206 N Niota Rd · Englewood, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.5/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Attention investors and DIY enthusiasts! Multiple exit strategies: finish this remodel then either flip, rent or move in! Home being sold as is. Cash preferred but will consider financed all offers.
Key facts
- 0.4 acre lot
- Built 1958
- Listed 6 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $310 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 2.4% in Englewood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#128 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Mcminn County (rural): math 24% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #77 of 139 in TN (top 55%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Englewood Elementary (math 31% / reading 30%, grade F, #408 of 952 statewide, top 43%, 539 students, 0% FRL); Central High School (math 2% / reading 37%, grade F, #183 of 332 statewide, top 59%, 650 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 45 units permitted in McMinn County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $32k; list at $95k implies a 197% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.00%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $215,425
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206 N Niota Rd | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,231 (0%) | 1mo | $70,000 | $57 | 99 |
| 103 E Main St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 1,202 (-2%) | 3mo | $228,000 | $190 | 79 |
| 103 E Main St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 1,202 (-2%) | 3mo | $228,000 | $190 | 79 |
| 22 Ingleside Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,197 (-3%) | 11mo | $18,500 | $15 | 56 |
| 203 Englewood Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-2%) | 8mo | $63,000 | $53 | 54 |
| 209 Pond St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 1,136 (-8%) | 20mo | $80,000 | $70 | 47 |
| 3242 Us-411 | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,312 (+7%) | 6mo | $170,000 | $130 | 45 |
| 39 Sunset Ave | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,160 (-6%) | 16mo | $202,500 | $175 | 43 |
| 39 Sunset Ave | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,160 (-6%) | 16mo | $202,500 | $175 | 43 |
| 518 Reynolds St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,232 (+0%) | 18mo | $240,250 | $195 | 43 |
| 412 N Niota Rd | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (-14%) | 18mo | $155,000 | $147 | 42 |
| 501 Dodson Ave | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (-11%) | 10mo | $225,000 | $205 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $4,340
- Equity at exit
- $14,150
- IRR
- 13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.09×
- Total profit
- $29,089
- Equity at exit
- $8,205
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37329
- Home prices YoY
- -12.7%
- Active inventory
- 75
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,128 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$44 /mo · $527/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$237
- Net cashflow
- $310
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $364 | -5% $337 | +0% $310 | +5% $283 | +10% $256 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $221 | -5% $265 | +0% $310 | +5% $355 | +10% $399 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $358 | -0.5pp $334 | base $310 | +0.5pp $285 | +1.0pp $260 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-21$94,900 Active
-
1998-09-29soldstatus $32,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $527 · $44/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $674 · $56/mo
- Expected delta
- +$147/yr (+$12/mo · 27.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,537
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$527
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,083
- − Management
- −$1,083
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable income
- $2,293
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$550
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,170/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mcminn County
- NCES district ID
- 4702820
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,622
- Composite
- 22.49/100
- National rank
- #8099
- State rank
- #77 of 139 in TN
Livability — Englewood
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #128
- US rank
- #11860
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Englewood, TN
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,491
Population outlook (McMinn County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 53,766 people
- By 2030
- 54,098 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 54,450 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 54,202 · +0.8%
- By 2075
- 55,241 · +2.7%
- By 2100
- 56,399 · +4.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · McMinn
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.2) · D 17.5% · R 81.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.9pp · 2024: -64.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.2 2020: R+60.6 2016: R+59.7 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+41.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -36.84%
- Current HPI
- 253.2288
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+196.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-21 Listed $94,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $527 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…