Duplex
5216 Louisiana Ave · St. Louis, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +10.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Rehab opportunity on a quite street in South City. A lot of the work has already been done for you and needs some finishing touches to get these units rent ready. These were previously rented at $550 a month per and are easy to rent. Close to St. Cecili'as and their famous Fish Fry. The building has newer water heaters and a brand new water line into the building. Good bones and ready for a new owner to restore this one back to glory. Seller is selling as is. Easy to show, so call you realtor today and get in to check it out!
Key facts
- Newer water heaters
- Well maintained
- Newer water line
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Above-grade finished area approximately 1,938 (assessor)
- Financial info: Annual taxes listed (see agent for details)
Exterior
- Home design: Residential income property; Multi-unit building (2-4 units)
- Construction: Brick and frame construction
- Exterior features: Small lot (about 0.074 acres); Neighborhood: Carondelet
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total units: 4 one-bedroom units
- Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central Air
- Interior features: Central air conditioning
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $581 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $290/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Woodward Elem. (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,072 of 1,115 statewide, top 98%, 239 students, 99% FRL); Gateway Middle (math 0% / reading 8%, grade F, #389 of 391 statewide, top 100%, 506 students, 99% FRL); Roosevelt High (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #517 of 521 statewide, top 100%, 460 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 80% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 125 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,890/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 1364% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $150k implies a 173% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.59%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $158,916
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 507 Eiler St | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 | 2,016 (+4%) | 4mo | $129,900 | $64 | 76 |
| 5044 Louisiana Ave | 0.06mi | 4/2.0 | 2,196 (+13%) | 8mo | $179,000 | $82 | 68 |
| 5042 Louisiana Ave | 0.07mi | 4/2.0 | 2,196 (+13%) | 8mo | $179,000 | $82 | 68 |
| 4637 Virginia Ave | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 | 1,980 (+2%) | 23mo | $159,900 | $81 | 60 |
| 329 Eichelberger St | 0.46mi | 4/— | 2,190 (+13%) | 8mo | $13,000 | $6 | 51 |
| 3651 Bowen | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,070 (+7%) | 18mo | $265,000 | $128 | 40 |
| 3660 Wilmington Ave | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 | 2,160 (+12%) | 20mo | $270,000 | $125 | 40 |
| 301 Dover St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,028 (+5%) | 23mo | $119,900 | $59 | 39 |
| 3911 Dover Pl | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 | 2,208 (+14%) | 22mo | $275,000 | $125 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.27% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $13,136
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.45×
- Total profit
- $60,980
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63111
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 125
- Price-to-rent
- 13.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,890 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$63 /mo · $761/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$397
- Net cashflow
- $581
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $665 | -5% $623 | +0% $581 | +5% $538 | +10% $496 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $431 | -5% $506 | +0% $581 | +5% $655 | +10% $730 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $656 | -0.5pp $619 | base $581 | +0.5pp $542 | +1.0pp $502 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 2 | $1,890 |
| #1 | 2 | 2 | $945 |
| #2 | 2 | 2 | $945 |
| Total (2 units) | $1,890 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3635 Marceline Ter Unit 2ND St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,275 | $1.02 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 4217 S Grand Blvd Unit 1 St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,400 | $1.12 | 5d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4450 Pennsylvania Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 0d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4222 S 38th St Unit 4222 St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1836 | $1,400 | $0.76 | 21d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 4222 S 38th St St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1836 | $1,400 | $0.76 | 0d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3637 Meramec St Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1632 | $1,925 | $1.18 | 18d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 4145 S Compton Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1656 | $1,520 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 4135 S Compton Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2104 | $1,600 | $0.76 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 4312 Oregon Ave Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2032 | $2,000 | $0.98 | 0d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 6730 Vermont Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1534 | $1,600 | $1.04 | 16d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 4005 S Grand Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1323 | $1,150 | $0.87 | 17d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 6800 Virginia Ave Unit 1 St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,475 | $0.98 | 19d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3146 Keokuk St Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1528 | $1,500 | $0.98 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3131 Keokuk St #3131 Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,475 | $0.98 | 16d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 5970 Wanda Ave Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1282 | $1,995 | $1.56 | 19d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 4114 Alma Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1269 | $2,065 | $1.63 | 0d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 4114 Alma Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1269 | $2,065 | $1.63 | 3d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3857 Boulevard Heights Ct Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1697 | $2,250 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 5836 Goener Ave Unit 2F St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,500 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $150,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 275-char remark
-
2026-06-10$150,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $761 · $63/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,455 · $121/mo
- Expected delta
- +$694/yr (+$58/mo · 91.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,680
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$761
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,814
- − Management
- −$1,814
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $4,774
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,146
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,821/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis City
- NCES district ID
- 2929280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,685
- Composite
- 11.54/100
- National rank
- #9699
- State rank
- #312 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Louis
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Louis, MO
- County
- Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
- City population
- 283,259
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,851
- Household income
- $47,039
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1364.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,737 people
- By 2030
- 313,865 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 305,439 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 296,529 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 271,028 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 255,359 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 42% White 41% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, India
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.80%
- Current HPI
- 169.4644
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.27%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+294.7% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $150,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-03-05 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2021-02-22 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-02-22 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-01-20 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-01-15 Listed $65,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-10-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2009-10-16 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
- 1999-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $77,050 Public Records
- 1999-05-14 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1997-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $26,600 Public Records
- 1997-02-19 Sold (Public Records) $26,600 Public Records
- 1997-02-19 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records
- 1991-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2024): $761 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…