CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
76 Indian Ln
B+ Composite 75.86
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$138,000

76 Indian Ln · Burnham, PA 17099
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,158 sqft · Other public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1940 0.40 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Large family? Look no further! Possible 5 bedroom home with additional office/walk in upstairs. Full bath on upper level. Main floor has huge living room with hardwood floors. Just as large kitchen with eat in dining area. Two main floor bedrooms, another full bath and main floor laundry. Just a little loving and this could be fantastic! Private setting with a cozy screened in porch.

Key facts

  • Eat in dining area
  • Huge living room
  • Private setting

Tags

HUGE LIVING ROOMHARDWOOD FLOORSEAT IN DINING AREAPRIVATE SETTINGCOZY SCREENED IN PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $138k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $588 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $138k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#634 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mifflin County SD (town): math 28% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #380 of 539 in PA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 58 units permitted in Mifflin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($954 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
  • Mifflin County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $138,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.45%
Cap rate
11.88%
Cash-on-cash
19.97%
DSCR
1.89
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.08% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.9%
Equity multiple
2.61×
Total profit
$62,128
Equity at exit
$70,593
10-year hold
IRR
26.6%
Equity multiple
5.12×
Total profit
$159,352
Equity at exit
$115,962

Cash invested: $38,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17099

Home prices YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$724
Tax from tax record
$156 /mo · $1,869/yr
Insurance
$58
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$420
Net cashflow
$588

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,256
Max offer price $138,000
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $666 -5% $627 +0% $588 +5% $548 +10% $509
Rent -10% $430 -5% $509 +0% $588 +5% $667 +10% $746
Rate -1.0pp $657 -0.5pp $623 base $588 +0.5pp $552 +1.0pp $515

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,500
Closing costs
$4,140
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
203 4th Ave Burnham, PA 3.0 2.0 1960 $2,000 $1.02 44d 1 0.40mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-03-12
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-04
    listed $138,000 Active
  3. 1999-06-10
    listed $59,900
  4. 1999-06-10
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,869 · $156/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,025 · $169/mo
Expected delta
+$156/yr (+$13/mo · 8.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,000
− Mortgage interest
−$7,730
− Property taxes
−$1,869
− Insurance
−$1,356
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,920
− Management
−$1,920
− Depreciation
−$4,015
Taxable income
$5,190
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,246
After-tax cash flow
$5,805/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mifflin County SD
NCES district ID
4215290
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$40,718
Composite
32.28/100
National rank
#5755
State rank
#380 of 539 in PA

Livability — Burnham

Score
72/100
State rank
#634
US rank
#6172

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
2,804
Population (ZIP)
1,122

Population outlook (Mifflin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,611 people
By 2030
43,212 · -3.1%
By 2040
40,197 · -9.9%
By 2050
36,813 · -17.5%
By 2075
28,833 · -35.4%
By 2100
20,296 · -54.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (100%)
Race & ethnicity
White 100%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 5% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Mifflin

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.4) · D 21.4% · R 77.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.8pp toward R · 2008: -33.7pp · 2024: -56.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.4 2020: R+56.1 2016: R+57.5 2012: R+46.8 2008: R+33.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.08%
Current HPI
240.0488
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+130.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-12 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-04 Listed $138,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1999-06-10 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 1999-06-10 Listed $59,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,869 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…