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429728 E 1147 Rd
C Composite 58.09
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$109,000

429728 E 1147 Rd · Porum, OK 74455
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 65 Days on market
Built 1975 0.67 ac lot ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Stop Scrolling and Look At This One. .. . NEW PRICE IN DUCHESS CREEK ESTATES #3 . .. .. . Come see this Project Home. .. BEING SOLD "AS IS" . .. This 3 bedroom 2 bath home sits on 2 lots with attached garage. Property is a short golf cart ride to lake access and neighborhood boat ramp. . Home is dried-in and has new HVAC and many new improvements and is in need of being finished. Being sold with most contents in home and garage. Close to all that PORUM LANDING OFFERS. . Marina, Stores, Cafes and More. Call to schedule a showing on this home.

Key facts

  • New hvac
  • Lake access
  • 0.67 acre lot

Tags

LAKE ACCESSNEIGHBORHOOD BOAT RAMPNEW HVAC

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces
  • Security: No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Fiber optic available; Phone available; Water available; Well water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-story; Faces north; Crawlspace foundation with tie downs
  • Construction: Steel construction; Metal roof; Built (year from public records)
  • Exterior features: Porch; Gravel driveway; Partial fencing; Storage structure; Mature trees; Boat ramp/lift access; Lake and river access (Eufaula Lake); Water access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Range; Stove; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Laminate counters; Pullman bath; Ceiling fan(s); Electric range connection; Vinyl windows
  • Laundry & utility: Dryer; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $147 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $104k (4.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#240 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Checotah (town): math 32% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #72 of 270 in OK (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 129 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in McIntosh County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($754 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (6.6% local appreciation)).
  • McIntosh County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $102,460 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
7.91%
Cash-on-cash
5.77%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$328,224
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
429751 E 1148 Rd 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,232 (-1%) 12mo $190,000 $154 84
429708 E 1148 Rd 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,222 (-2%) 15mo $330,000 $270 80
429728 E 1148 Rd 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,238 (-1%) 15mo $325,000 $263 74

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.57% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.3%
Equity multiple
2.46×
Total profit
$44,496
Equity at exit
$72,475
10-year hold
IRR
20.2%
Equity multiple
5.02×
Total profit
$122,645
Equity at exit
$134,985

Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74455

Home prices YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
129
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,037 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$572
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $663/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$218
Net cashflow
$147

Break-even live

Break-even rent $851
Max offer price $109,000
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,250
Closing costs
$3,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,000 Active 65 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,000 Active 64 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,000 Active 63 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,000 Active 62 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $109,000 Active 60 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $109,000 Active 59 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,000 Active 56 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,000 Active 55 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,000 Active 54 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,000 Active 53 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $109,000 Active 50 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,000 Active 49 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,000 Active 48 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,000 Active 47 DOM
  15. 2026-04-28
    price $109,000
  16. 2026-04-14
    listed $120,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$663 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$981 · $82/mo
Expected delta
+$318/yr (+$26/mo · 48.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,440
− Mortgage interest
−$6,106
− Property taxes
−$663
− Insurance
−$545
− Repairs & maintenance
−$995
− Management
−$995
− Depreciation
−$3,171
Taxable loss
−$35
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$8
After-tax cash flow
$1,769/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Checotah
NCES district ID
4007350
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$34,331
Composite
24.73/100
National rank
#7607
State rank
#72 of 270 in OK

Livability — Porum

Score
62/100
State rank
#240
US rank
#16214

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
2,717
Population (ZIP)
2,717

Population outlook (McIntosh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,935 people
By 2030
18,272 · -3.5%
By 2040
16,905 · -10.7%
By 2050
15,771 · -16.7%
By 2075
14,097 · -25.6%
By 2100
12,572 · -33.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Native American 15% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · McIntosh

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.7) · D 22.9% · R 75.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-33.5pp toward R · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -52.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.7 2020: R+49.7 2016: R+42.5 2012: R+23.8 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.57%
Current HPI
288.3386
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $109,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $120,000 MLS Technology, Inc.

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $663 · +7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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