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3024 Lawndale Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 74.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

3024 Lawndale Ave · Rockford, IL 61101
2 bd · 2.0 ba · — sqft · MultiFamily · 33 Days on market
Built 1945 Est $182k · 31% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Here is your opportunity to become a landlord or add to your portfolio! This property has 2 units side by side, BOTH are rented to long term tenants! each unit has 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom. Property has a full basement giving each tenant their own space for storage and washer/dryer hookups! 2 car detached garage with alley access included. Landlord pays for water, sewer and waster removal. Brand new roof & front entry steps & newly painted exterior. New roof in September of 2025 that includes a transferable warranty. Also, new front entry steps and freshly painted exterior.

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1945
  • Listed 33 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $125,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$182,000) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $709 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 6.1% in Rockford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#876 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Rockford SD 205 (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #533 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Conklin Elem School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,927 of 2,056 statewide, top 100%, 433 students, 0% FRL); West Middle School (math 3% / reading 11%, grade F, #627 of 665 statewide, top 95%, 849 students, 0% FRL); Auburn High School (math 26% / reading 32%, grade F, #210 of 693 statewide, top 30%, 1,936 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 73% district-wide (73 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 285 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Winnebago County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $125k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $121,250 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.66%
Cap rate
13.10%
Cash-on-cash
24.30%
DSCR
2.08
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$182,000
List price
$125,000
Delta
-31.32%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3024 Lawndale Ave 0.00mi 2/2.0 0mo $125,000 87
3107 Garfield Dr 0.16mi 3/2.0 (+1) 450 4mo $130,000 $289 72
3025 Parkside Ave 0.32mi 3/2.0 (+1) 13mo $138,000 57
1105 N Horsman St 0.75mi 2/2.0 1mo $87,000 52
2907 Vinton Ave 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 856 1mo $85,000 $99 49
2418 Benderwirt Ave 0.69mi 2/2.0 20mo $110,000 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
1.71×
Total profit
$24,956
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
26.1%
Equity multiple
3.29×
Total profit
$80,148
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61101

Home prices YoY
-25.4%
Active inventory
83
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,074 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$222 /mo · $2,666/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$436
Net cashflow
$709

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,177
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $779 -5% $744 +0% $709 +5% $673 +10% $638
Rent -10% $545 -5% $627 +0% $709 +5% $791 +10% $873
Rate -1.0pp $772 -0.5pp $741 base $709 +0.5pp $676 +1.0pp $643

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,074

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3133 Liberty Dr Rockford, IL 3.0 1.5 $1,675 23d 1 0.20mi
2330 Kilburn Ave Rockford, IL 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 950 $999 $1.05 15d 1 0.20mi
3410 Garfield Dr Unit 3415 Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 $925 46d 1 0.37mi
1614 Pauline Ave Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 956 $1,400 $1.46 46d 1 0.40mi
1617 Vermont St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1375 $1,325 $0.96 46d 1 0.40mi
2516 N Rockton Ave #4 Rockford, IL 1.0 1.0 550 $850 $1.55 46d 1 0.52mi
1118 Furman St Unit 1118-15 Rockford, IL 1.0 1.0 650 $995 $1.53 46d 1 0.60mi
1118 Furman St Unit 1118-13 Rockford, IL 1.0 1.0 650 $995 $1.53 23d 1 0.60mi
1116 Irving Ave Unit 1116-301 Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $950 $1.19 23d 1 0.66mi
2422 Benderwirt Ave Unit 2422-1 Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1150 $1,025 $0.89 46d 1 0.70mi
912 Furman St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 15d 1 0.72mi
2008 Auburn St Unit 2008-1E Rockford, IL 1.0 1.0 850 $925 $1.09 23d 1 0.90mi
924 N Sunset Ave Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 725 $1,050 $1.45 15d 1 0.93mi
2019 Overdene Ave Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 875 $1,500 $1.71 46d 1 0.93mi
2019 Overdene Ave Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 875 $1,400 $1.60 15d 1 0.93mi
1904 Auburn St Unit 1904-2 Rockford, IL 1.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 47d 1 0.96mi
1904 Auburn St Unit 1904-4 Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,050 $1.31 46d 1 0.96mi
1823 Overdene Ave Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 875 $1,400 $1.60 15d 1 1.03mi
1823 Overdene Ave Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 875 $1,500 $1.71 23d 1 1.03mi
1803 Sauber Ave Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 $1,400 23d 1 1.04mi
912 Haskell Ave Unit 912-10 Rockford, IL 1.0 1.0 575 $825 $1.43 23d 1 1.08mi
912 Haskell Ave Unit 912-2 Rockford, IL 1.0 1.0 575 $825 $1.43 15d 1 1.08mi
1510 School St Unit 1 Rockford, IL 3.0 1.5 1400 $1,200 $0.86 46d 1 1.08mi
3007 Huffman Blvd Rockford, IL 3.0 1.5 1296 $1,450 $1.12 46d 1 1.10mi
418 Orchard Park Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 1232 $1,500 $1.22 15d 1 1.11mi
2535 Halsted Rd Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0–1.5 850 $1,232 $1.45 15d 1 1.11mi
1405 N Court St Unit 1407 Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1530 $1,100 $0.72 46d 1 1.19mi
1401 N Court St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 850 $950 $1.12 46d 1 1.19mi
2011 School St Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,500 $1.58 46d 1 1.23mi
718 Locust St Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 $1,550 15d 1 1.23mi
326 N Independence Ave Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 $1,550 15d 1 1.23mi
2208 Fremont St Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 938 $1,400 $1.49 15d 1 1.28mi
2308 Fremont St Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 1320 $1,600 $1.21 46d 1 1.28mi
1832 N Main St Rockford, IL 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 872 $999 $1.14 15d 1 1.29mi
829 N Court St Unit 829-15 Rockford, IL 1.0 1.0 675 $895 $1.33 23d 1 1.31mi
829 N Court St Unit 829-12 Rockford, IL 1.0 1.0 675 $850 $1.26 46d 1 1.31mi
319 Albert Ave Unit 2 Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 $1,400 46d 1 1.31mi
920 N Church St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,295 $1.73 15d 4 1.31mi
922 N Church St Rockford, IL 2.0 2.0 1150 $1,450 $1.26 46d 1 1.32mi
1121 N Church St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 23d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 592-char remark
    Show marketing remark (588 chars)

    Here is your opportunity to become a landlord or add to your portfolio! This property has 2 units side by side, BOTH are rented to long term tenants! each unit has 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom. Property has a full basement giving each tenant their own space for storage and washer/dryer hookups! 2 car detached garage with alley access included. Landlord pays for water, sewer and waster removal. Brand new roof & front entry steps & newly painted exterior. New roof in September of 2025 that includes a transferable warranty. Also, new front entry steps and freshly painted exterior.

  2. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 588-char remark
    Show marketing remark (588 chars)

    Here is your opportunity to become a landlord or add to your portfolio! This property has 2 units side by side, BOTH are rented to long term tenants! each unit has 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom. Property has a full basement giving each tenant their own space for storage and washer/dryer hookups! 2 car detached garage with alley access included. Landlord pays for water, sewer and waster removal. Brand new roof & front entry steps & newly painted exterior. New roof in September of 2025 that includes a transferable warranty. Also, new front entry steps and freshly painted exterior.

  3. 2026-04-01
    listed $125,000 Active 592-char remark
    Show marketing remark (588 chars)

    Here is your opportunity to become a landlord or add to your portfolio! This property has 2 units side by side, BOTH are rented to long term tenants! each unit has 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom. Property has a full basement giving each tenant their own space for storage and washer/dryer hookups! 2 car detached garage with alley access included. Landlord pays for water, sewer and waster removal. Brand new roof & front entry steps & newly painted exterior. New roof in September of 2025 that includes a transferable warranty. Also, new front entry steps and freshly painted exterior.

  4. 2026-04-01
    listed $125,000 Active 588-char remark
    Show marketing remark (588 chars)

    Here is your opportunity to become a landlord or add to your portfolio! This property has 2 units side by side, BOTH are rented to long term tenants! each unit has 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom. Property has a full basement giving each tenant their own space for storage and washer/dryer hookups! 2 car detached garage with alley access included. Landlord pays for water, sewer and waster removal. Brand new roof & front entry steps & newly painted exterior. New roof in September of 2025 that includes a transferable warranty. Also, new front entry steps and freshly painted exterior.

  5. 2025-12-31
    historical
  6. 2025-09-19
    price $135,000
  7. 2025-07-16
    status Active
  8. 2025-06-21
    historical
  9. 2025-04-25
    price $130,000
  10. 2025-04-25
    price
  11. 2025-04-04
    price $140,000
  12. 2025-04-04
    price
  13. 2025-03-24
    listed Active
  14. 2020-08-20
    soldstatus $50,000
  15. 2020-08-13
    soldstatus $50,000 Closed Sale
  16. 2020-08-05
    status Pending
  17. 2020-07-31
    soldstatus $50,000
  18. 2020-06-14
    status Contingent
  19. 2020-06-07
    status Reactivated
  20. 2020-05-27
    status Contingent
  21. 2020-02-20
    price $54,500
  22. 2020-01-12
    listed $55,900 New
  23. 2020-01-12
    listed $54,500
  24. 2019-10-18
    historical
  25. 2019-05-23
    price
  26. 2019-04-02
    listed New
  27. 2004-06-02
    soldstatus $63,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,666 · $222/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,752 · $229/mo
Expected delta
+$86/yr (+$7/mo · 3.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,888
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$2,666
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,991
− Management
−$1,991
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$6,977
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,675
After-tax cash flow
$6,830/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockford SD 205
NCES district ID
1734510
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,533
Composite
12.21/100
National rank
#9649
State rank
#533 of 620 in IL

Livability — Rockford

Score
62/100
State rank
#876
US rank
#17035

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rockford, IL
County
Winnebago County · 147,297 people
City population
147,297
Metro
Rockford, IL
Population (ZIP)
19,318
Household income
$46,163
Rent vs Own
48.6% rent · 51.4% own
Severe rent burden
1170.0

Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
271,080 people
By 2030
260,684 · -3.8%
By 2040
238,405 · -12.1%
By 2050
216,129 · -20.3%
By 2075
172,882 · -36.2%
By 2100
135,336 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-12.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.8pp · 2024: 0.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.6 2020: D+2.5 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+5.7 2008: D+12.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -69.58%
Current HPI
204.8946
Rent YoY
Metro
Rockford, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+96.9% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending NWIAR
  • 2026-05-04 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $125,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $125,000 NWIAR
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-19 Price Changed $135,000 NWIAR
  • 2025-07-16 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-21 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-25 Price Changed $130,000 NWIAR
  • 2025-04-25 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-04 Price Changed $140,000 NWIAR
  • 2025-04-04 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-24 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2020-08-13 Sold (MLS) $50,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-08-05 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-07-31 Sold (MLS) $50,000 NWIAR
  • 2020-06-14 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-06-07 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-05-27 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-02-20 Price Changed $54,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-01-12 Listed $55,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-01-12 Listed $54,500 NWIAR
  • 2019-10-18 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-05-23 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-04-02 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $63,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,666 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…