508 Cottonwood Ln · Tecumseh, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.7/30.0
- ARV discount +13.4/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Enjoy a charming small-town atmosphere in Tecumseh with this nice 3BR/1.5BA home, perfectly situated in a convenient location close to shopping, dining, and a park featuring tennis courts, baseball fields and splash pad . This well-maintained property offers peace of mind with a durable metal roof and showcases attractive flooring throughout. Step outside to a huge backyard—ideal for entertaining, gardening, or simply relaxing in your own private space. A wonderful blend of comfort, practicality, and location makes this home a must-see.
Key facts
- Durable metal roof
- Huge backyard
- Close to dining
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property status: Existing
- Financial info: Loan qualification possible; Not assumable
- HOA & community: No mandatory association dues
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage; Garage door lift
- Utilities: Public utilities
- Home design: Single family residence; One-level property; Residential property
- Construction: Brick and frame construction; Metal roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Open patio; Outbuildings; Chain link fencing; Interior lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-stand electric range and oven
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Interior features: Inside utility; Kitchen external exhaust; No fireplace; One living area
- Laundry & utility: Inside utility
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $548 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 5.9% in Tecumseh — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#45 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Tecumseh (town): math 13% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #215 of 270 in OK (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Cross Timbers Es (math 12% / reading 15%, grade F, #642 of 845 statewide, top 76%, 409 students, 0% FRL); Tecumseh Hs (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #222 of 447 statewide, top 52%, 616 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 55% district-wide (55 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 183 units permitted in Pottawatomie County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Pottawatomie County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.66%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $172,480
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 508 Cottonwood Ln | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,760 (0%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $85 | 98 |
| 507 Mark St | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,661 (-6%) | 1mo | $190,000 | $114 | 87 |
| 504 N 8th St | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,968 (+12%) | 15mo | $195,000 | $99 | 65 |
| 303 W Main St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,574 (-11%) | 5mo | $57,500 | $37 | 60 |
| 519 W Park St | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,900 (+8%) | 19mo | $186,100 | $98 | 56 |
| 505 N 4th St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,618 (-8%) | 15mo | $179,900 | $111 | 54 |
| 108 S 7th St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,568 (-11%) | 15mo | $108,000 | $69 | 48 |
| 212 E Main St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (-11%) | 14mo | $60,000 | $38 | 41 |
| 715 W Highland St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,632 (-7%) | 23mo | $229,900 | $141 | 41 |
| 119 W Tennyson Ave | 0.71mi | 3/3.5 | 1,596 (-9%) | 23mo | $140,000 | $88 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.78×
- Total profit
- $116,511
- Equity at exit
- $135,042
- IRR
- 30.9%
- Equity multiple
- 8.52×
- Total profit
- $315,622
- Equity at exit
- $291,223
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74873
- Home prices YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 98
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,900 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$105 /mo · $1,255/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$399
- Net cashflow
- $548
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 802 N 13th St Tecumseh, OK | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2343 | $1,900 | $0.81 | 23d | 1 | 0.39mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-04-17status Pending
-
2026-04-03status Active
-
2026-04-03price $149,900
-
2026-03-26status Pending
-
2026-03-17$169,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,255 · $105/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,349 · $112/mo
- Expected delta
- +$94/yr (+$8/mo · 7.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$1,255
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,824
- − Management
- −$1,824
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $4,390
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,054
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,521/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tecumseh
- NCES district ID
- 4029610
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,473
- Composite
- 13.54/100
- National rank
- #9516
- State rank
- #215 of 270 in OK
Livability — Tecumseh
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #45
- US rank
- #8074
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tecumseh, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,033
Population outlook (Pottawatomie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 76,622 people
- By 2030
- 78,816 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 82,766 · +8.0%
- By 2050
- 86,031 · +12.3%
- By 2075
- 93,316 · +21.8%
- By 2100
- 95,820 · +25.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Native American 12% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pottawatomie
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.2% · R 72.7% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.1pp toward R · 2008: -38.4pp · 2024: -47.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+46.0 2016: R+46.5 2012: R+38.7 2008: R+38.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 14.18%
- Current HPI
- 286.31
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
-11.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Pending — MLSOK
- 2026-04-03 Relisted — MLSOK
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $149,900 MLSOK
- 2026-03-26 Pending — MLSOK
- 2026-03-17 Listed $169,900 MLSOK
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,255 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…