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7039 Forshalee St
C- Composite 51.19
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.6/30.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$196,500

7039 Forshalee St · Brent, FL 32503
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,713 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1973 0.39 ac lot Est $278k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

LOCATION!  3 B, 2 B home nestled in a nice neighborhood—right in the center of town, AND boasts almost a 1/2 acre of land! The huge family room, breakfast nook, & bar make this the perfect home for entertaining. It is hurricane ready with Rebuild NWFL: new copper wiring 2018, new HVAC 2018, & new roof June 2021. The entry foyer & inside laundry make this home even more convenient. The fenced in back yard with workshop & covered pavilion / patio area create a private paradise convenient to everything. Don't miss your chance to own this fantastic property.

Key facts

  • 0.39 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1973

Tags

PRIVACY FENCED BACK YARDCENTRAL PENSACOLA LOCATIONCLOSE PROXIMITY TO SCHOOLSCONVENIENT TO INTERSTATECONVENIENT TO SHOPPING

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking; Converted garage; Open parking available
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers and copper wiring; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-story home; Resale property; Not attached to other properties; Shingle roof; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Frame construction; One level
  • Exterior features: Private backyard with fencing; Patio and porch; Yard building (outbuilding); County-maintained paved road access; Central access lot feature

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Built-in microwave; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (approx. 13.5' x 13'); Second bedroom on the first floor (approx. 11' x 12.5'); Third bedroom on the first floor (approx. 10.5' x 11')
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Fireplace(s); Central air; Ceiling fans for cooling
  • Interior features: Built-in bookcases; Ceiling fans; High-speed internet
  • Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry with washer/dryer hookups

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $196k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $47 ($561/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (7.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $181k (7.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#484 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Reinhardt Holm Elementary School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,513 of 2,144 statewide, top 73%, 453 students, 82% FRL); Washington Senior High School (math 25% / reading 40%, grade F, #411 of 667 statewide, top 62%, 1,733 students, 51% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 240 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $181,389 (7.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
6.58%
Cash-on-cash
1.02%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$277,506
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6227 Vicksburg Dr 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,740 (+2%) 1mo $199,900 $115 80
6111 Confederate Dr 0.35mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,649 (-4%) 1mo $260,000 $158 72
129 Redbreast Ln 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,892 (+10%) 6mo $300,000 $159 64
117 Monarch Ln 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,624 (-5%) 2mo $310,000 $191 60
359 Tree Swallow Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,607 (-6%) 6mo $295,000 $184 54
5910 Duchess Rd 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,837 (+7%) 7mo $310,000 $169 51
6315 White Oak Dr 0.67mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,851 (+8%) 1mo $300,000 $162 50
6500 Antietam Dr 0.58mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,882 (+10%) 4mo $209,000 $111 48
441 Shiloh Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,517 (-11%) 2mo $205,000 $135 46
6337 Parakeet Trl 0.48mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,968 (+15%) 5mo $340,000 $173 43
6410 White Oak Dr 0.60mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,911 (+12%) 7mo $310,000 $162 42
5910 Sarah Dr 0.67mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,932 (+13%) 2mo $120,000 $62 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.39% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.2%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-28,105
Equity at exit
$29,299
10-year hold
IRR
-4.8%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-17,502
Equity at exit
$16,990

Cash invested: $55,020 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32503

Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
240
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,814 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,030
Tax from tax record
$274 /mo · $3,287/yr
Insurance
$82
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$381
Net cashflow
$47

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,755
Max offer price $196,500
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $158 -5% $102 +0% $47 +5% $-9 +10% $-64
Rent -10% $-97 -5% $-25 +0% $47 +5% $118 +10% $190
Rate -1.0pp $146 -0.5pp $97 base $47 +0.5pp $-4 +1.0pp $-56

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,125
Closing costs
$5,895
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
27 E Burgess Rd Pensacola, FL 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,124 $1.02 25d 1 0.50mi
118 Czar Ln Pensacola, FL 4.0 2.0 1477 $1,795 $1.22 25d 1 0.52mi
204 Tree Swallow Dr Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,000 $1.33 25d 1 0.56mi
147 Creekview Dr Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.0 1188 $1,700 $1.43 15d 1 0.65mi
7812 Oak Forest Dr Pensacola, FL 3.0 1.5 1166 $1,750 $1.50 25d 1 1.02mi
400 Schubert Dr Pensacola, FL 3.0 2.5 1600 $2,100 $1.31 25d 1 1.09mi
7150 Plantation Rd #122 Pensacola, FL 2.0 2.0 1092 $1,500 $1.37 25d 1 1.10mi
1040 E Olive Rd Pensacola, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 897 $1,644 $1.83 25d 7 1.33mi
6115 N Davis Hwy Pensacola, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1112 $1,825 $1.64 15d 10 1.33mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    historical Contingent
  2. 2026-05-04
    listed $196,500 Active
  3. 2024-08-09
    historical
  4. 2024-07-19
    price $267,000
  5. 2024-07-05
    price $288,000
  6. 2024-06-23
    listed $299,900 Active
  7. 2022-07-08
    soldstatus $250,000
  8. 2022-06-30
    status Pending 592-char remark
    Show marketing remark (592 chars)

    LOCATION!  3 B, 2 B home nestled in a nice neighborhood—right in the center of town, AND boasts almost a 1/2 acre of land! The huge family room, breakfast nook, & bar make this the perfect home for entertaining. It is hurricane ready with Rebuild NWFL: new copper wiring 2018, new HVAC 2018, & new roof June 2021. The entry foyer & inside laundry make this home even more convenient. The fenced in back yard with workshop & covered pavilion / patio area create a private paradise convenient to everything. Don't miss your chance to own this fantastic property.

  9. 2022-06-30
    soldstatus $250,000 Sold 592-char remark
    Show marketing remark (592 chars)

    LOCATION!  3 B, 2 B home nestled in a nice neighborhood—right in the center of town, AND boasts almost a 1/2 acre of land! The huge family room, breakfast nook, & bar make this the perfect home for entertaining. It is hurricane ready with Rebuild NWFL: new copper wiring 2018, new HVAC 2018, & new roof June 2021. The entry foyer & inside laundry make this home even more convenient. The fenced in back yard with workshop & covered pavilion / patio area create a private paradise convenient to everything. Don't miss your chance to own this fantastic property.

  10. 2022-05-27
    historical Contingent 592-char remark
    Show marketing remark (592 chars)

    LOCATION!  3 B, 2 B home nestled in a nice neighborhood—right in the center of town, AND boasts almost a 1/2 acre of land! The huge family room, breakfast nook, & bar make this the perfect home for entertaining. It is hurricane ready with Rebuild NWFL: new copper wiring 2018, new HVAC 2018, & new roof June 2021. The entry foyer & inside laundry make this home even more convenient. The fenced in back yard with workshop & covered pavilion / patio area create a private paradise convenient to everything. Don't miss your chance to own this fantastic property.

  11. 2022-05-22
    listed $250,000 Active 592-char remark
    Show marketing remark (592 chars)

    LOCATION!  3 B, 2 B home nestled in a nice neighborhood—right in the center of town, AND boasts almost a 1/2 acre of land! The huge family room, breakfast nook, & bar make this the perfect home for entertaining. It is hurricane ready with Rebuild NWFL: new copper wiring 2018, new HVAC 2018, & new roof June 2021. The entry foyer & inside laundry make this home even more convenient. The fenced in back yard with workshop & covered pavilion / patio area create a private paradise convenient to everything. Don't miss your chance to own this fantastic property.

  12. 2005-02-03
    soldstatus $139,900
  13. 2005-01-26
    soldstatus $139,900
  14. 2004-12-08
    listed $139,900
  15. 2004-10-13
    soldstatus $115,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,287 · $274/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,287 · $274/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,767
− Mortgage interest
−$11,007
− Property taxes
−$3,287
− Insurance
−$982
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,741
− Management
−$1,741
− Depreciation
−$5,716
Taxable loss
−$2,708
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$650
After-tax cash flow
$1,211/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Escambia
NCES district ID
1200510
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,649
Composite
36.04/100
National rank
#4773
State rank
#56 of 73 in FL

Livability — Brent

Score
69/100
State rank
#484
US rank
#8921

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Brent, FL
County
Escambia County · 301,722 people
City population
27,543
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
Population (ZIP)
33,559
Household income
$71,411
Rent vs Own
30.8% rent · 69.2% own
Severe rent burden
948.0

Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
334,637 people
By 2030
345,779 · +3.3%
By 2040
364,828 · +9.0%
By 2050
378,514 · +13.1%
By 2075
403,220 · +20.5%
By 2100
386,125 · +15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 20% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Escambia

2024 margin
R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -300.02%
Current HPI
294.4873
Rent YoY
▲ 3.39%
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+70.9% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Contingent PARMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $196,500 PARMLS
  • 2024-08-09 Listing Removed PARMLS
  • 2024-07-19 Price Changed $267,000 PARMLS
  • 2024-07-05 Price Changed $288,000 PARMLS
  • 2024-06-23 Listed $299,900 PARMLS
  • 2022-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $250,000 Public Records
  • 2022-06-30 Pending PARMLS
  • 2022-06-30 Sold (MLS) $250,000 PARMLS
  • 2022-05-27 Contingent PARMLS
  • 2022-05-22 Listed $250,000 PARMLS
  • 2005-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $139,900 Public Records
  • 2005-01-26 Sold (MLS) $139,900 PARMLS
  • 2004-12-08 Listed $139,900 PARMLS
  • 2004-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+15.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,287 · +2522.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…