🏷️ Likely Rental
3905 Wabash St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Do not disturb the tenant please. Large, updated 5 bedroom house. New sewer installed in the backyard! Updated house throughout! Main level laundry off of kitchen. All appliances included.
Key facts
- New sewer
- Main level laundry
- 2,178 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $746 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 184 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,075/mo this rent would consume 69% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 601% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 23 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $99k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.84%
- DSCR
- 2.02
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $370,680
- List price
- $140,000
- Delta
- -62.23%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3937 Avery St | 0.25mi | 5/2.5 | 2,132 (-7%) | 10mo | $342,000 | $160 | 66 |
| 3917 16th St | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,037 (-11%) | 3mo | $35,000 | $17 | 65 |
| 1570 Butternut St | 0.55mi | 5/2.0 | 2,143 (-6%) | 4mo | $77,000 | $36 | 60 |
| 4314 Trumbull St | 0.46mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,033 (-11%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $135 | 49 |
| 3677 #A Lincoln St | 0.46mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,949 (-15%) | 21mo | $150,000 | $77 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $24,818
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 24.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.11×
- Total profit
- $82,741
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48208
- Home prices YoY
- -5.9%
- Active inventory
- 184
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,075 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$101 /mo · $1,207/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$436
- Net cashflow
- $746
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3934 Avery St Detroit, MI | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2500 | $3,000 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $140,000 Pending 61 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $140,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-04-23price $140,000 188-char remark
Show marketing remark (188 chars)
Do not disturb the tenant please. Large, updated 5 bedroom house. New sewer installed in the backyard! Updated house throughout! Main level laundry off of kitchen. All appliances included.
-
2026-04-22price $140,000 189-char remark
Show marketing remark (189 chars)
Do not disturb the tenant please. Large, updated 5 bedroom house. New sewer installed in the backyard! Updated house throughout! Main level laundry off of kitchen. All appliances included.
-
2026-04-22price $140,000
Show marketing remark (189 chars)
Do not disturb the tenant please. Large, updated 5 bedroom house. New sewer installed in the backyard! Updated house throughout! Main level laundry off of kitchen. All appliances included.
-
2026-04-02$150,000 Active 189-char remark
Show marketing remark (189 chars)
Do not disturb the tenant please. Large, updated 5 bedroom house. New sewer installed in the backyard! Updated house throughout! Main level laundry off of kitchen. All appliances included.
-
2026-04-02$150,000 Active
Show marketing remark (189 chars)
Do not disturb the tenant please. Large, updated 5 bedroom house. New sewer installed in the backyard! Updated house throughout! Main level laundry off of kitchen. All appliances included.
-
2026-04-02historical $150,000
Show marketing remark (189 chars)
Do not disturb the tenant please. Large, updated 5 bedroom house. New sewer installed in the backyard! Updated house throughout! Main level laundry off of kitchen. All appliances included.
-
2026-03-25$150,000 Active 188-char remark
Show marketing remark (188 chars)
Do not disturb the tenant please. Large, updated 5 bedroom house. New sewer installed in the backyard! Updated house throughout! Main level laundry off of kitchen. All appliances included.
-
2023-11-10historical
-
2023-11-10historical
-
2023-10-06$175,000 Active
-
2023-10-06$175,000 Active
-
2023-09-29historical
-
2023-09-29historical
-
2022-06-10historical
-
2022-06-10historical
-
2022-03-25price $125,000
-
2022-03-25price $125,000
-
2022-03-05$150,000 Active
-
2022-03-05$150,000 Active
-
2022-03-03historical
-
2022-03-03historical
-
2018-06-12soldstatus $99,000
-
2018-05-15soldstatus $99,000 Sold
-
2018-05-15soldstatus $99,000 Closed
-
2018-04-24status Pending
-
2018-04-24status Pending
-
2018-04-05price $99,000
-
2018-04-05price $99,000
-
2018-03-20$110,000 Active
-
2018-03-20$110,000 Active
-
2017-11-09historical
-
2017-11-09historical
-
2017-10-23price $74,000
-
2017-10-23price $74,000
-
2017-10-22price $83,000
-
2017-10-22price $83,000
-
2017-10-22price $81,000
-
2017-10-14price $90,000
-
2017-10-14price $90,000
-
2017-10-14status Active
-
2017-10-12historical
-
2017-10-02price $95,000
-
2017-10-02price $95,000
-
2017-09-15status Active
-
2017-09-12historical
-
2017-09-08$105,000 Active
-
2017-09-08$105,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,207 · $101/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,682 · $140/mo
- Expected delta
- +$474/yr (+$40/mo · 39.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,899
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$1,207
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,992
- − Management
- −$1,992
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $7,093
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,702
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,251/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,037
- Household income
- $36,194
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 601.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% White 23% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -10.56%
- Current HPI
- 168.8907
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+536.4% since first listed77 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $140,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $140,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $140,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-02 Listed $150,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-02 Listed $150,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-02 Coming Soon $150,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-25 Listed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-11-10 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-11-10 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2023-10-06 Listed $175,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-10-06 Listed $175,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-09-29 Coming Soon — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-09-29 Coming Soon — REALCOMP
- 2022-06-10 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-06-10 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2022-03-25 Price Changed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-03-25 Price Changed $125,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-03-05 Listed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-03-05 Listed $150,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-03-03 Coming Soon — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-03-03 Coming Soon — REALCOMP
- 2018-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $99,000 Public Records
- 2018-05-15 Sold (MLS) $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-05-15 Sold (MLS) $99,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-04-24 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-04-24 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2018-04-05 Price Changed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-04-05 Price Changed $99,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-03-20 Listed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-03-20 Listed $110,000 REALCOMP
- 2017-11-09 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-11-09 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2017-10-23 Price Changed $74,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-10-23 Price Changed $74,000 REALCOMP
- 2017-10-22 Price Changed $83,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-10-22 Price Changed $83,000 REALCOMP
- 2017-10-22 Price Changed $81,000 REALCOMP
- 2017-10-14 Price Changed $90,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-10-14 Price Changed $90,000 REALCOMP
- 2017-10-14 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2017-10-12 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2017-10-02 Price Changed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-10-02 Price Changed $95,000 REALCOMP
- 2017-09-15 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2017-09-12 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2017-09-08 Listed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2017-09-08 Listed $105,000 REALCOMP
- 2017-01-15 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2017-01-12 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2016-11-22 Sold (MLS) $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-11-22 Sold (MLS) $30,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-11-20 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-11-19 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2016-10-14 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2016-10-12 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2016-08-25 Price Changed $40,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-08-24 Price Changed $40,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-07-15 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2016-07-12 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2016-05-24 Price Changed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-05-23 Price Changed $50,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-04-27 Price Changed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-04-27 Price Changed $70,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-04-15 Listed $80,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-03-29 Listed $80,000 REALCOMP
- 2012-07-10 Sold (MLS) $3,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-07-10 Sold (MLS) $3,000 REALCOMP
- 2012-01-03 Listed $1,100 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-01-03 Listed $1,100 REALCOMP
- 2011-12-31 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-12-31 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2011-09-13 Listed $22,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-09-13 Listed $22,000 REALCOMP
- 2011-09-11 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-09-11 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2011-06-11 Listed $22,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-06-11 Listed $22,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,207 · -8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…