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46 Wayne Ave Triplex
B+ Composite 76.95
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$850,000

46 Wayne Ave · Suffern, NY 10901
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,043 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 106 Days on market
Built 1890 9,148 sqft lot Est $1106k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Whether you’re an investor seeking strong rental demand or an owner-occupant looking to offset expense, this triplex represent a compelling opportunity in one of Rockland County’s most sought after location. The home boasts plenty of off street parking, a valuable amenity in this highly desirable area. Perfectly situated just minutes from shops, dining and everyday convenience, this property also provides exceptional commuter access . It is close to the train station in Suffern, major highways, Orange County and New Jersey. *PARCEL DEAL - Must also buy lot and building at 42 & 44 Wayne.

Key facts

  • Off street parking
  • Commuter access
  • 9,148 sq ft lot

Tags

OFF STREET PARKINGCOMMUTER ACCESSCLOSE TO TRAIN STATIONSOUGHT AFTER LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 5-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $850k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($37k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $850k).
  • Recommended offer: $774k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 3.1% in Suffern — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#546 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, schools B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Suffern Central School District (suburban): math 53% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #242 of 590 in NY (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 225 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 429 units permitted in Rockland County in 2024 (231 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $11,626/mo this rent would consume 129% of the median local household income ($108k/yr) (locally 828% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $26k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rockland County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $238k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($774k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $550k; list at $850k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $773,500 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
10.68%
Cash-on-cash
15.68%
DSCR
1.70
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$1,105,837
List price
$850,000
Delta
-23.14%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
78 E Maple Ave 0.37mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,087 (+2%) 17mo $705,000 $338 56
11 Prairie Ave 0.48mi 5/2.0 1,975 (-3%) 17mo $699,000 $354 54
88 Washington Ave 0.47mi 6/4.0 (+1) 2,310 (+13%) 1mo $850,000 $368 47
5 Brook St 0.55mi 4/3.5 (-1) 2,308 (+13%) 15mo $662,500 $287 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.5%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$60,598
Equity at exit
$126,738
10-year hold
IRR
15.9%
Equity multiple
2.30×
Total profit
$308,984
Equity at exit
$73,492

Cash invested: $238,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 10901

Active inventory
225
Price-to-rent
18.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$11,626 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,457
Tax from tax record
$1,264 /mo · $15,163/yr
Insurance
$354
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,441
Net cashflow
$3,109

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,690
Max offer price $850,000
Occupancy floor 68%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $11,626

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$212,500
Closing costs
$25,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10 Millbury St Suffern, NY 6.0 2.5 2578 $6,500 $2.52 43d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $850,000 Active 106 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $850,000 Active 105 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $850,000 Active 104 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $850,000 Active 103 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $850,000 Active 101 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $850,000 Active 97 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $850,000 Active 96 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $850,000 Active 95 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $850,000 Active 92 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $850,000 Active 91 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $850,000 Active 90 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $850,000 Active 89 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $850,000 Active 88 DOM
  14. 2026-03-04
    listed $850,000 Active 609-char remark
    Show marketing remark (609 chars)

    Whether you’re an investor seeking strong rental demand or an owner-occupant looking to offset expense, this triplex represent a compelling opportunity in one of Rockland County’s most sought after location. The home boasts plenty of off street parking, a valuable amenity in this highly desirable area. Perfectly situated just minutes from shops, dining and everyday convenience, this property also provides exceptional commuter access . It is close to the train station in Suffern, major highways, Orange County and New Jersey. *PARCEL DEAL - Must also buy lot and building at 42 & 44 Wayne.

  15. 2012-10-04
    soldstatus $550,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$15,163 · $1,264/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$15,163 · $1,264/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$139,512
− Mortgage interest
−$47,613
− Property taxes
−$15,163
− Insurance
−$4,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$11,161
− Management
−$11,161
− Depreciation
−$24,727
Taxable income
$25,437
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$6,105
After-tax cash flow
$31,207/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Suffern Central School District
NCES district ID
3628320
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$85,871
Composite
51.17/100
National rank
#1758
State rank
#242 of 590 in NY

Livability — Suffern

Score
68/100
State rank
#546
US rank
#9788

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime C+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Suffern, NY
County
Rockland County · 98,828 people
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
27,095
Household income
$108,041
Rent vs Own
28.8% rent · 71.2% own
Severe rent burden
828.0

Population outlook (Rockland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
339,642 people
By 2030
345,987 · +1.9%
By 2040
357,178 · +5.2%
By 2050
362,456 · +6.7%
By 2075
367,281 · +8.1%
By 2100
328,211 · -3.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 10% Two or more races 6% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Scotch-Irish 4% Hispanic 4%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
69% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Rockland

2024 margin
R (+11.8) · D 44.1% · R 55.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.7pp toward R · 2008: 5.9pp · 2024: -11.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.8 2020: D+1.7 2016: D+5.1 2012: D+6.6 2008: D+5.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -582.29%
Current HPI
282.4798
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+54.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-04 Listed $850,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $550,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $15,163 · +23.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…