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7632 Westchester Dr
D- Composite 39.71
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +9.8/10.0
  • Cash flow +9.2/30.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.6/15.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$162,500

7632 Westchester Dr · Belleville, IL 62223
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 81 Days on market
Built 1965 9,583 sqft lot Est $150k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Price Reduced ~ Just a little cleaning up outside with new paint and flooring and you have got yourself a nice home! Large fenced backyard with two sheds that stay for extra storage! Three beds and bath ~ kitchen remodeled in last few years with separate dining area. Come take a look!

Key facts

  • 9,583 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1965

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: No second mortgage indicated

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (Ameren); Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Brick exterior; Architectural shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Front yard; Back yard; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Main-level kitchen (12x9)
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the main level (13x10; 10x10; plus one with unspecified dimensions)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level (9x7)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Living room (17x14); Dining room (10x10); Additional main-level room (14x10)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $162k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-121 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $141k (13.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (16.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (16.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
  • Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Ellis Elem School (math 34% / reading 34%, grade F, #517 of 2,056 statewide, top 28%, 358 students, 0% FRL); Harmony Intermediate Center (math 11% / reading 18%, grade F, #517 of 665 statewide, top 79%, 227 students, 0% FRL); Belleville High School-West (math 19% / reading 26%, grade F, #317 of 693 statewide, top 46%, 2,234 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $54k; list at $162k implies a 204% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $136,287 (16.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
5.40%
Cash-on-cash
-3.19%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$149,600
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
204 Whitehall Ct 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,184 (+8%) 5mo $149,900 $127 65
116 Lynnhaven Dr 0.13mi 3/1.0 1,232 (+12%) 10mo $165,000 $134 62
13 Chamberlain Ct 0.61mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,110 (+1%) 1mo $165,000 $149 60
1218 Express Dr 0.48mi 3/1.5 991 (-10%) 1mo $115,000 $116 58
22 Briarwood Dr 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,100 (0%) 12mo $159,900 $145 57
905 Blue Ridge Dr 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,152 (+5%) 7mo $181,500 $158 56
212 Dorchester Dr 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,150 (+4%) 12mo $125,000 $109 55
311 Chevy Chase Dr 0.74mi 3/2.5 1,176 (+7%) 1mo $245,000 $208 51
928 Werner Rd 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,100 (0%) 14mo $149,900 $136 50
7112 Carr Dr 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,079 (-2%) 18mo $139,500 $129 49
8317 Old Saint Louis Rd 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,060 (-4%) 12mo $180,000 $170 46
7108 Carr Dr 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,152 (+5%) 14mo $144,900 $126 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.5% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.9%
Equity multiple
2.66×
Total profit
$75,325
Equity at exit
$140,499
10-year hold
IRR
19.1%
Equity multiple
5.98×
Total profit
$226,679
Equity at exit
$296,931

Cash invested: $45,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62223

Home prices YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,363 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$852
Tax from tax record
$278 /mo · $3,333/yr
Insurance
$68
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$286
Net cashflow
$-121

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,516
Max offer price $141,134
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-29 -5% $-75 +0% $-121 +5% $-167 +10% $-213
Rent -10% $-229 -5% $-175 +0% $-121 +5% $-67 +10% $-13
Rate -1.0pp $-39 -0.5pp $-80 base $-121 +0.5pp $-163 +1.0pp $-206

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,625
Closing costs
$4,875
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
920 S 74th St Belleville, IL 2.0 1.0 1300 $1,400 $1.08 15d 1 0.42mi
7235 Westfield Plaza Dr Belleville, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0 795 $975 $1.23 5d 1 0.62mi
6105 W Washington St Belleville, IL 3.0 1.5 1120 $1,575 $1.41 26d 1 1.27mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $162,500 Active 81 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $162,500 Active 80 DOM
  3. 2026-06-19
    price $162,500 Active 77 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $174,500 Active 77 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $174,500 Active 76 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $174,500 Active 75 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $174,500 Active 74 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $174,500 Active 72 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $174,500 Active 68 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $174,500 Active 67 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $174,500 Active 66 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $174,500 Active 62 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $174,500 Active 61 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    price $174,500 Active 60 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $174,900 Active 60 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $174,900 Active 59 DOM
  17. 2026-04-03
    listed $175,000 Active
  18. 2026-03-27
    historical $175,000
  19. 2021-05-21
    soldstatus $53,500
  20. 2021-05-03
    soldstatus Closed 285-char remark
    Show marketing remark (285 chars)

    Price Reduced ~ Just a little cleaning up outside with new paint and flooring and you have got yourself a nice home! Large fenced backyard with two sheds that stay for extra storage! Three beds and bath ~ kitchen remodeled in last few years with separate dining area. Come take a look!

  21. 2021-04-07
    status Pending 285-char remark
    Show marketing remark (285 chars)

    Price Reduced ~ Just a little cleaning up outside with new paint and flooring and you have got yourself a nice home! Large fenced backyard with two sheds that stay for extra storage! Three beds and bath ~ kitchen remodeled in last few years with separate dining area. Come take a look!

  22. 2021-04-03
    status Active 285-char remark
    Show marketing remark (285 chars)

    Price Reduced ~ Just a little cleaning up outside with new paint and flooring and you have got yourself a nice home! Large fenced backyard with two sheds that stay for extra storage! Three beds and bath ~ kitchen remodeled in last few years with separate dining area. Come take a look!

  23. 2021-03-26
    status Pending 285-char remark
    Show marketing remark (285 chars)

    Price Reduced ~ Just a little cleaning up outside with new paint and flooring and you have got yourself a nice home! Large fenced backyard with two sheds that stay for extra storage! Three beds and bath ~ kitchen remodeled in last few years with separate dining area. Come take a look!

  24. 2021-03-24
    price $50,000 285-char remark
    Show marketing remark (285 chars)

    Price Reduced ~ Just a little cleaning up outside with new paint and flooring and you have got yourself a nice home! Large fenced backyard with two sheds that stay for extra storage! Three beds and bath ~ kitchen remodeled in last few years with separate dining area. Come take a look!

  25. 2021-03-22
    status Active 285-char remark
    Show marketing remark (285 chars)

    Price Reduced ~ Just a little cleaning up outside with new paint and flooring and you have got yourself a nice home! Large fenced backyard with two sheds that stay for extra storage! Three beds and bath ~ kitchen remodeled in last few years with separate dining area. Come take a look!

  26. 2021-03-01
    historical Active Under Contract 285-char remark
    Show marketing remark (285 chars)

    Price Reduced ~ Just a little cleaning up outside with new paint and flooring and you have got yourself a nice home! Large fenced backyard with two sheds that stay for extra storage! Three beds and bath ~ kitchen remodeled in last few years with separate dining area. Come take a look!

  27. 2021-02-09
    status Active 285-char remark
    Show marketing remark (285 chars)

    Price Reduced ~ Just a little cleaning up outside with new paint and flooring and you have got yourself a nice home! Large fenced backyard with two sheds that stay for extra storage! Three beds and bath ~ kitchen remodeled in last few years with separate dining area. Come take a look!

  28. 2021-02-08
    historical Active Under Contract 285-char remark
    Show marketing remark (285 chars)

    Price Reduced ~ Just a little cleaning up outside with new paint and flooring and you have got yourself a nice home! Large fenced backyard with two sheds that stay for extra storage! Three beds and bath ~ kitchen remodeled in last few years with separate dining area. Come take a look!

  29. 2020-12-29
    listed $79,900 Active 285-char remark
    Show marketing remark (285 chars)

    Price Reduced ~ Just a little cleaning up outside with new paint and flooring and you have got yourself a nice home! Large fenced backyard with two sheds that stay for extra storage! Three beds and bath ~ kitchen remodeled in last few years with separate dining area. Come take a look!

  30. 2004-07-30
    soldstatus $93,000
  31. 2003-07-03
    soldstatus $91,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,333 · $278/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,511 · $293/mo
Expected delta
+$178/yr (+$15/mo · 5.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,354
− Mortgage interest
−$9,103
− Property taxes
−$3,333
− Insurance
−$812
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,308
− Management
−$1,308
− Depreciation
−$4,727
Taxable loss
−$4,237
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,017
After-tax cash flow
$-434/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Belleville Twp Hsd 201
NCES district ID
1705640
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$58,064
Composite
22.39/100
National rank
#8115
State rank
#308 of 620 in IL

Livability — Belleville

Score
78/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#2604

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
47,407
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
16,269
Household income
$73,700
Rent vs Own
23.6% rent · 76.4% own
Severe rent burden
656.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (62%)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 27% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Guatemala
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.50%
Current HPI
259.15
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+92.3% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $175,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-27 Coming Soon $175,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-05-21 Sold (Public Records) $53,500 Public Records
  • 2021-05-03 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-04-07 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-04-03 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-03-26 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-03-24 Price Changed $50,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-03-22 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-03-01 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-02-09 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-02-08 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-12-29 Listed $79,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $93,000 Public Records
  • 2003-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $91,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $3,333 · +7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…