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248 Ridge Ln
B Composite 73.49
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.6/15.0
  • Schools +6.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$78,000

248 Ridge Ln · Murrysville, PA 15668
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · Manufactured public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1991 Est $80k · at est. $674/mo HOA · 36% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 248 Ridge Lane in the highly desirable Clover Ridge 55+ Community! This impeccably maintained, move-in ready 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers comfortable one-level living with an inviting open-concept floor plan. Featuring neutral décor throughout and an abundance of natural light, this home provides a warm and welcoming atmosphere from the moment you enter. The spacious living and dining areas flow seamlessly into the kitchen and sunroom, creating the perfect space for both everyday living and entertaining. The bright sunroom offers a relaxing retreat to enjoy your morning coffee, read a book, or take in the surrounding views year-round. The primary suite features a private

Key facts

  • Covered carport
  • Newer roof
  • Bright sunroom

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT FLOOR PLANBRIGHT SUNROOMFIRST-FLOOR LAUNDRYDEDICATED STORAGE ROOMCOVERED CARPORTNEWER ROOF

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee ($674)

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered parking (1 space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story; Resale property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Common lot setting

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator; Stove
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Window screens; Window treatments
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Some gas appliances

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $78k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $312 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $78k).
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 1.9% in Murrysville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#472 in PA, #4,346 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Franklin Regional SD (suburban): math 62% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #20 of 539 in PA (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Franklin Regional Primary Sch (math 69% / reading 83%, grade A, #87 of 1,518 statewide, top 6%, 699 students, 18% FRL); Franklin Regional Ms (math 45% / reading 73%, grade B, #50 of 512 statewide, top 10%, 786 students, 20% FRL); Franklin Regional Shs (math 90%, 1,119 students, 18% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 415 units permitted in Westmoreland County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $539 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Westmoreland County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 36% of rent.
Recommended offer $78,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.39%
Cap rate
11.09%
Cash-on-cash
17.13%
DSCR
1.76
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$79,872
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
123 Ridge Ln 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,344 (+8%) 1mo $112,450 $84 82
246 Ridge Ln 0.01mi 2/2.0 1,377 (+10%) 2mo $57,510 $42 80
205 Meadow Ln 0.25mi 2/2.0 1,248 (0%) 19mo $80,000 $64 72
911 Lilac Ln 0.20mi 2/2.0 1,386 (+11%) 8mo $75,900 $55 66
414 Vista Ln 0.29mi 2/2.0 1,406 (+13%) 17mo $106,000 $75 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.8%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$7,625
Equity at exit
$11,630
10-year hold
IRR
18.4%
Equity multiple
2.55×
Total profit
$33,871
Equity at exit
$6,744

Cash invested: $21,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15668

Home prices YoY
-23.8%
Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,863 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$409
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $533/yr
Insurance
$32
HOA
$674
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$391
Net cashflow
$312

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,468
Max offer price $78,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $356 -5% $334 +0% $312 +5% $290 +10% $268
Rent -10% $165 -5% $238 +0% $312 +5% $385 +10% $459
Rate -1.0pp $351 -0.5pp $332 base $312 +0.5pp $292 +1.0pp $271

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,500
Closing costs
$2,340
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
80 Sandune Dr Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0–2.5 1004 $1,815 $1.81 3d 1 0.70mi
564 Carnival Dr Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 2.0 1257 $1,995 $1.59 45d 1 1.31mi
741 Pine Valley Dr Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 2.0 1424 $1,795 $1.26 13d 1 1.32mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$674 · $8,088/yr

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $78,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $78,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $78,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $78,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $78,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 692-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $78,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$533 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$883 · $74/mo
Expected delta
+$350/yr (+$29/mo · 65.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,355
− Mortgage interest
−$4,369
− Property taxes
−$533
− Insurance
−$390
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,788
− Management
−$1,788
− HOA
−$8,088
− Depreciation
−$2,269
Taxable income
$3,129
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$751
After-tax cash flow
$2,990/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Franklin Regional SD
NCES district ID
4210230
Math proficiency
62% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
77% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$80,722
Composite
61.83/100
National rank
#730
State rank
#20 of 539 in PA

Livability — Murrysville

Score
75/100
State rank
#472
US rank
#4346

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Murrysville, PA
City population
23,363
Population (ZIP)
14,477

Population outlook (Westmoreland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
342,555 people
By 2030
331,717 · -3.2%
By 2040
304,976 · -11.0%
By 2050
277,444 · -19.0%
By 2075
224,607 · -34.4%
By 2100
171,084 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · China, South Korea
Languages at home
95% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Westmoreland

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.4% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-11.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+31.3 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+16.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.13%
Current HPI
237.0143
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $78,000 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $533 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…