130 Cypress Dr · Madison, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.4/30.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- ARV discount +5.9/15.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$268,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don't miss the chance to see this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in Madison! This well-maintained home features a new roof, new HVAC, and freshly painted rooms. You will love the stunning quartz countertops in the kitchen and bathrooms. The large living room feels even more spacious with it's unique vaulted ceiling and beautiful wooden beams! The primary bedroom suite has his and her closets and double vanities in the bathroom. Both guest bedrooms are spacious and offer walk-in closets. Additional highlights include a tankless water heater and a fenced-in yard perfect for outdoor activities and relaxation. The refrigerator, washer and dryer all stay making this home super move-in ready! Conveniently situated very close to a local park, schools, churches, and shopping, this home as it all! Schedule a viewing with your Realtor today!
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Hvac
- Updated baths
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $268k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $298 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $247k (7.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $247k (7.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.7% in Madison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#4 in MS, #1,556 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
- Madison County School District (rural): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #3 of 130 in MS (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Madison Avenue Lower Elementary (437 students, 99% FRL); Madison Middle School (math 66% / reading 57%, grade B+, #6 of 179 statewide, top 3%, 1,154 students, 100% FRL); Madison Central High School (math 5% / reading 63%, grade F, #78 of 197 statewide, top 39%, 1,246 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 29% district-wide (70 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 628 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 553 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.76%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $258,579
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 130 Cypress Dr | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,538 (+9%) | 1mo | $268,000 | $174 | 81 |
| 166 Cypress Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,345 (-5%) | 2mo | $246,000 | $183 | 80 |
| 131 Cypress Dr | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,281 (-9%) | 9mo | $237,500 | $185 | 71 |
| 432 Green Leaf Trl | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,564 (+11%) | 4mo | $265,000 | $169 | 71 |
| 109 Twin Oaks Dr | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,288 (-9%) | 7mo | $239,000 | $186 | 67 |
| 511 Chelsea Way | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,467 (+4%) | 11mo | $269,000 | $183 | 66 |
| 232 Lisa Cir | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,314 (-7%) | 5mo | $228,500 | $174 | 58 |
| 212 Cobblestone Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,564 (+11%) | 1mo | $289,900 | $185 | 53 |
| 215 Traceland Dr Dr | 0.39mi | 3/4.0 | 1,614 (+14%) | 4mo | $249,000 | $154 | 51 |
| 201 Heritage Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,596 (+13%) | 6mo | $224,000 | $140 | 51 |
| 425 Longwood Trl | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,596 (+13%) | 9mo | $265,000 | $166 | 49 |
| 215 Cobblestone Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,524 (+8%) | 10mo | $279,900 | $184 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-25,517
- Equity at exit
- $39,960
- IRR
- -0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-2,079
- Equity at exit
- $23,172
Cash invested: $75,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39110
- Home prices YoY
- -28.3%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 628
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,471 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,405
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,648/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$519
- Net cashflow
- $298
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,000
- Closing costs
- $8,040
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-26status Pending
-
2026-04-16$268,000 Active
-
2023-03-06soldstatus
-
2023-03-03soldstatus Closed 855-char remark
Show marketing remark (855 chars)
Don't miss the chance to see this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in Madison! This well-maintained home features a new roof, new HVAC, and freshly painted rooms. You will love the stunning quartz countertops in the kitchen and bathrooms. The large living room feels even more spacious with it's unique vaulted ceiling and beautiful wooden beams! The primary bedroom suite has his and her closets and double vanities in the bathroom. Both guest bedrooms are spacious and offer walk-in closets. Additional highlights include a tankless water heater and a fenced-in yard perfect for outdoor activities and relaxation. The refrigerator, washer and dryer all stay making this home super move-in ready! Conveniently situated very close to a local park, schools, churches, and shopping, this home as it all! Schedule a viewing with your Realtor today!
-
2023-02-19status Pending 855-char remark
Show marketing remark (855 chars)
Don't miss the chance to see this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in Madison! This well-maintained home features a new roof, new HVAC, and freshly painted rooms. You will love the stunning quartz countertops in the kitchen and bathrooms. The large living room feels even more spacious with it's unique vaulted ceiling and beautiful wooden beams! The primary bedroom suite has his and her closets and double vanities in the bathroom. Both guest bedrooms are spacious and offer walk-in closets. Additional highlights include a tankless water heater and a fenced-in yard perfect for outdoor activities and relaxation. The refrigerator, washer and dryer all stay making this home super move-in ready! Conveniently situated very close to a local park, schools, churches, and shopping, this home as it all! Schedule a viewing with your Realtor today!
-
2023-02-16$238,000 Active 855-char remark
Show marketing remark (855 chars)
Don't miss the chance to see this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in Madison! This well-maintained home features a new roof, new HVAC, and freshly painted rooms. You will love the stunning quartz countertops in the kitchen and bathrooms. The large living room feels even more spacious with it's unique vaulted ceiling and beautiful wooden beams! The primary bedroom suite has his and her closets and double vanities in the bathroom. Both guest bedrooms are spacious and offer walk-in closets. Additional highlights include a tankless water heater and a fenced-in yard perfect for outdoor activities and relaxation. The refrigerator, washer and dryer all stay making this home super move-in ready! Conveniently situated very close to a local park, schools, churches, and shopping, this home as it all! Schedule a viewing with your Realtor today!
-
1988-09-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,648 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,117 · $176/mo
- Expected delta
- +$470/yr (+$39/mo · 28.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,652
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,012
- − Property taxes
- −$1,648
- − Insurance
- −$1,340
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,372
- − Management
- −$2,372
- − Depreciation
- −$7,796
- Taxable loss
- −$888
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$213
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,786/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802790
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,579
- Composite
- 48.08/100
- National rank
- #2188
- State rank
- #3 of 130 in MS
Livability — Madison
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #1556
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Madison, MS
- County
- Madison County · 75,005 people
- City population
- 50,443
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,443
- Household income
- $125,506
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 227.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,509 people
- By 2030
- 131,737 · +7.5%
- By 2040
- 148,930 · +21.6%
- By 2050
- 164,300 · +34.1%
- By 2075
- 197,495 · +61.2%
- By 2100
- 211,429 · +72.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Black 15% Asian 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.3) · D 40.8% · R 58.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.7pp toward R · 2008: -15.6pp · 2024: -17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.3 2020: R+11.8 2016: R+16.1 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+15.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -60.99%
- Current HPI
- 154.6909
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.61%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+12.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-26 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-04-16 Listed $268,000 MLSU
- 2023-03-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-03-03 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2023-02-19 Pending — MLSU
- 2023-02-16 Listed $238,000 MLSU
- 1988-09-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,648 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…