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19644 Kenosha St
D Composite 42.63
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

19644 Kenosha St · Harper Woods, MI 48225
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 728 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 73 Days on market
Built 1941 4,792 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover this charming ranch kitchen, complete with a delightful breakfast nook, a spacious living room, and a basement! Nestled in the highly sought-after Harper Woods School District, this home offers effortless access to the Edsel Ford Freeway, making your daily commute a breeze. Enjoy the convenience of being near Beacon Elementary School, along with a variety of restaurants, shopping centers, and everyday retail essentials, ensuring that comfort and accessibility are at your fingertips. Whether you're considering a strong rental investment or looking for the perfect place to call home, this property is ideally positioned in a prime location that meets all your needs. Don't miss out on this exceptional opportunity!

Key facts

  • Breakfast nook
  • Ranch kitchen
  • Basement

Tags

RANCH KITCHENBREAKFAST NOOKSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMBASEMENTACCESS TO EDSEL FORD FREEWAYNEAR BEACON ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Driveway; 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer: unknown
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road; Sidewalks in neighborhood; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 114 (0.11 acre)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Total of 4 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $27 ($326/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $99k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D+, crime F.
  • Harper Woods School District (suburban): math 4% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #524 of 540 in MI (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Beacon Elementary School (338 students, 84% FRL); Harper Woods Middle School (math 4% / reading 19%, grade F, #469 of 493 statewide, top 95%, 313 students, 82% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 134 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 12 sale attempts since 32y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $105k implies a 110% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $98,700 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
6.60%
Cash-on-cash
1.11%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$64,792
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19404 Roscommon St 0.17mi 2/1.0 700 (-4%) 4mo $85,000 $121 82
19379 Mccormick St 0.21mi 2/1.0 696 (-4%) 4mo $118,900 $171 79
19380 Roscommon St 0.19mi 2/1.0 684 (-6%) 5mo $100,500 $147 76
19331 Mccormick St 0.24mi 2/1.0 696 (-4%) 6mo $20,000 $29 76
18996 Roscommon St 0.40mi 2/1.0 698 (-4%) 5mo $98,000 $140 70
18700 Mccormick St 0.62mi 2/1.0 706 (-3%) 5mo $63,000 $89 62
12505 Laing St 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 752 (+3%) 3mo $54,600 $73 56
18547 Mccormick St 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 689 (-5%) 7mo $30,000 $44 49
18591 Kingsville St 0.63mi 2/1.0 824 (+13%) 1mo $74,000 $90 48
11035 Worden St 0.44mi 3/1.0 (+1) 834 (+15%) 3mo $55,000 $66 48
18801 Washtenaw St 0.51mi 2/1.0 836 (+15%) 7mo $32,555 $39 46
12897 Riad St 0.67mi 3/1.0 (+1) 831 (+14%) 2mo $63,000 $76 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.1% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.9%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-12,921
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
0.5%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$1,079
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48225

Rents YoY
5.1%
Active inventory
134
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,063 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$218 /mo · $2,615/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$223
Net cashflow
$27

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,028
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $87 -5% $57 +0% $27 +5% $-3 +10% $-32
Rent -10% $-57 -5% $-15 +0% $27 +5% $69 +10% $111
Rate -1.0pp $80 -0.5pp $54 base $27 +0.5pp $0 +1.0pp $-28

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11529 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 720 $1,200 $1.67 14d 1 0.60mi
11611 Morang Ave Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 709 $1,040 $1.47 45d 1 0.67mi
16241 Seven Mile E Unit 4 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 650 $650 $1.00 45d 1 0.75mi
12201 Morang Ave Unit 8 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 610 $875 $1.43 45d 1 0.82mi
21301 Kingsville St Apt 108 Harper Woods, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $900 $1.29 5d 1 1.00mi
9140 Whittier Ave Unit 1 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 550 $700 $1.27 45d 1 1.31mi
16927 Chandler Park Dr Unit 3_ Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 600 $900 $1.50 17d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $105,000 Active 73 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 68 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 65 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 64 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 59 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $105,000 Active 56 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $105,000 Active 55 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $105,000 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    price $105,000 Active 53 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 53 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 52 DOM
  17. 2026-05-06
    price $115,000 728-char remark
    Show marketing remark (728 chars)

    Discover this charming ranch kitchen, complete with a delightful breakfast nook, a spacious living room, and a basement! Nestled in the highly sought-after Harper Woods School District, this home offers effortless access to the Edsel Ford Freeway, making your daily commute a breeze. Enjoy the convenience of being near Beacon Elementary School, along with a variety of restaurants, shopping centers, and everyday retail essentials, ensuring that comfort and accessibility are at your fingertips. Whether you're considering a strong rental investment or looking for the perfect place to call home, this property is ideally positioned in a prime location that meets all your needs. Don't miss out on this exceptional opportunity!

  18. 2026-05-06
    price $115,000
    Show marketing remark (728 chars)

    Discover this charming ranch kitchen, complete with a delightful breakfast nook, a spacious living room, and a basement! Nestled in the highly sought-after Harper Woods School District, this home offers effortless access to the Edsel Ford Freeway, making your daily commute a breeze. Enjoy the convenience of being near Beacon Elementary School, along with a variety of restaurants, shopping centers, and everyday retail essentials, ensuring that comfort and accessibility are at your fingertips. Whether you're considering a strong rental investment or looking for the perfect place to call home, this property is ideally positioned in a prime location that meets all your needs. Don't miss out on this exceptional opportunity!

  19. 2026-04-09
    listed $120,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (728 chars)

    Discover this charming ranch kitchen, complete with a delightful breakfast nook, a spacious living room, and a basement! Nestled in the highly sought-after Harper Woods School District, this home offers effortless access to the Edsel Ford Freeway, making your daily commute a breeze. Enjoy the convenience of being near Beacon Elementary School, along with a variety of restaurants, shopping centers, and everyday retail essentials, ensuring that comfort and accessibility are at your fingertips. Whether you're considering a strong rental investment or looking for the perfect place to call home, this property is ideally positioned in a prime location that meets all your needs. Don't miss out on this exceptional opportunity!

  20. 2026-04-09
    listed $120,000 Active 728-char remark
    Show marketing remark (728 chars)

    Discover this charming ranch kitchen, complete with a delightful breakfast nook, a spacious living room, and a basement! Nestled in the highly sought-after Harper Woods School District, this home offers effortless access to the Edsel Ford Freeway, making your daily commute a breeze. Enjoy the convenience of being near Beacon Elementary School, along with a variety of restaurants, shopping centers, and everyday retail essentials, ensuring that comfort and accessibility are at your fingertips. Whether you're considering a strong rental investment or looking for the perfect place to call home, this property is ideally positioned in a prime location that meets all your needs. Don't miss out on this exceptional opportunity!

  21. 2026-02-01
    historical
  22. 2026-02-01
    historical
  23. 2025-11-23
    price $120,000
  24. 2025-11-22
    price $120,000
  25. 2025-11-11
    price $115,000
  26. 2025-11-10
    price $115,000
  27. 2025-10-23
    price $125,000
  28. 2025-10-23
    listed $12,500,000 Active
  29. 2025-10-23
    listed $125,000 Active
  30. 2024-11-12
    soldstatus $49,900
  31. 2024-10-25
    soldstatus $49,900 Sold
  32. 2024-10-25
    soldstatus $49,900 Closed
  33. 2024-10-02
    status Pending
  34. 2024-10-02
    status Pending
  35. 2024-09-23
    price $49,900
  36. 2024-09-23
    price $49,900
  37. 2024-07-23
    listed $69,900 Active
  38. 2024-07-23
    listed $69,900 Active
  39. 2021-09-10
    soldstatus $32,000 Sold
  40. 2021-09-10
    soldstatus $32,000 Closed
  41. 2021-04-09
    status Pending
  42. 2021-04-09
    status Pending
  43. 2021-03-10
    historical
  44. 2021-03-10
    historical
  45. 2021-03-09
    listed $35,000 Active
  46. 2021-03-09
    listed $35,000 Active
  47. 2021-01-20
    historical
  48. 2021-01-20
    historical
  49. 2020-06-30
    listed $39,000 Active
  50. 2020-06-30
    listed $39,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,615 · $218/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,615 · $218/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,752
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$2,615
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,020
− Management
−$1,020
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable loss
−$1,365
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$328
After-tax cash flow
$654/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harper Woods School District
NCES district ID
2617760
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$46,155
Composite
8.8/100
National rank
#9892
State rank
#524 of 540 in MI

Livability — Harper Woods

Score
73/100
State rank
#199
US rank
#5054

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harper Woods, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
16,098
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
16,098
Household income
$61,750
Rent vs Own
33.8% rent · 66.2% own
Severe rent burden
410.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (65%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 65% White 28% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% German 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -150.40%
Current HPI
181.4961
Rent YoY
▲ 5.10%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+117.4% since first listed
42 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $115,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $120,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-23 Price Changed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-22 Price Changed $120,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-11 Price Changed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-10 Price Changed $115,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-23 Price Changed $125,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-23 Listed $12,500,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-23 Listed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-11-12 Sold (Public Records) $49,900 Public Records
  • 2024-10-25 Sold (MLS) $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-10-25 Sold (MLS) $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2024-10-02 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2024-10-02 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-09-23 Price Changed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-09-23 Price Changed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2024-07-23 Listed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-07-23 Listed $69,900 REALCOMP
  • 2021-09-10 Sold (MLS) $32,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-09-10 Sold (MLS) $32,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-04-09 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-04-09 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-03-10 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-03-10 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-03-09 Listed $35,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-03-09 Listed $35,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-01-20 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-01-20 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-06-30 Listed $39,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-06-30 Listed $39,000 REALCOMP
  • 2000-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $82,000 Public Records
  • 2000-04-28 Sold (MLS) $82,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2000-03-15 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2000-03-08 Listed $79,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1994-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 1994-09-16 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1994-09-15 Sold (MLS) $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1994-07-17 Listed $52,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,615 · -27.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…