $120,000
-
2025-08-13$125,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,915 · $160/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,915 · $160/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,339
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,915
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,787
- − Management
- −$1,787
- − HOA
- −$2,820
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $3,227
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$774
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,994/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lake
- NCES district ID
- 1201050
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,632
- Composite
- 42.05/100
- National rank
- #3327
- State rank
- #37 of 73 in FL
Livability — Leesburg
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #751
- US rank
- #16429
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lake County · 364,602 people
- City population
- 70,232
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,137
- Household income
- $54,147
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 406.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 386,640 people
- By 2030
- 417,107 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 476,676 · +23.3%
- By 2050
- 531,296 · +37.4%
- By 2075
- 648,303 · +67.7%
- By 2100
- 698,530 · +80.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% German/W. Germanic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -61.07%
- Current HPI
- 273.6616
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-4.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-14 Price Changed $119,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-30 Price Changed $120,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-13 Listed $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+9.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,915 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…