1051 Forrest Nelson Blvd #201 · Port Charlotte, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.4%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Furnished Top Floor unit just a stones throw away from the pool. This condo features 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. The primary bedroom features an En Suite bathroom and is on the opposite side from the guest bedroom which makes this great for privacy. Off of the primary bedroom is a lovely balcony to enjoy your morning coffee on. There are a few updates that need to be made but many of them have been done already, including a Newer washer/dryer, Brand New still in the box microwave, Newer Roof and Newer water heater. This condo is netstled among mature trees and a lovely community pool. Shopping, restaurants etc is just a few miles down the road on Cochran Blvd. Make your appointmet today. B
Key facts
- En suite bathroom
- Lovely balcony
- Newer roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Buyer approval required for community membership
- Financial info: Total monthly fees: $365; Total annual fees: $4,380; Unit is furnished
- HOA & community: HOA (Gateway) with monthly fee of $365; HOA covers pool, maintenance (structure and grounds), management, and escrow reserves; Association approval required; Community pool and sidewalks; Pets allowed (cats and dogs), maximum pet weight 25 lbs; Lease restrictions apply
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Attached condominium; Two-story building; unit located on the 2nd floor; Northeast-facing
- Construction: Stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as part of a multi-unit building (building C, unit C-201)
- Exterior features: Screened patio/porch; Hurricane shutters; Sidewalks; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen layout
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (one on the second floor)
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Open floor plan; Split bedroom floor plan; Balcony; Sliding doors
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry closet inside the unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $122 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.4% in Port Charlotte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#655 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, amenities F.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 707 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.37%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-16,387
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- -14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-22,521
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33952
- Home prices YoY
- -4.8%
- Rents YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 707
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,711 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$186 /mo · $2,233/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$365
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$359
- Net cashflow
- $122
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20012 Goldcup Ct Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 923 | $1,595 | $1.73 | 21d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 425 Ricold Ter Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $1,400 | $1.54 | 21d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 19505 Quesada Ave Port Charlotte, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 797 | $2,800 | $3.51 | 13d | 8 | 0.58mi |
| 1515 Forrest Nelson Blvd Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 899 | $2,000 | $2.22 | 21d | 2 | 0.89mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $365 · $4,380/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $119,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $119,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $119,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $119,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-21price $119,900
-
2026-05-06$121,900 Active
-
2006-10-02soldstatus $115,000
-
1993-12-22soldstatus $45,700
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,233 · $186/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,233 · $186/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 40% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,538
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$2,233
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,643
- − Management
- −$1,643
- − HOA
- −$4,380
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable loss
- −$165
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$40
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,507/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — Port Charlotte
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #655
- US rank
- #13081
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Port Charlotte, FL
- County
- Charlotte County · 196,994 people
- City population
- 102,180
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,231
- Household income
- $61,382
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 733.0
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -17.18%
- Current HPI
- 339.0932
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.35%
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+162.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $119,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-06 Listed $121,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 1993-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $45,700 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,233 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…