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721 W Lafayette Ave
C+ Composite 62.03
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.1/15.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

721 W Lafayette Ave · Baltimore, MD 21217
5 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,067 sqft · Townhouse public records · 119 Days on market
Built 1900 3,920 sqft lot $97/sqft · 52% above area Est $182k · 10% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Two-unit semi-detached property ideally located at the edge of the Upton and Harlem Park communities. Unit 1 encompasses the first floor and basement and offers 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, a spacious modern kitchen. Unit 2 spans the second and third floors and features 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and an oversized eat-in kitchen. Luxury vinyl tile flooring throughout. Both units are equipped with central air and forced-air heating, with all utilities separately metered.

Key facts

  • Forced-air heating
  • Modern kitchen
  • Central air

Tags

MODERN KITCHENOVERSIZED EAT-IN KITCHENLUXURY VINYL TILE FLOORINGCENTRAL AIRFORCED-AIR HEATINGUTILITIES SEPARATELY METERED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/4.0-bath townhouse listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $780 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
  • Recommended offer: $182k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Elmer A. Henderson: A Johns Hopkins Partnership (math 2% / reading 16%, grade F, #650 of 860 statewide, top 77%, 642 students, 80% FRL); Vanguard Collegiate Middle (math 3% / reading 15%, grade F, #212 of 225 statewide, top 95%, 343 students, 84% FRL); Baltimore Polytechnic Institute (math 71% / reading 84%, grade A-, #22 of 222 statewide, top 10%, 1,555 students, 43% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 12% district-wide (+20 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Baltimore City Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 333 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $200k implies a 186% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $181,909 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
10.97%
Cash-on-cash
16.72%
DSCR
1.74
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$182,273
List price
$199,900
Delta
9.67%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1013 Harlem Ave 0.18mi 5/3.5 2,117 (+2%) 4mo $170,000 $80 82
1344 Division St 0.26mi 5/3.5 2,098 (+2%) 4mo $49,500 $24 80
719 W Lafayette Ave W 0.00mi 4/1.0 (-1) 2,067 (0%) 9mo $120,000 $58 76
703 George St 0.35mi 4/3.5 (-1) 2,160 (+4%) 5mo $285,000 $132 65
754 Dolphin St 0.14mi 5/2.0 1,842 (-11%) 3mo $164,000 $89 64
900 Argyle Ave 0.40mi 4/3.5 (-1) 2,000 (-3%) 6mo $240,000 $120 64
1201 N Fulton Ave 0.68mi 5/4.0 2,100 (+2%) 5mo $280,000 $133 62
329 N Gilmor St 0.63mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,066 (-0%) 6mo $315,000 $152 54
1030 N Fulton Ave 0.65mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,010 (-3%) 9mo $155,000 $77 47
256 Waxter Way 0.62mi 4/3.5 (-1) 1,836 (-11%) 0mo $450,000 $245 45
503 N Paca St 0.68mi 6/3.0 (+1) 1,904 (-8%) 9mo $340,000 $179 39
1810 Edmondson Ave 0.72mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,290 (+11%) 8mo $55,000 $24 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.5%
Equity multiple
1.47×
Total profit
$26,583
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
23.0%
Equity multiple
3.29×
Total profit
$128,293
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21217

Rents YoY
6.6%
Active inventory
333
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,481 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$49 /mo · $587/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$521
Net cashflow
$780

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,494
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $893 -5% $836 +0% $780 +5% $723 +10% $667
Rent -10% $584 -5% $682 +0% $780 +5% $878 +10% $976
Rate -1.0pp $881 -0.5pp $831 base $780 +0.5pp $728 +1.0pp $675

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1032 W Franklin St Baltimore, MD 4.0 4.5 1913 $2,650 $1.39 26d 1 0.32mi
1628 McCulloh St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.5 2000 $2,000 $1.00 6d 1 0.46mi
1725 Druid Hill Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.0 2195 $2,100 $0.96 26d 1 0.46mi
1315 Presstman St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1700 $2,000 $1.18 46d 1 0.54mi
1625 Edmondson Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.0 1500 $2,175 $1.45 6d 1 0.58mi
1625 Edmondson Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.0 1500 $1,895 $1.26 14d 1 0.58mi
147 W Lafayette Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.5 2400 $3,250 $1.35 46d 1 0.79mi
922 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 2364 $2,300 $0.97 26d 1 0.83mi
803 McHenry St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.5 1856 $2,599 $1.40 5d 1 1.02mi
10 E Chase St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.5 2626 $3,499 $1.33 46d 1 1.04mi
2534 McCulloh St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 2861 $3,300 $1.15 26d 1 1.05mi
636 Portland St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1545 $2,650 $1.72 26d 1 1.06mi
2511 Madison Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 2700 $2,700 $1.00 46d 1 1.06mi
324 Scott St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.5 1656 $3,000 $1.81 46d 1 1.07mi
914 Whitelock St Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.5 2880 $2,250 $0.78 6d 1 1.08mi
819 Ramsay St Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.5 1856 $3,000 $1.62 14d 1 1.09mi
2302 Mount Royal Ter Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.5 2351 $3,000 $1.28 26d 1 1.17mi
610 Scott St Baltimore, MD 5.0 3.0 1700 $2,750 $1.62 14d 1 1.21mi
1227 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.5 2664 $2,950 $1.11 6d 1 1.23mi
2128 N Pulaski St Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.0 2166 $2,200 $1.02 46d 1 1.34mi
311 S Pulaski St Baltimore, MD 5.0 3.0 1450 $2,400 $1.66 46d 1 1.35mi
311 S Pulaski St Baltimore, MD 5.0 3.0 1450 $2,400 $1.66 5d 1 1.35mi
2401 W North Ave Baltimore, MD 5.0 2.0 2037 $1,800 $0.88 6d 1 1.38mi
2405 W North Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 3.0 1826 $1,900 $1.04 6d 1 1.38mi
2201 Whittier Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1750 $1,700 $0.97 46d 1 1.39mi
2201 Whittier Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1750 $1,700 $0.97 20d 1 1.39mi
7 W 24th St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 5.0 2.5 1443 $2,395 $1.66 22d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 480-char remark
    Show marketing remark (480 chars)

    Two-unit semi-detached property ideally located at the edge of the Upton and Harlem Park communities. Unit 1 encompasses the first floor and basement and offers 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, a spacious modern kitchen. Unit 2 spans the second and third floors and features 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and an oversized eat-in kitchen. Luxury vinyl tile flooring throughout. Both units are equipped with central air and forced-air heating, with all utilities separately metered.

  2. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 480-char remark
    Show marketing remark (480 chars)

    Two-unit semi-detached property ideally located at the edge of the Upton and Harlem Park communities. Unit 1 encompasses the first floor and basement and offers 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, a spacious modern kitchen. Unit 2 spans the second and third floors and features 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and an oversized eat-in kitchen. Luxury vinyl tile flooring throughout. Both units are equipped with central air and forced-air heating, with all utilities separately metered.

  3. 2026-02-19
    price $199,900 480-char remark
    Show marketing remark (480 chars)

    Two-unit semi-detached property ideally located at the edge of the Upton and Harlem Park communities. Unit 1 encompasses the first floor and basement and offers 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, a spacious modern kitchen. Unit 2 spans the second and third floors and features 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and an oversized eat-in kitchen. Luxury vinyl tile flooring throughout. Both units are equipped with central air and forced-air heating, with all utilities separately metered.

  4. 2026-02-19
    price $199,900 480-char remark
    Show marketing remark (480 chars)

    Two-unit semi-detached property ideally located at the edge of the Upton and Harlem Park communities. Unit 1 encompasses the first floor and basement and offers 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, a spacious modern kitchen. Unit 2 spans the second and third floors and features 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and an oversized eat-in kitchen. Luxury vinyl tile flooring throughout. Both units are equipped with central air and forced-air heating, with all utilities separately metered.

  5. 2026-02-18
    listed $209,900 Active 480-char remark
    Show marketing remark (480 chars)

    Two-unit semi-detached property ideally located at the edge of the Upton and Harlem Park communities. Unit 1 encompasses the first floor and basement and offers 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, a spacious modern kitchen. Unit 2 spans the second and third floors and features 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and an oversized eat-in kitchen. Luxury vinyl tile flooring throughout. Both units are equipped with central air and forced-air heating, with all utilities separately metered.

  6. 2026-01-16
    listed $209,900 Active 480-char remark
    Show marketing remark (480 chars)

    Two-unit semi-detached property ideally located at the edge of the Upton and Harlem Park communities. Unit 1 encompasses the first floor and basement and offers 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, a spacious modern kitchen. Unit 2 spans the second and third floors and features 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and an oversized eat-in kitchen. Luxury vinyl tile flooring throughout. Both units are equipped with central air and forced-air heating, with all utilities separately metered.

  7. 2025-10-10
    historical
  8. 2025-10-10
    historical
  9. 2025-09-11
    status Active
  10. 2025-09-11
    status Active
  11. 2025-09-09
    historical
  12. 2025-09-09
    historical
  13. 2025-09-03
    price $229,900
  14. 2025-09-03
    price $229,900
  15. 2025-07-09
    price $234,900
  16. 2025-07-09
    price $234,900
  17. 2025-05-30
    price $249,900
  18. 2025-05-30
    price $249,900
  19. 2025-04-11
    listed $259,900 Active
  20. 2025-04-10
    listed $259,900 Active
  21. 2025-04-10
    historical
  22. 2025-04-10
    historical
  23. 2024-01-31
    historical
  24. 2024-01-19
    status Active
  25. 2023-10-10
    status Pending
  26. 2023-10-09
    historical
  27. 2023-09-05
    status Active
  28. 2023-08-28
    historical
  29. 2023-08-26
    listed $380,000 Active
  30. 2023-08-08
    historical
  31. 2022-10-18
    soldstatus $70,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$587 · $49/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,383 · $115/mo
Expected delta
+$796/yr (+$66/mo · 135.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,778
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$587
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,382
− Management
−$2,382
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable income
$6,414
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,539
After-tax cash flow
$7,819/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
30,792
Household income
$38,409
Rent vs Own
70.0% rent · 30.0% own
Severe rent burden
2921.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (81%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 81% White 12% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Hispanic 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -187.20%
Current HPI
104.2102
Rent YoY
▲ 6.63%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+185.6% since first listed
31 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-15 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $199,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $199,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-18 Listed $209,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-16 Listed $209,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-10 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-10 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-11 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-11 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-09 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-09 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-03 Price Changed $229,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-03 Price Changed $229,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-09 Price Changed $234,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-09 Price Changed $234,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-05-30 Price Changed $249,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-05-30 Price Changed $249,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-04-11 Listed $259,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-04-10 Listed $259,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-04-10 Coming Soon BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-04-10 Coming Soon BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-01-31 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-01-19 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-10-10 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-10-09 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-09-05 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-08-28 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-08-26 Listed $380,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-08-08 Coming Soon BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+15.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $587 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…