4226 NE Mongoose Ln · Ankeny, IA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.3/15.0
- Cash flow +9.9/30.0
- Schools +7.7/10.0
- Livability +4.6/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$223,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* MOVE-IN READY * D. R. Horton, America’s Builder, presents the Sydney townhome. ALL APPLIANCES AND WINDOW BLINDS INCLUDED!! This Two-Story Townhome boasts 3 Bedrooms, 2.5 Bathrooms, and a 2-Car Garage in a spacious open floorplan. As you enter the home, you’ll be greeted with a beautiful Great Room featuring a cozy fireplace. The Gourmet Kitchen offers an Oversized Pantry and a Large Island, perfect for entertaining! On the second level, you’ll find the Primary Bedroom with an ensuite Bathroom featuring a dual vanity sink as well as a spacious Walk-In Closet. You’ll also find Two additional Large Bedrooms, full Bathroom, and Laundry Room! All D. R. Horton Iowa homes include our America’s Smart Home™ Technology and comes with an industry-leading suite of smart home products. Video doorbell, garage door control, lighting, door lock, thermostat, and voice - all controlled through one convenient app! Also included are DEAKO® decorative plug-n-play light switches with smart switch capability. Photos may be similar but not necessarily of subject property, including interior and exterior colors, finishes and appliances.
Key facts
- Gourmet kitchen
- Large island
- Cozy fireplace
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $224k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-141 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $204k (9.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (10.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $197k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 2.9% in Ankeny — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 92/100 on livability (#3 in IA, #29 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: commute C-.
- Ankeny Community School District (suburban): math 80% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #15 of 289 in IA (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: East Elementary School (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B, #363 of 616 statewide, top 62%, 413 students, 37% FRL); Parkview Middle School (math 76% / reading 83%, grade A+, #35 of 246 statewide, top 16%, 867 students, 23% FRL); Ankeny High School (math 77% / reading 84%, grade A, #30 of 336 statewide, top 9%, 1,347 students, 20% FRL) — zoned schools average 26% FRL vs 10% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 992 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,953 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (540 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.70%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $263,526
- List price
- $223,900
- Delta
- -15.04%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4325 NE Spear Ln | 0.08mi | 3/3.0 | 1,511 (-3%) | 1mo | $239,990 | $159 | 88 |
| 4338 NE Spear Ln | 0.08mi | 3/3.0 | 1,511 (-3%) | 2mo | $219,990 | $146 | 87 |
| 4407 NE Spear Ln | 0.11mi | 3/3.0 | 1,511 (-3%) | 3mo | $217,990 | $144 | 85 |
| 4415 NE Spear Ln | 0.12mi | 3/3.0 | 1,511 (-3%) | 2mo | $217,990 | $144 | 85 |
| 4341 NE Spear Ln | 0.35mi | 3/3.0 | 1,511 (-3%) | 1mo | $217,990 | $144 | 75 |
| 4330 NE Spear Ln | 0.35mi | 3/3.0 | 1,511 (-3%) | 2mo | $219,990 | $146 | 74 |
| 4424 NE Spear Ln | 0.35mi | 3/3.0 | 1,511 (-3%) | 3mo | $226,190 | $150 | 74 |
| 4334 NE Spear Ln | 0.35mi | 3/3.0 | 1,511 (-3%) | 3mo | $214,990 | $142 | 74 |
| 4411 NE Spear Ln | 0.35mi | 3/3.0 | 1,511 (-3%) | 5mo | $229,990 | $152 | 72 |
| 4342 NE Spear Ln | 0.35mi | 3/3.0 | 1,511 (-3%) | 5mo | $227,490 | $151 | 72 |
| 596 NE Hart Ln | 0.75mi | 3/2.5 | 1,376 (-12%) | 4mo | $249,900 | $182 | 42 |
| 602 NE Hart Ln | 0.72mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,328 (-15%) | 4mo | $249,990 | $188 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-49,223
- Equity at exit
- $33,384
- IRR
- -25.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.12×
- Total profit
- $-70,012
- Equity at exit
- $19,359
Cash invested: $62,692 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 42 active · 17 under contract
- Months of supply
- 10.5 mo (10%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $244,990 ($178/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 187 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -5.2% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 50021
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 992
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,002 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,174
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$280 /mo · $3,358/yr
- Insurance
- −$93
- HOA
- −$175
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$420
- Net cashflow
- $-141
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $14 | -5% $-64 | +0% $-141 | +5% $-218 | +10% $-296 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-299 | -5% $-220 | +0% $-141 | +5% $-62 | +10% $17 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-28 | -0.5pp $-84 | base $-141 | +0.5pp $-199 | +1.0pp $-258 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,975
- Closing costs
- $6,717
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4311 NE 16th St Ankeny, IA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1756 | $2,095 | $1.19 | 0d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1631 NE Crossing Oaks Ln Ankeny, IA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1562 | $1,850 | $1.18 | 0d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 4428 NE 16th St Ankeny, IA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1498 | $2,095 | $1.40 | 0d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1407 NE Crossing Oaks Dr Ankeny, IA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1498 | $2,995 | $2.00 | 61d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 4331 NE 14th St Ankeny, IA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1547 | $1,845 | $1.19 | 61d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1333 NE Crossing Oaks Dr Ankeny, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,799 | $1.50 | 61d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 4421 NE 14th St Ankeny, IA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1547 | $1,845 | $1.19 | 61d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1313 NE Crossing Oaks Dr Ankeny, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,799 | $1.50 | 61d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 4342 NE Spear Ln Unit 4342 Ankeny, IA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1511 | $1,850 | $1.22 | 139d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 604 NE Pearl Dr Ankeny, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $2,395 | $1.64 | 139d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 4009 NE 6th St Ankeny, IA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1800 | $2,095 | $1.16 | 6d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4213 NE 6th St Ankeny, IA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1858 | $2,295 | $1.24 | 62d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3905 NE 6th St Ankeny, IA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1796 | $2,295 | $1.28 | 6d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 4026 NE 5th St Ankeny, IA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1620 | $2,095 | $1.29 | 6d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4031 NE 5th St Ankeny, IA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1620 | $2,095 | $1.29 | 6d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 610 NE Hunter Dr Ankeny, IA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1621 | $2,145 | $1.32 | 6d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4416 NE Timber Ln Ankeny, IA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1709 | $1,995 | $1.17 | 0d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 4005 NE 2nd Ln Ankeny, IA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3212 NE Fawn Ln Ankeny, IA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1492 | $2,995 | $2.01 | 62d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3106 NE 2nd Ln Ankeny, IA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1460 | $1,825 | $1.25 | 6d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3101 NE 2nd Ln Ankeny, IA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1460 | $1,895 | $1.30 | 62d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2820 NE 38th St Ankeny, IA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 861 | $1,800 | $2.09 | 0d | 55 | 1.45mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info
- Pets allowed
- HOA & community
- Part of Canyon Landing Townhome association managed by Edge Property ManagementMonthly HOA fee of $175 covering grounds maintenance and snow removal
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached two-car garage
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewer
- Home design
- Two-story propertyAsphalt shingle roof
- Construction
- Poured slab foundation
- Exterior features
- Concrete road accessZoned residential
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherMicrowaveRefrigeratorStove
- Flooring
- Carpet
- Bathrooms
- Two full bathroomsOne half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central air conditioningElectric heatingForced airNatural gas heating
- Interior features
- Window treatmentsOne electric fireplace
- Laundry & utility
- WasherDryerLaundry on upper level
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $223,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $223,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $223,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $223,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $223,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-09-18pricedays on market $223,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $229,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $229,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $229,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $229,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $229,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $229,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-09-11pricedays on market $229,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $229,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $229,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $229,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $229,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $229,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $229,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $229,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $229,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $229,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $229,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $229,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $229,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $229,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $229,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $229,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $229,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $229,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $229,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $229,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $229,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $229,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $229,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $229,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $229,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $229,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $229,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $229,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $229,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $229,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $229,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $229,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $229,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $229,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $229,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $229,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-07-27pricedays on market $229,900 Active 71 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $234,900 Active 69 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,021
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,542
- − Property taxes
- −$3,358
- − Insurance
- −$1,120
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,922
- − Management
- −$1,922
- − HOA
- −$2,100
- − Depreciation
- −$6,513
- Taxable loss
- −$5,455
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,309
- After-tax cash flow
- $-382/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This move-in ready townhome features a spacious open-concept layout with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. Minor touch-ups, such as painting the interior walls and cleaning the HVAC filter, can further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the interior walls — Fresh paint can make the interior look new and improve curb appeal. ↑
- Both Replace the HVAC filter — A clean filter ensures efficient heating and cooling, improving comfort and energy efficiency. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ankeny Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1903690
- Math proficiency
- 80% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 82% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $75,384
- Composite
- 70.91/100
- National rank
- #246
- State rank
- #15 of 289 in IA
Livability — Ankeny
- Score
- 92/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #29
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ankeny, IA
- County
- Polk County · 548,042 people
- City population
- 76,589
- Metro
- Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,283
- Household income
- $99,572
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 548,042 people
- By 2030
- 588,557 · +7.4%
- By 2040
- 670,629 · +22.4%
- By 2050
- 752,830 · +37.4%
- By 2075
- 955,069 · +74.3%
- By 2100
- 1,115,436 · +103.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Portuguese 4% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.9) · D 54.8% · R 43.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.7pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 10.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.9 2020: D+15.2 2016: D+11.5 2012: D+14.2 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -150.38%
- Current HPI
- 208.945
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.92%
- Metro
- Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
-7.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-29 Price Changed $234,900 DMMLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $238,990 DMMLS
- 2023-08-29 Sold (MLS) $238,990 DMMLS
- 2023-07-10 Pending — DMMLS
- 2023-05-31 Price Changed $249,990 DMMLS
- 2023-04-10 Listed $254,990 DMMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…