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1114 E 16th St
B- Composite 67.94
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,000

1114 E 16th St · Richmond, VA 23224
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,165 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1947 5,000 sqft lot Est $242k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Calling all Buyers and or Investors!! Opportunity knocks at 1114 East 16th Street — 4-bedroom, 1-bath home that offers a basement in Richmond’s Oak Grove community, priced to sell. This property has a a brand-new roof, new HVAC system, energy-efficient replacement windows, and an updated bathroom are already in place. Professional mold remediation and licensed asbestos abatement have been completed and fully documented. Safety rails are installed at both the front and rear entrances. Set on a 5,000-square-foot lot with 1,165 square feet of living space.

Key facts

  • Brand-new roof
  • Updated bathroom
  • New hvac system

Tags

BRAND-NEW ROOFNEW HVAC SYSTEMUPDATED BATHROOMPROFESSIONAL MOLD REMEDIATIONLICENSED ASBESTOS ABATEMENTSAFETY RAILS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story property; R-5 zoning
  • Construction: Built with block and wood siding; Composition roof; Approximate year built
  • Exterior features: Public sewer; Public water

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on second level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (shower in full bath)
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Heating via electric, heat pump, and natural gas
  • Interior features: Partial basement; 7 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $367 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 3.2% in Richmond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#33 in VA, #793 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-.
  • Richmond City Public School District (urban): math 32% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #123 of 131 in VA (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Broad Rock Elementary (math 5% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,098 of 1,108 statewide, top 100%, 634 students, 99% FRL); Thomas C. Boushall Middle (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #340 of 342 statewide, top 99%, 611 students, 98% FRL); George Wythe High (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #319 of 319 statewide, top 100%, 1,309 students, 91% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 74% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Richmond City Public School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 177 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,540 units permitted in Richmond city in 2024 (2,077 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Richmond County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $46k; list at $165k implies a 259% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $165,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
8.96%
Cash-on-cash
9.54%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$242,320
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1100 E 16th St 0.06mi 3/1.0 1,136 (-2%) 3mo $237,000 $209 91
2010 Gordon Ave 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,164 (-0%) 1mo $260,200 $224 83
1200 E 17th St 0.05mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,080 (-7%) 1mo $175,000 $162 79
2004 Edwards Ave 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,136 (-2%) 1mo $225,000 $198 77
2008 Ingram Ave 0.26mi 3/1.5 1,232 (+6%) 3mo $285,000 $231 74
2115 Dinwiddie Ave 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,106 (-5%) 2mo $230,000 $208 65
1809 Gordon Ave 0.20mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,260 (+8%) 5mo $220,000 $175 64
1912 Chicago Ave 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,280 (+10%) 2mo $150,000 $117 64
2004 Gordon Ave 0.25mi 3/1.5 1,291 (+11%) 6mo $360,000 $279 63
1405 Silver Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,181 (+1%) 7mo $180,000 $152 60
1817 Keswick Ave 0.28mi 3/1.5 1,335 (+15%) 4mo $287,000 $215 58
2303 Fairfax Ave 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,319 (+13%) 6mo $250,000 $190 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.55% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.3%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-536
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
10.8%
Equity multiple
1.90×
Total profit
$41,589
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23224

Rents YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
177
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,798 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$119 /mo · $1,428/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$378
Net cashflow
$367

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,333
Max offer price $165,000
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $461 -5% $414 +0% $367 +5% $320 +10% $274
Rent -10% $225 -5% $296 +0% $367 +5% $438 +10% $509
Rate -1.0pp $450 -0.5pp $409 base $367 +0.5pp $324 +1.0pp $281

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1112 E 16th St Richmond, VA 4.0 1.0 1206 $1,595 $1.32 46d 1 0.02mi
1808 Edwards Ave Richmond, VA 3.0 2.0 1040 $1,750 $1.68 26d 1 0.28mi
1125 Commerce Rd Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 685 $1,409 $2.06 6d 5 0.31mi
1913 Dinwiddie Ave Unit 1546196P Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 1044 $2,519 $2.41 17d 1 0.37mi
1707 Chicago Ave Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 750 $995 $1.33 46d 1 0.37mi
622 E 18th St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 850 $995 $1.17 46d 1 0.37mi
1801 Chicago Ave Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 850 $995 $1.17 26d 1 0.38mi
2200 Ingram Ave Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0–2.0 711 $1,668 $2.35 7d 1 0.40mi
2208 Keswick Ave Richmond, VA 3.0 1.0 916 $1,775 $1.94 23d 1 0.45mi
1305 Chambers St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 966 $1,100 $1.14 26d 1 0.50mi
800 Richmond Hwy Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 778 $2,044 $2.63 46d 1 0.55mi
2010 Maury St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 883 $1,675 $1.90 7d 1 0.56mi
1709 Everett St Richmond, VA 4.0 1.5 1460 $1,995 $1.37 46d 1 0.60mi
1021 E 4th St Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 759 $1,449 $1.91 4d 87 0.62mi
1100 Richmond Hwy Richmond, VA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1062 $2,345 $2.21 0d 16 0.66mi
116 E 15th St Richmond, VA 4.0 2.0 1452 $2,250 $1.55 26d 1 0.67mi
700 Everett St Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 809 $1,849 $2.28 7d 14 0.70mi
1410 Enfield Ave Unit 1410 Richmond, VA 3.0 1.0 912 $1,500 $1.64 46d 1 0.71mi
700 Stockton St Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0 1035 $1,805 $1.74 4d 31 0.77mi
500 Maury St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0–2.0 665 $2,295 $3.45 6d 17 0.77mi
500 Stockton St Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 748 $1,346 $1.80 6d 16 0.85mi
1422 Bainbridge St Richmond, VA 2.0 2.0 1121 $2,399 $2.14 0d 1 0.85mi
1514 Bainbridge St Unit A Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,299 $1.62 14d 1 0.86mi
1203 Bainbridge St Apt A Richmond, VA 2.0 2.0 927 $1,495 $1.61 46d 1 0.91mi
1207 Bainbridge St Richmond, VA 2.0 2.0 937 $2,250 $2.40 14d 1 0.91mi
403 Stockton St Richmond, VA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 882 $2,140 $2.42 6d 22 0.94mi
616 Hull St Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 756 $1,495 $1.98 7d 5 0.94mi
501 Decatur St Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 668 $1,849 $2.77 4d 7 0.95mi
1212 Porter St Apt A Richmond, VA 2.0 2.0 980 $1,995 $2.04 7d 1 0.96mi
907 Bainbridge St Unit A Richmond, VA 2.0 2.0 927 $1,995 $2.15 46d 1 0.96mi
201 Cowardin Ave Unit B Richmond, VA 2.0 2.5 1436 $2,200 $1.53 46d 1 0.97mi
1912 Porter St Richmond, VA 3.0 1.5 1415 $1,950 $1.38 26d 1 0.97mi
307 Stockton St Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 853 $1,722 $2.02 4d 27 0.97mi
1411 Porter St Unit B Richmond, VA 3.0 3.0 1500 $2,145 $1.43 7d 1 0.97mi
15 W 7th St Richmond, VA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 881 $3,031 $3.44 4d 6 0.98mi
21 E 4th St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0–2.0 700 $2,028 $2.90 4d 12 1.02mi
84 W 6th St Richmond, VA 3.0 2.0 1493 $2,715 $1.82 6d 1 1.02mi
103 E 2nd St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0–2.0 820 $2,340 $2.85 4d 18 1.03mi
104 E 2nd St Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 750 $1,575 $2.10 5d 3 1.04mi
908 Perry St Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 696 $1,695 $2.44 7d 6 1.07mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    statusdays on market $165,000 Pending 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $165,000 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    remarks 559-char remark
  5. 2026-05-31
    listed $165,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,428 · $119/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,428 · $119/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 48% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,572
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$1,428
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,726
− Management
−$1,726
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable income
$1,825
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$438
After-tax cash flow
$3,967/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Richmond City Public School District
NCES district ID
5103240
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$40,276
Composite
33.09/100
National rank
#5564
State rank
#123 of 131 in VA

Livability — Richmond

Score
84/100
State rank
#33
US rank
#793

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B- Crime D- Employment C Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Richmond, VA
County
Richmond City · 178,280 people
City population
287,109
Metro
Richmond, VA
Population (ZIP)
40,575
Household income
$50,475
Rent vs Own
63.6% rent · 36.4% own
Severe rent burden
3584.0

Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
262,263 people
By 2030
284,503 · +8.5%
By 2040
327,353 · +24.8%
By 2050
367,946 · +40.3%
By 2075
449,560 · +71.4%
By 2100
500,301 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% Hispanic / Latino 22% White 15% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 19% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Richmond

2024 margin
Solid D (+66.3) · D 82.0% · R 15.8% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
+7.2pp toward D · 2008: 59.1pp · 2024: 66.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+66.3 2020: D+68.0 2016: D+63.8 2012: D+55.7 2008: D+59.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -283.99%
Current HPI
336.9345
Rent YoY
▲ 4.55%
Metro
Richmond, VA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+453.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Listed $165,000 CVRMLS
  • 1992-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
  • 1978-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $29,800 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.6%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,428 · +67.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…