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5995 N 78th St #1094
D Composite 42.35
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$270,000

5995 N 78th St #1094 · Scottsdale, AZ 85250
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 919 sqft · Condo public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1981 $348/mo HOA · 14% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Highly sought after Bella Vita community 2br 2ba unit ready for move-in. Tastefully decorated fully furnished turn key condo perfect as a starter home, winter getaway, or investment rental. Upgrades feature cherry cabinets, granite counters, SS appliance and fridge, 20'' tile, dark laminate wood flooring, 2-tone paint, nickle finished, lighting fixtures, and ceiling fans throughout. Includes all furniture, home furnishing, electronics, kitchen hardware, and stackable w/d. Community has 2 pools, heated spa, fitness/clubhouse, BBQ picnic area, and tennis court. Centrally located in Scottsdale near to everything. Must see!!!

Key facts

  • Updated showers
  • Plantation shutters
  • Walk in closet

Tags

GATED BELLA VITA COMMUNITYPLANTATION SHUTTERSGRANITE COUNTERTOPSUPDATED SHOWERSWALK IN CLOSETPRIVATE ENSUITE BATH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size recorded by assessor
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association fee includes roof repair/replacement, insurance, sewer, grounds maintenance, exterior maintenance, trash and water

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned covered parking space; Assigned carport space
  • Security: Gated community
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Apartment (attached property); Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Stucco and painted wood-frame construction; Built-up roof
  • Exterior features: Desert-front lot; No fencing; Community pool; Community spa (heated); Gated community; Fitness center

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: 2 possible bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: High-speed internet; Granite counters; No interior steps; Full bathroom in primary bedroom
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside unit

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-56 ($-671/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $260k (3.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $242k (10.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $242k (10.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 2.5% in Scottsdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#4 in AZ, #1,756 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living F.
  • Scottsdale Unified District (4240) (urban): math 53% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #30 of 249 in AZ (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Pueblo Elementary School (math 62% / reading 67%, grade B, #104 of 1,109 statewide, top 10%, 425 students, 15% FRL); Mohave Middle School (math 45% / reading 48%, grade D+, #43 of 218 statewide, top 20%, 799 students, 31% FRL); Saguaro High School (math 37% / reading 41%, grade F, #78 of 381 statewide, top 20%, 1,466 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools at 24% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 216 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($96k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($266k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $170k; list at $270k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $242,496 (10.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.04%
Cash-on-cash
-0.89%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.2%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-41,802
Equity at exit
$40,258
10-year hold
IRR
-3.1%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-17,368
Equity at exit
$23,345

Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85250

Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
216
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,425 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,416
Tax from tax record
$95 /mo · $1,143/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$348
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$509
Net cashflow
$-56

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,496
Max offer price $260,124
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $97 -5% $21 +0% $-56 +5% $-132 +10% $-209
Rent -10% $-247 -5% $-152 +0% $-56 +5% $40 +10% $136
Rate -1.0pp $80 -0.5pp $13 base $-56 +0.5pp $-126 +1.0pp $-197

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,500
Closing costs
$8,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5995 N 78th St Unit 1545827P Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1097 $1,998 $1.82 16d 1 0.01mi
5995 N 78th St Unit 101 Scottsdale, AZ 1.0 2.0 664 $2,800 $4.22 46d 1 0.06mi
5995 N 78th St Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–3.5 761 $4,000 $5.26 46d 8 0.08mi
5995 N 78th St Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 761 $4,800 $6.31 1d 10 0.08mi
6014 N 79th St Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 1.5 976 $2,000 $2.05 46d 1 0.10mi
7845 E Valley Vista Dr Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 2.0 1053 $2,450 $2.33 46d 1 0.19mi
7913 E Keim Dr Unit 1545939P Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 1.0 979 $1,717 $1.75 19d 1 0.22mi
5950 N 78th St #216 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1036 $3,500 $3.38 19d 1 0.23mi
5950 N 78th St Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1036 $2,725 $2.63 26d 2 0.24mi
7906 E Keim Dr Scottsdale, AZ 3.0 1.0 1053 $3,700 $3.51 46d 1 0.27mi
7810 E Keim Dr Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 1.5 1053 $2,295 $2.18 10d 1 0.31mi
5972 N 83rd St Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1088 $3,500 $3.22 46d 1 0.35mi
5878 N 83rd St Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1088 $2,850 $2.62 46d 1 0.37mi
8310 E McDonald Dr Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 880 $1,760 $2.00 1d 9 0.54mi
8025 E Lincoln Dr Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 825 $1,765 $2.14 0d 11 0.55mi
6459 N 77th Way Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1070 $2,795 $2.61 46d 1 0.59mi
6480 N 82nd St #1133 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1110 $1,799 $1.62 19d 1 0.60mi
6480 N 82nd St #2234 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1110 $1,795 $1.62 22d 1 0.61mi
6480 N 82nd St Unit 237 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1110 $1,700 $1.53 16d 1 0.63mi
6480 N 82nd St #2213 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 1.5 1110 $2,099 $1.89 46d 1 0.64mi
5877 N Granite Reef Rd Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 821 $1,895 $2.31 1d 3 0.71mi
5877 N Granite Reef Rd Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 1.0–2.0 816 $1,748 $2.14 1d 2 0.71mi
6077 N Granite Reef Rd Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 1.5 1088 $2,550 $2.34 46d 1 0.76mi
7575 E Indian Bend Rd Scottsdale, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0 1151 $3,200 $2.78 10d 2 1.01mi
7575 E Indian Bend Rd Scottsdale, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0 1151 $2,345 $2.04 14d 3 1.01mi
7575 E Indian Bend Rd Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 980 $3,125 $3.19 6d 3 1.01mi
7575 E Indian Bend Rd Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 980 $2,375 $2.42 18d 4 1.01mi
7575 E Indian Bend Rd Unit 709 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1070 $2,800 $2.62 26d 1 1.01mi
8651 E Royal Palm Rd Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1109 $2,495 $2.25 1d 3 1.02mi
8651 E Royal Palm Rd Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1109 $2,495 $2.25 17d 4 1.02mi
4950 N Miller Rd Unit ROAD200 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,100 $1.91 5d 1 1.03mi
4950 N Miller Rd #339 Scottsdale, AZ 1.0 1.0 726 $1,800 $2.48 26d 1 1.03mi
7436 E Chaparral Rd Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 790 $4,750 $6.01 20d 3 1.04mi
7436 E Chaparral Rd Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 790 $4,750 $6.01 5d 6 1.04mi
7430 E Chaparral Rd Unit 125A Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 26d 1 1.05mi
7575 E Indian Bend Rd Scottsdale, AZ 1.0 1.0 731 $1,550 $2.12 16d 1 1.06mi
7430 E Chaparral Rd Scottsdale, AZ 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 862 $2,450 $2.84 5d 4 1.07mi
7430 E Chaparral Rd Unit A2533 Scottsdale, AZ 2.0 2.0 1002 $1,750 $1.75 26d 1 1.07mi
4950 N Miller Rd Scottsdale, AZ 1.0 1.0 726 $1,425 $1.96 1d 2 1.09mi
4950 N Miller Rd Scottsdale, AZ 1.0 1.0 726 $1,388 $1.91 19d 3 1.09mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$348 · $4,176/yr
Likely covers
pool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $270,000 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $270,000 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $270,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $270,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $270,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $270,000 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $270,000 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $270,000 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $270,000 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $270,000 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $270,000 Active 9 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $270,000 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $270,000 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $270,000 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $270,000 Active 3 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $270,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,143 · $95/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,782 · $148/mo
Expected delta
+$639/yr (+$53/mo · 56.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥112°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,100
− Mortgage interest
−$15,124
− Property taxes
−$1,143
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,328
− Management
−$2,328
− HOA
−$4,176
− Depreciation
−$7,855
Taxable loss
−$5,204
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,249
After-tax cash flow
$578/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Scottsdale Unified District (4240)
NCES district ID
0407570
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$70,139
Composite
48.02/100
National rank
#2196
State rank
#30 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Scottsdale

Score
80/100
State rank
#4
US rank
#1756

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Scottsdale, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
290,846
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
15,394
Household income
$95,761
Rent vs Own
21.9% rent · 78.1% own
Severe rent burden
288.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 5% Native American 2% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -568.01%
Current HPI
385.5354
Rent YoY
▲ 5.17%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-97.1% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $270,000 ARMLS
  • 2013-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $169,900 Public Records
  • 2013-06-07 Sold (MLS) $169,900 ARMLS
  • 2013-05-21 Pending ARMLS
  • 2013-05-18 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2013-05-17 Pending ARMLS
  • 2013-05-02 Listed $169,900 ARMLS
  • 2009-11-06 Sold (MLS) $142,000 ARMLS
  • 2009-10-27 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2008-11-19 Listed $149,950 ARMLS
  • 1999-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $95,174,800 Public Records
  • 1981-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $9,266,864 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,143 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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