Triumph Plan · Donna, TX 78537

$126,900

5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,001 sqft · Manufactured · 765 Days on market

Good condition

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Condition / age +3.8/5.0
• Livability +2.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.1/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Over 2000 sq. Ft. of functional living. Perfect for the family that needs a lot of rooms for their growing family. If you need a big home at a great price, this is the one for you! Price includes delivery and set-up, caliche pad, vapor barrier, Central A/C and Heat, 4x4 decks, and upgraded vinyl skirting, plus our award winning in house service!

Key facts

• Smart panel exterior
• Ceiling fans
• Custom lighting

Tags

• GRANITE COUNTERS
• SMART PANEL EXTERIOR
• CUSTOM LIGHTING
• CEILING FANS

🏗️ New construction. The $126,900 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $68,380.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $127k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $682 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $127k).
• Recommended offer: $112k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 18.3% vs local median 2.7% in Donna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 54/100 on livability (#1,411 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
• Donna ISD (suburban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #821 of 826 in TX (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: 323 active listings in the ZIP; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $7k of equity ($472 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 765 days — a 12% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $111,672 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 765 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.14% ✓
• Cap rate: 18.27%
• Cash-on-cash: 42.77%
• DSCR: 2.90
• GRM: 3.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $68,380
• List price: $126,900
• Delta: 85.58%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 57.5%
• Equity multiple: 5.22×
• Total profit: $80,728
• Equity at exit: $61,603

10-year hold

• IRR: 51.0%
• Equity multiple: 11.63×
• Total profit: $203,594
• Equity at exit: $132,848

Cash invested: $19,147 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 78537

• Home prices YoY: 5.8%
• Active inventory: 323
• Price-to-rent: 7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,462 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$359
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$85 /mo · $1,026/yr
• Insurance: −$28
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$307
• Net cashflow: $682

Break-even live

Break-even rent $598

Max offer price $68,380

Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $17,095
• Closing costs: $2,051
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 19 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $126,900 Active 765 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $126,900 Active 764 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $126,900 Active 763 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $126,900 Active 762 DOM
5. 2026-06-14
   days on market $126,900 Active 760 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $126,900 Active 759 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $126,900 Active 757 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $126,900 Active 756 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $126,900 Active 755 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $126,900 Active 754 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $126,900 Active 751 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $126,900 Active 750 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $126,900 Active 749 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $126,900 Active 748 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $126,900 Active 747 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $126,900 Active 746 DOM
17. 2026-01-14
    price $126,900 347-char remark

    Show marketing remark (347 chars)

    Over 2000 sq. Ft. of functional living. Perfect for the family that needs a lot of rooms for their growing family. If you need a big home at a great price, this is the one for you! Price includes delivery and set-up, caliche pad, vapor barrier, Central A/C and Heat, 4x4 decks, and upgraded vinyl skirting, plus our award winning in house service!

18. 2024-07-30
    price $121,900 347-char remark

    Show marketing remark (347 chars)

    Over 2000 sq. Ft. of functional living. Perfect for the family that needs a lot of rooms for their growing family. If you need a big home at a great price, this is the one for you! Price includes delivery and set-up, caliche pad, vapor barrier, Central A/C and Heat, 4x4 decks, and upgraded vinyl skirting, plus our award winning in house service!

19. 2024-05-14
    listed $119,900 Active 347-char remark

    Show marketing remark (347 chars)

    Over 2000 sq. Ft. of functional living. Perfect for the family that needs a lot of rooms for their growing family. If you need a big home at a great price, this is the one for you! Price includes delivery and set-up, caliche pad, vapor barrier, Central A/C and Heat, 4x4 decks, and upgraded vinyl skirting, plus our award winning in house service!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,544
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,830
• − Property taxes: −$1,026
• − Insurance: −$342
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,404
• − Management: −$1,404
• − Depreciation: −$1,989
• Taxable income: $7,550
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,812
• After-tax cash flow: $6,377/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed. It offers a spacious layout and is move-in ready.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
• Both Replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Hardwood flooring can increase both resale and rental value.
• Both Install smart home technology — Smart home features can improve convenience and attract tech-savvy buyers/renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
• Both Replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Hardwood flooring can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
• Both Install smart home technology — Smart home features can improve convenience and attract tech-savvy buyers/renters. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Donna ISD
• NCES district ID: 4817390
• Math proficiency: 11% ▼ -30.00%
• Reading proficiency: 18% ▼ -13.00%
• Median HH income: $27,330
• Composite: 11.16/100
• National rank: #9728
• State rank: #821 of 826 in TX

Livability — Donna

• Score: 54/100
• State rank: #1411
• US rank: #24172

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• City population: 51,346
• Population (ZIP): 51,346

Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 955,232 people
• By 2030: 1,009,774 · +5.7%
• By 2040: 1,120,332 · +17.3%
• By 2050: 1,225,036 · +28.2%
• By 2075: 1,439,189 · +50.7%
• By 2100: 1,533,429 · +60.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (95%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 95% Two or more races 49% White 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 91%
• Foreign-born: 27% · Canada
• Languages at home: 15% English-only · Spanish 84%

Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 13.30%
• Current HPI: 243.3933
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+5.8% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-01-14 Price Changed $126,900 Zillow
• 2024-07-30 Price Changed $121,900 Zillow
• 2024-05-14 Listed $119,900 Zillow