17831 Community St · Lansing, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.0/30.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- ARV discount +5.3/15.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well Cared for Raised Ranch Home with great floor plan and ample room for a growing family. 3 Bedrooms, Full Bath, Kitchen, Dining Rm, and Living Room on main level. 4th Bedroom, REC Room, 2nd Kitchen, and 3/4th Bath in Lower Level.
Key facts
- Renovated bathrooms
- Second kitchen
- Finished basement
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No master association fee required; Community features include curbs, sidewalks, street lights and paved streets
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with garage door opener (garage owned); Off-alley access; Approximately 1.5 garage/total parking spaces
- Utilities: Water from Lake Michigan and public supply; Public sewer and storm sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Detached single-family raised ranch; Fee-simple ownership; Rehab completed in 2019; Built before 1978 (61–70 years old)
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Street paved with curbs, sidewalks and street lights; Commuter access: bus, train and interstate access
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Second kitchen area in the basement (13 x 13)
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main level (12 x 13); Second bedroom on the main level (12 x 12); Third bedroom on the main level (10 x 12); Fourth bedroom in the basement (13 x 18) — lower-level bedroom
- Flooring: Laminate flooring throughout main areas; Wood laminate in master bedroom, kitchen, family room and some bedrooms; Carpet in one bedroom; Tile flooring in basement kitchen, family room and laundry
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Basement has a bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning; Gas water heater; Circuit breaker electrical
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Finished, full basement; 1 fireplace in the basement; 9 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry (washer and dryer); 8 x 8 laundry room in the basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $98 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $182k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#296 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, health & safety D+.
- Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215 (suburban): math 9% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #563 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 132 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $110k; list at $200k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.10%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $190,800
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17821 Roy St | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 1,188 (-7%) | 1mo | $117,500 | $99 | 85 |
| 17714 Burnham Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 1,303 (+2%) | 1mo | $164,494 | $126 | 80 |
| 17908 Lorenz Ave | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,294 (+2%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $174 | 76 |
| 17913 Oakwood Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,257 (-1%) | 2mo | $182,000 | $145 | 70 |
| 17518 Roy St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-6%) | 0mo | $160,000 | $133 | 66 |
| 3634 178th St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (+6%) | 3mo | $277,000 | $205 | 65 |
| 18013 Park Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-6%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $150 | 64 |
| 17526 Shirley Dr | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 1,175 (-8%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $102 | 60 |
| 18032 Wildwood Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,224 (-4%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $139 | 58 |
| 3316 Ann St | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 | 1,264 (-1%) | 3mo | $260,000 | $206 | 58 |
| 17759 Maple St | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,328 (+4%) | 4mo | $276,999 | $209 | 58 |
| 7741 Hohman Ave | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,193 (-6%) | 4mo | $230,000 | $193 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-26,023
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- -3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-14,063
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60438
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,087 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$419 /mo · $5,025/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$438
- Net cashflow
- $98
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3020 178th St Unit C1 Lansing, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,550 | $1.72 | 1d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3020 178th St Apt C7 Lansing, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,550 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3069 Bernice Rd Apt 2N Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,535 | $1.62 | 20d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3069 Bernice Rd Apt 2S Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,535 | $1.62 | 2d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 18335 Sherman St Unit 3 Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 1d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3023 Bernice Rd Apt 2S Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 1d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 3649 173rd Ct Lansing, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 972 | $1,357 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 232 Gregory Ave Munster, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $2,450 | $1.53 | 1d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 7611 Kinsley Pl Munster, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $4,700 | $2.76 | 1d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 7610 Manor Ave Munster, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $4,750 | $2.79 | 1d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 17723 Exchange Ave Unit 17723-1N Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 1d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 18343 Oakwood Ave Lansing, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,700 | $1.59 | 1d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3341 S Schultz Dr Lansing, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $2,250 | $1.55 | 10d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2824 186th St Lansing, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,900 | $2.07 | 10d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1539 Wentworth Ave Unit 3W Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 12d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 18361 Glen Oak Ave Unit 1E Lansing, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 18381 Torrence Ave Lansing, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $200,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $200,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $200,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $200,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $200,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $200,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $200,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $200,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $200,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $200,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $200,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $200,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $200,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-03-18$200,000 Active
-
2017-09-12soldstatus $110,000
-
2017-09-01soldstatus $113,000 Closed Sale 232-char remark
Show marketing remark (232 chars)
Well Cared for Raised Ranch Home with great floor plan and ample room for a growing family. 3 Bedrooms, Full Bath, Kitchen, Dining Rm, and Living Room on main level. 4th Bedroom, REC Room, 2nd Kitchen, and 3/4th Bath in Lower Level.
-
2017-08-16historical Contingent 232-char remark
Show marketing remark (232 chars)
Well Cared for Raised Ranch Home with great floor plan and ample room for a growing family. 3 Bedrooms, Full Bath, Kitchen, Dining Rm, and Living Room on main level. 4th Bedroom, REC Room, 2nd Kitchen, and 3/4th Bath in Lower Level.
-
2017-07-20$119,999 New 232-char remark
Show marketing remark (232 chars)
Well Cared for Raised Ranch Home with great floor plan and ample room for a growing family. 3 Bedrooms, Full Bath, Kitchen, Dining Rm, and Living Room on main level. 4th Bedroom, REC Room, 2nd Kitchen, and 3/4th Bath in Lower Level.
-
1987-06-01soldstatus $67,500
-
1978-10-06soldstatus $56,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,025 · $419/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,025 · $419/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,048
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$5,025
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,004
- − Management
- −$2,004
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$2,005
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$481
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,659/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215
- NCES district ID
- 1738940
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,207
- Composite
- 10.27/100
- National rank
- #9793
- State rank
- #563 of 620 in IL
Livability — Lansing
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #296
- US rank
- #5698
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lansing, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 28,806
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,806
- Household income
- $75,681
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 830.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 51% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 12% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -151.65%
- Current HPI
- 210.3398
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+254.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-18 Listed $200,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2017-09-01 Sold (MLS) $113,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-08-16 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-07-20 Listed $119,999 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1987-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $67,500 Public Records
- 1978-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $56,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.3%/yrLatest (2023): $5,025 · +26.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…