Multi-family
18 Victoria Ave · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
This is a true gem! Live for practically FREE! Have you upstairs tenant pay for your living. Bring some elbow grease and paint and have instant sweat equity. You will be upset with yourself if you miss this one.
Key facts
- Multi family home
- Two family home
- 5,175 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Two-unit multifamily property with separate gas and electric meters (one of each); Operating expense details: see remarks
Exterior
- Parking: Paved parking
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-story building; Resale property; Mixed exterior materials including brick, vinyl siding and wood siding
- Construction: Brick, vinyl and wood siding construction
- Exterior features: Rectangular residential lot near public transit; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 45 x 115
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen in one unit; Formal dining room adjacent to kitchen in the other unit
- Bedrooms: One 1-bedroom unit; One 2-bedroom unit
- Flooring: Hardwood; Tile; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms total (each unit has one full bath)
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating with forced air, hot water and zoned options noted; Zoned cooling
- Interior features: Hardwood, tile, vinyl and varied flooring throughout; Full basement; See remarks / other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $588 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $220k).
- Recommended offer: $217k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 90 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,668/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 1820% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $110k; list at $220k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.46%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $109,616
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Victoria Ave | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,612 (0%) | 23mo | $110,000 | $68 | 81 |
| 111 Marigold Ave | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,663 (+3%) | 14mo | $105,000 | $63 | 56 |
| 2170 Main St | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,816 (+13%) | 15mo | $299,999 | $165 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $9,615
- Equity at exit
- $32,788
- IRR
- 15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.47×
- Total profit
- $90,475
- Equity at exit
- $19,013
Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14214
- Rents YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 13.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,668 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,153
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$275 /mo · $3,298/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$560
- Net cashflow
- $588
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 2 | 1 | $1,392 |
| 1× unit | 1 | 1 | $1,276 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,668 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,975
- Closing costs
- $6,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76 Vernon Pl Unit Upper Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $1,595 | $1.34 | 14d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 76 Vernon Pl Unit Lower Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $1,445 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 202 Summit Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2000 | $2,400 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 89 Lasalle Ave Buffalo, NY | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 1024 | $2,291 | $2.24 | 1d | 10 | 0.83mi |
| 25 Parkridge Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1914 | $1,350 | $0.71 | 14d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 121 Humboldt Pkwy Unit B Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1265 | $1,750 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 117 Humboldt Pkwy Unit A Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1105 | $2,300 | $2.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 107 Humboldt Pkwy Unit A Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1172 | $1,995 | $1.70 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2 Agassiz Cir Unit A Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $2,150 | $2.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 40 Lisbon Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1057 | $1,500 | $1.42 | 11d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 163 Carmel Rd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 2d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 263 Minnesota Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1242 | $1,500 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 563 Humboldt Pkwy Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2004 | $1,200 | $0.60 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 222 Lisbon Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 222 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 265 Lisbon Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 179 Donaldson Rd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,350 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 27 Henley Rd Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,299 | $1.08 | 14d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 74 Dorris Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 60 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,650 | $1.18 | 1d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 102 Florida St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $1,650 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 184 Butler Ave Unit 1545840P Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1496 | $3,226 | $2.16 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 414 Taunton Pl Unit Lowet Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,700 | $1.38 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 307 Sterling Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1632 | $1,800 | $1.10 | 3d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 79 Commonwealth Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,600 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 73 Inter Park Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2080 | $1,300 | $0.62 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 88 Commonwealth Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1355 | $1,695 | $1.25 | 19d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 359 Colvin Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2010 | $2,100 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 63 Montrose Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2240 | $2,000 | $0.89 | 1d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1786 Main St Unit 103 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1110 | $1,677 | $1.51 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 1786 Main St Unit 104 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1256 | $1,875 | $1.49 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $219,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $219,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $219,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $219,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $219,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $219,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $219,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $219,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $219,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $219,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $219,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $219,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $219,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $219,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-27$219,900 Active
-
2024-07-18soldstatus $110,000 Closed 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
This is a true gem! Live for practically FREE! Have you upstairs tenant pay for your living. Bring some elbow grease and paint and have instant sweat equity. You will be upset with yourself if you miss this one.
-
2024-07-12soldstatus $110,000
-
2024-05-22status Pending 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
This is a true gem! Live for practically FREE! Have you upstairs tenant pay for your living. Bring some elbow grease and paint and have instant sweat equity. You will be upset with yourself if you miss this one.
-
2024-05-20$115,000 Active 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
This is a true gem! Live for practically FREE! Have you upstairs tenant pay for your living. Bring some elbow grease and paint and have instant sweat equity. You will be upset with yourself if you miss this one.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,016
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,318
- − Property taxes
- −$3,298
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,561
- − Management
- −$2,561
- − Depreciation
- −$6,397
- Taxable income
- $3,781
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$907
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,149/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,314
- Household income
- $58,228
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1820.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 31% Asian 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Other Indo-European 7% Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -282.52%
- Current HPI
- 373.377
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.81%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+91.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $219,900 WNYREIS
- 2024-07-18 Sold (MLS) $110,000 WNYREIS
- 2024-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2024-05-22 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2024-05-20 Listed $115,000 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+12.1%/yrLatest (2025): $419 · +33.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…