CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
No image
🌊 Lakefront
C+ Composite 64.56
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.4/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$350,000

802 Rimrock Ct Unit 802 Rimrock Lane, Hawley, PA 18428 · Hemlock Farms, PA 18428
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,728 sqft · SingleFamily · 377 Days on market
Built 1973 0.57 ac lot Est $403k · 13% under $250/mo HOA · 7% of rent ↓ 22% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Fabulous Water Views! Centrally located in Hemlock Farms. Enjoy the great view of the water in this pond front home while relaxing and gazing out the window from the open living room, dining room and kitchen. Or step outside onto the open deck and enjoy the fresh outdoors, if you want to get out of the sun relax or have on the large screen porch or have a mewl there. This 4-bedroom 2 bath home features a stone fireplace in the living room, hardwood floors, family room, Ductless A/C. Come see this home to appreciate all it has to offer

Key facts

  • Open deck
  • Large screen porch
  • Pond front home

Tags

POND FRONT HOMEOPEN DECKLARGE SCREEN PORCHSTONE FIREPLACEHARDWOOD FLOORSDUCTLESS A/C

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $350k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $269 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $350k).
  • Recommended offer: $308k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#884 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Wallenpaupack Area SD (rural): math 39% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #192 of 539 in PA (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 371 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 213 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $37k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $35k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Pike County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $98k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$60k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 377 days — a 12% lower offer ($308k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $308,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 377 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  7. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  8. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
7.21%
Cash-on-cash
3.29%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$402,624
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
802 Rimrock Ct Unit 802 Rimrock Lane, Hawley, PA 18428 0.00mi 4/2.5 1,728 (0%) 1mo $345,000 $200 99
105 Longridge Dr 0.12mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,692 (-2%) 3mo $340,000 $201 82
119 Ridgeway Dr 0.23mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,662 (-4%) 1mo $549,000 $330 77
118 Ledgeway Ln 0.38mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,716 (-1%) 8mo $399,999 $233 69
120 Ridgeway Dr 0.24mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,641 (-5%) 10mo $280,000 $171 65
801 Saddlebrook Spur Spur 0.64mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,728 (0%) 4mo $550,500 $319 60
109 Bluestone Dr 0.28mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,500 (-13%) 3mo $255,000 $170 56
809 Boulder Ct 0.48mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,536 (-11%) 3mo $620,000 $404 50
121 Saddlebrook Ln 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,648 (-5%) 8mo $315,000 $191 47
800 Osprey Ct 0.58mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,568 (-9%) 9mo $310,000 $198 43
809 Widgeon Ct 0.66mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,911 (+11%) 6mo $730,000 $382 39
128 Saddlebrook Ln 0.72mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,539 (-11%) 5mo $385,000 $250 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.7%
Equity multiple
3.12×
Total profit
$207,941
Equity at exit
$315,308
10-year hold
IRR
23.4%
Equity multiple
7.12×
Total profit
$599,313
Equity at exit
$679,973

Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18428

Home prices YoY
9.2%
Active inventory
371
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,718 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,835
Tax est. 1.5%
$438 /mo · $5,250/yr
Insurance
$146
HOA
$250
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$781
Net cashflow
$269

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,378
Max offer price $350,000
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,500
Closing costs
$10,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
811 Hickory Ct Hawley, PA 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,500 $2.27 1d 1 0.65mi
313 Forest Dr Blooming Grove, PA 3.0 2.0 1200 $5,000 $4.17 1d 1 0.69mi
106 Corral Ln Hawley, PA 3.0 2.0 2150 $4,000 $1.86 3d 1 0.91mi
101 Pommel Dr Hawley, PA 3.0 2.0 1691 $4,400 $2.60 1d 1 0.94mi
131 Surrey Dr Hawley, PA 4.0 2.0 1952 $2,650 $1.36 43d 1 1.01mi
402 Canoe Brook Dr Hawley, PA 3.0 2.0 2055 $3,500 $1.70 1d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$250 · $3,000/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-04-10
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-23
    price $350,000
  3. 2026-01-20
    price $395,000
  4. 2025-10-08
    price $429,000
  5. 2025-03-27
    listed $449,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$44,619
− Mortgage interest
−$19,605
− Property taxes
−$5,250
− Insurance
−$1,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,570
− Management
−$3,570
− HOA
−$3,000
− Depreciation
−$10,182
Taxable loss
−$2,307
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$554
After-tax cash flow
$3,778/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wallenpaupack Area SD
NCES district ID
4224750
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,027
Composite
41.97/100
National rank
#3345
State rank
#192 of 539 in PA

Livability — Hemlock Farms

Score
68/100
State rank
#884
US rank
#9421

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hemlock Farms, PA
Population (ZIP)
12,446

Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
53,548 people
By 2030
51,622 · -3.6%
By 2040
46,490 · -13.2%
By 2050
40,372 · -24.6%
By 2075
31,951 · -40.3%
By 2100
26,821 · -49.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Black 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Portuguese 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pike

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.6%
2008→2024 swing
-19.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+4.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 28.60%
Current HPI
340.8254
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-22.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Pending PWMLS
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $350,000 PWMLS
  • 2026-01-20 Price Changed $395,000 PWMLS
  • 2025-10-08 Price Changed $429,000 PWMLS
  • 2025-03-27 Listed $449,000 PWMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…