1905 N S St · West Pensacola, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$123,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LARGE KITCHEN W/BREAKFAST BAR AND UTILITY ROOM W/EXTRA MUD OR STORAGE ROOM. WALKING DISTANCE TO T AND W., FENCED YARD W/DOUBLE GATES. DUCT WORK IN PLACE FOR CENTRAL H/A.
Key facts
- Brand new roof
- New flooring
- Major updates
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.22 acres; Building area reported as 1,247 square feet; Directions: corner of S and Avery Street
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Carport and driveway; Total of 1 covered parking space and 1 carport space (open parking available)
- Utilities: Copper wiring; Septic tank (sewer); Sewer available
- Home design: Single-story home; Resale property; Not attached to another property; Construction combines brick and frame
- Construction: Slab foundation; Brick and frame construction
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Paved road access; County-maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (approx. 10' x 10'); Bedroom on the first floor (approx. 10' x 13'); Second additional bedroom on the first floor (approx. 11' x 11')
- Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; Bathroom features not updated
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Vinyl and carpet flooring
- Laundry & utility: Sewer available
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $123k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $434 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $123k).
- Recommended offer: $116k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 7.7% in West Pensacola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#629 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
- Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 198 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $850 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $27k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $123k implies a 252% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.13%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $203,261
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1905 N S St | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,247 (0%) | 1mo | $95,000 | $76 | 97 |
| 78 Hunter Ave | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (-5%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $114 | 74 |
| 2406 W Jordan St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,126 (-10%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $133 | 67 |
| 1716 N S St | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (-13%) | 4mo | $130,000 | $120 | 66 |
| 2312 W Lakeview Ave | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,425 (+14%) | 7mo | $239,000 | $168 | 64 |
| 2419 N L St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,285 (+3%) | 2mo | $247,000 | $192 | 63 |
| 2705 W Brainerd St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,384 (+11%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $163 | 56 |
| 1120 N L St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,212 (-3%) | 6mo | $75,000 | $62 | 54 |
| 1100 Hayden Ct | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,113 (-11%) | 3mo | $245,000 | $220 | 53 |
| 2920 W Gonzalez St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (-8%) | 2mo | $214,000 | $187 | 52 |
| 2116 W De Soto St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+8%) | 7mo | $260,000 | $193 | 51 |
| 2002 W Gonzalez St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,112 (-11%) | 6mo | $145,000 | $130 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $10,874
- Equity at exit
- $18,340
- IRR
- 18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.70×
- Total profit
- $58,532
- Equity at exit
- $10,635
Cash invested: $34,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32505
- Home prices YoY
- -26.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 198
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,597 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$645
- Tax from tax record
- −$131 /mo · $1,572/yr
- Insurance
- −$51
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$335
- Net cashflow
- $434
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,750
- Closing costs
- $3,690
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2303 W Brainerd St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 955 | $1,100 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3206 W Lee St Unit A Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,550 | $1.94 | 13d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1918 W Strong St Unit B Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $950 | $1.09 | 13d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3417 W Fisher St Unit C Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1106 | $1,350 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1218 N Kirk St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1717 W Cervantes St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 974 | $1,169 | $1.20 | 13d | 3 | 0.94mi |
| 406 N S St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $1,295 | $1.61 | 23d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 721 W Jordan St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $1,895 | $1.84 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 852 Garnet St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $1,150 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 315 N Pace Blvd Unit b Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1342 | $1,650 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 315 N Pace Blvd Unit A Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1342 | $1,850 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1804 W Belmont St Unit A Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $995 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 309 N Pace Blvd Unit B Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1342 | $1,650 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1215 N C St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1203 | $1,775 | $1.48 | 13d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 419 N Wentworth St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1010 N D St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,850 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 407 W Jordan St Unit NA Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,200 | $1.69 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 814 N E St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,695 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 811 N D St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1035 | $1,395 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 510 N G St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $850 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 239 N K St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1392 | $1,950 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3740 Frontera Cir Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,295 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 707 New York Dr Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1266 | $1,185 | $0.94 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 418 N C St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1017 | $2,775 | $2.73 | 13d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 615 N A St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $1,900 | $1.69 | 13d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 410 N C St Unit 1367374P Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1291 | $3,313 | $2.57 | 13d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-10status Pending
-
2026-04-16price $123,000
-
2026-03-17price $145,000
-
2026-03-02$150,000 Active
-
2007-09-25soldstatus $34,900 169-char remark
Show marketing remark (169 chars)
LARGE KITCHEN W/BREAKFAST BAR AND UTILITY ROOM W/EXTRA MUD OR STORAGE ROOM. WALKING DISTANCE TO T AND W., FENCED YARD W/DOUBLE GATES. DUCT WORK IN PLACE FOR CENTRAL H/A.
-
2006-08-09$34,900 169-char remark
Show marketing remark (169 chars)
LARGE KITCHEN W/BREAKFAST BAR AND UTILITY ROOM W/EXTRA MUD OR STORAGE ROOM. WALKING DISTANCE TO T AND W., FENCED YARD W/DOUBLE GATES. DUCT WORK IN PLACE FOR CENTRAL H/A.
-
2005-04-12soldstatus $65,000
-
2000-08-18soldstatus $51,000
-
1997-12-24soldstatus $43,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,572 · $131/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,572 · $131/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,161
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,890
- − Property taxes
- −$1,572
- − Insurance
- −$615
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,533
- − Management
- −$1,533
- − Depreciation
- −$3,578
- Taxable income
- $3,440
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$826
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,384/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escambia
- NCES district ID
- 1200510
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,649
- Composite
- 36.04/100
- National rank
- #4773
- State rank
- #56 of 73 in FL
Livability — West Pensacola
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #629
- US rank
- #12275
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Pensacola, FL
- County
- Escambia County · 301,722 people
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,877
- Household income
- $44,783
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1458.0
Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 334,637 people
- By 2030
- 345,779 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 364,828 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 378,514 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 403,220 · +20.5%
- By 2100
- 386,125 · +15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Escambia
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.10%
- Current HPI
- 205.45
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.92%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+186.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Pending — PARMLS
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $123,000 PARMLS
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $145,000 PARMLS
- 2026-03-02 Listed $150,000 PARMLS
- 2007-09-25 Sold (MLS) $34,900 PARMLS
- 2006-08-09 Listed $34,900 PARMLS
- 2005-04-12 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2000-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
- 1997-12-24 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,572 · +17.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…