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509 Charlotte St SE
D Composite 42.47
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.4/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

509 Charlotte St SE · Willmar, MN 56201
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 896 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1950 0.26 ac lot $167/sqft · 44% above area Est $146k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great property for the price. This home has newer windows, roof and steel siding. 3 bedrooms, 2 bath home. This home has great potential.

Key facts

  • Steel siding
  • Newer roof
  • Large yard

Tags

ORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSCONVENIENT LAUNDRY SETUPNEWER WINDOWSNEWER ROOFSTEEL SIDINGLARGE YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Above-grade finished area approximately 1,256; Below-grade area approximately 860; Main level finished area approximately 896; Foundation area listed as 780

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 1 stall (approx. 14x22)
  • Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
  • Home design: Residential property; One and one-half levels; Main entry facing city street
  • Construction: Block foundation (approx. 26x30 foundation dimensions); Block basement with daylight/lookout windows, full height and sump pump; Asphalt roof; Building total area approximately 2,146 sq ft
  • Exterior features: Rear porch; Lot approximately 75x150 with city street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with window; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (two on main level; two on upper level); Bedroom sizes include 12x12, 10x11, 13x16, 12x16
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main floor (approx. 5x6)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window unit(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Hardwood floors; Main floor primary bedroom; All living facilities on one level; Main floor bedroom; Main floor laundry; Informal dining / living-dining room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer hookups in kitchen / main level laundry; Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $55 ($655/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (6.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (6.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.2% in Willmar — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#233 in MN, #4,984 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime D+.
  • Willmar Public School District (town): math 34% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #246 of 301 in MN (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; 196 units permitted in Kandiyohi County in 2024 (118 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $103k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $140,299 (6.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
6.73%
Cash-on-cash
1.56%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$146,425
List price
$150,000
Delta
2.44%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.8%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-20,799
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
-4.9%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-13,506
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56201

Active inventory
161
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,403 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$205 /mo · $2,456/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$295
Net cashflow
$55

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,334
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $150,000 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 23 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $150,000 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 17 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 16 DOM
  16. 2026-05-14
    listed $150,000 Active 850-char remark
  17. 2021-07-22
    soldstatus $103,100
  18. 2021-07-16
    soldstatus $103,100 Sold 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    Great property for the price. This home has newer windows, roof and steel siding. 3 bedrooms, 2 bath home. This home has great potential.

  19. 2021-06-02
    status Pending 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    Great property for the price. This home has newer windows, roof and steel siding. 3 bedrooms, 2 bath home. This home has great potential.

  20. 2021-05-26
    historical Contingent - Inspection 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    Great property for the price. This home has newer windows, roof and steel siding. 3 bedrooms, 2 bath home. This home has great potential.

  21. 2021-05-18
    status Pending 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    Great property for the price. This home has newer windows, roof and steel siding. 3 bedrooms, 2 bath home. This home has great potential.

  22. 2021-05-14
    listed $100,000 Active 137-char remark
    Show marketing remark (137 chars)

    Great property for the price. This home has newer windows, roof and steel siding. 3 bedrooms, 2 bath home. This home has great potential.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,456 · $205/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,456 · $205/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,836
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,456
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,347
− Management
−$1,347
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$1,830
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$439
After-tax cash flow
$1,094/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Willmar Public School District
NCES district ID
2742720
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$46,727
Composite
30.85/100
National rank
#6128
State rank
#246 of 301 in MN

Livability — Willmar

Score
73/100
State rank
#233
US rank
#4984

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Willmar, MN
City population
24,860
Population (ZIP)
24,860

Population outlook (Kandiyohi County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,956 people
By 2030
42,825 · -0.3%
By 2040
42,343 · -1.4%
By 2050
42,124 · -1.9%
By 2075
43,726 · +1.8%
By 2100
45,974 · +7.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 22% Black 10% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 15% Iranian 3% Scottish 2%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Kandiyohi

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.0) · D 33.7% · R 64.7% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-25.6pp toward R · 2008: -5.5pp · 2024: -31.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.0 2020: R+25.7 2016: R+25.5 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+5.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -151.48%
Current HPI
161.1663
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+50.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $150,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $103,100 Public Records
  • 2021-07-16 Sold (MLS) $103,100 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-06-02 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-05-26 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-05-18 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-05-14 Listed $100,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+11.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,456 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…