707 10th Ave SE · Austin, MN 55912

$149,900

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 600 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1946

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +14.5/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Rent growth +5.0/5.0
• DSCR +4.4/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• 1% rule +3.1/10.0
• Schools +2.5/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Cozy 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home located on a quiet, friendly street. A single attached drive-through garage leads to the Large garage/ work shop. The shop is heated and cooled for year-round use, offering tons of room for vehicles and tools. Approximately 1200 sq foot of total garage space.

Key facts

• Built 1946

Tags

• ATTACHED DRIVE-THROUGH GARAGE
• HEATED AND COOLED SHOP
• ROOM FOR VEHICLES AND TOOLS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $32 ($389/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (18.5% below list).
• Recommended offer: $122k (18.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.8% in Austin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#77 in MN, #1,829 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
• Austin Public School District (town): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #267 of 301 in MN (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Southgate Elementary (math 48% / reading 41%, grade F, #534 of 857 statewide, top 66%, 496 students, 64% FRL); I.J. Holton Intermediate School (math 19% / reading 41%, grade F, #199 of 258 statewide, top 78%, 741 students, 68% FRL); Austin Senior High (math 32% / reading 44%, grade F, #278 of 471 statewide, top 59%, 1,345 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 46% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.6%/yr); 191 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 53 units permitted in Mower County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $69k; list at $150k implies a 117% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $122,166 (18.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.81% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.55%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.93%
• DSCR: 1.04
• GRM: 10.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -9.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.62×
• Total profit: $-15,816
• Equity at exit: $22,351

10-year hold

• IRR: 4.9%
• Equity multiple: 1.43×
• Total profit: $18,087
• Equity at exit: $12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 46 Balanced
• State Minnesota: 46 Balanced · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 55912

• Home prices YoY: -34.4%
• Rents YoY: 11.6%
• Active inventory: 191
• Price-to-rent: 10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,222 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$786
• Tax from tax record: −$84 /mo · $1,010/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$257
• Net cashflow: $32

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,181

Max offer price $149,900

Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $117	-5% $75	+0% $32	+5% $-10	+10% $-52
Rent	-10% $-64	-5% $-16	+0% $32	+5% $81	+10% $129
Rate	-1.0pp $108	-0.5pp $71	base $32	+0.5pp $-6	+1.0pp $-46

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,475
• Closing costs: $4,497
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
704 1st Dr NW Austin, MN	3.0	1.0–2.0	981	$2,082	$2.12	45d	96	1.10mi
711 1st Dr NW Apt A Austin, MN	2.0	1.0	696	$1,100	$1.58	46d	1	1.10mi
1105 3rd St NW Austin, MN	1.0	1.0	720	$925	$1.28	45d	2	1.42mi

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-05-13
   status Under Contract
2. 2026-05-12
   listed $149,900 Active
3. 2025-02-03
   soldstatus $69,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,010 · $84/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,344 · $112/mo
• Expected delta: +$334/yr (+$28/mo · 33.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,660
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,397
• − Property taxes: −$1,010
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,173
• − Management: −$1,173
• − Depreciation: −$4,361
• Taxable loss: −$2,203
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$529
• After-tax cash flow: $917/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Austin Public School District
• NCES district ID: 2703450
• Math proficiency: 24% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 34% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $43,818
• Composite: 24.75/100
• National rank: #7604
• State rank: #267 of 301 in MN

Livability — Austin

• Score: 80/100
• State rank: #77
• US rank: #1829

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Austin, MN
• County: Mower County · 29,632 people
• City population: 29,632
• Metro: Austin, MN
• Population (ZIP): 29,632
• Household income: $70,177
• Rent vs Own: 26.0% rent · 74.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 759.0

Population outlook (Mower County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 39,967 people
• By 2030: 40,204 · +0.6%
• By 2040: 40,509 · +1.4%
• By 2050: 40,841 · +2.2%
• By 2075: 42,029 · +5.2%
• By 2100: 42,272 · +5.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (67%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 67% Hispanic / Latino 16% Asian 8% Two or more races 7% Black 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 12%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 16% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
• Foreign-born: 15% · Canada, Philippines, China
• Languages at home: 76% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 5% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mower

• 2024 margin: R (+10.5) · D 43.9% · R 54.4% · Other 1.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -34.1pp toward R · 2008: 23.6pp · 2024: -10.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+10.5 2020: R+5.8 2016: R+7.8 2012: D+22.7 2008: D+23.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -142.60%
• Current HPI: 271.4199
• Rent YoY: ▲ 11.62%
• Metro: Austin, MN
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.41%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$407B
▸Retail	2	$150B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$32B
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$6B
▸Agriculture	1	$40B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$32B

Price history

+117.2% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-13 Pending — FSBO.com
• 2026-05-12 Listed $149,900 FSBO.com
• 2025-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,010 · -7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.