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2405 Grand Ave
B- Composite 68.05
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$44,900

2405 Grand Ave · Parsons, KS 67357
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,418 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 89 Days on market
Built 1907 7,500 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Central heat and air
  • New flooring
  • All appliances

Tags

NEW FLOORINGFRESH INTERIOR PAINTCENTRAL HEAT AND AIRALL APPLIANCESDETACHED GARAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Not in a flood plain
  • HOA & community: No association fees

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One-story (main level living indicated); Above-grade finished area recorded (public records)
  • Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 150 feet

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Free-standing electric oven
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling (has cooling)
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; Refrigerator; Free-standing electric oven; Washer
  • Laundry & utility: Washer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $517 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $42k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.1% vs local median 4.6% in Parsons — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#164 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • Parsons (town): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #143 of 169 in KS (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Labette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $310 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Labette County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $18k; list at $45k implies a 157% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $42,206 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.33%
Cap rate
20.11%
Cash-on-cash
49.35%
DSCR
3.20
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$107,768
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
310 S 24th St 0.09mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,281 (-10%) 1mo $38,500 $30 74
2415 Washington Ave 0.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,380 (-3%) 6mo $30,000 $22 71
2505 Washington Ave 0.33mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,458 (+3%) 6mo $219,000 $150 68
121 S 27th St 0.30mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,454 (+2%) 14mo $119,900 $82 61
2704 Crawford Ave 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,298 (-8%) 3mo $105,000 $81 58
3027 Main St 0.60mi 2/2.0 1,430 (+1%) 12mo $79,900 $56 57
1222 Richard Ave 0.75mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,491 (+5%) 2mo $114,000 $76 46
2330 Clark Ave 0.44mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,577 (+11%) 14mo $34,900 $22 45
2330 Briggs Ave Ave 0.55mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,580 (+11%) 2mo $130,000 $82 45
3027 Washington Ave 0.63mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,268 (-11%) 2mo $89,000 $70 44
3101 Appletgon Ave 0.61mi 2/2.0 1,297 (-8%) 14mo $78,500 $61 42
3108 Thornton Ave 0.73mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,302 (-8%) 12mo $115,000 $88 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
47.0%
Equity multiple
3.04×
Total profit
$25,669
Equity at exit
$6,695
10-year hold
IRR
52.7%
Equity multiple
6.16×
Total profit
$64,818
Equity at exit
$3,882

Cash invested: $12,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 67357

Home prices YoY
-20.4%
Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,047 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$235
Tax est. 1.5%
$56 /mo · $674/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$220
Net cashflow
$517

Break-even live

Break-even rent $393
Max offer price $44,900
Occupancy floor 46%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,225
Closing costs
$1,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    status $44,900 Pending 89 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $44,900 Active 89 DOM
  3. 2026-06-05
    days on market $44,900 Active 87 DOM
  4. 2026-06-04
    days on market $44,900 Active 85 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $44,900 Active 84 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $44,900 Active 83 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $44,900 Active 82 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $44,900 Active 81 DOM
  9. 2026-05-08
    status Active
  10. 2026-03-13
    status Pending
  11. 2026-01-23
    price $44,900
  12. 2026-01-13
    listed $46,000 Active
  13. 2005-06-01
    soldstatus $17,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,567
− Mortgage interest
−$2,515
− Property taxes
−$674
− Insurance
−$224
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,005
− Management
−$1,005
− Depreciation
−$1,306
Taxable income
$5,837
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,401
After-tax cash flow
$4,803/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Parsons
NCES district ID
2010560
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$37,868
Composite
20.46/100
National rank
#8576
State rank
#143 of 169 in KS

Livability — Parsons

Score
70/100
State rank
#164
US rank
#7726

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Parsons, KS
City population
11,786
Population (ZIP)
11,786

Population outlook (Labette County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
19,413 people
By 2030
18,552 · -4.4%
By 2040
16,701 · -14.0%
By 2050
14,832 · -23.6%
By 2075
11,046 · -43.1%
By 2100
8,020 · -58.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Labette

2024 margin
Solid R (+38.2) · D 30.1% · R 68.3% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-25.3pp toward R · 2008: -12.9pp · 2024: -38.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+38.2 2020: R+36.0 2016: R+37.9 2012: R+20.2 2008: R+12.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -37.97%
Current HPI
147.8259
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+156.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Relisted Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-13 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-23 Price Changed $44,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-13 Listed $46,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $17,500 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…