Duplex
118 Grove St · Middletown, CT
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.2/30.0
- ARV discount +14.9/15.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$300,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
What an investment opportunity! This property is located on a corner lot in mint condition. Renovated throghout. Updates everywhere! Hardwood floors, fenced in yard, and a garage, plus off street parking. Don't wait on this gem!
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1900
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed for sale as a multi-family 2-family unit
- Financial info: No investor-specific income or expense details provided
- HOA & community: No HOA information provided
Exterior
- Parking: Under-house garage (1 garage)
- Security: No security features provided
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Thermopane (energy-efficient) windows
- Home design: Multi-family (2-family) property
- Construction: Frame construction; Concrete foundation
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Level lot; Aluminum siding; Asphalt shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliance details provided
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: No flooring details provided
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Heat fuel supplied by gas in street; Window AC unit(s)
- Interior features: Electric outlets, lighting, and thermostats installed; Multiple entries and exits; One fireplace; Full basement; Walk-up attic
- Laundry & utility: All units have washer/dryer hook-ups; 50-gallon natural gas hot water tank
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $400 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $200/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $300k).
- Recommended offer: $291k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.7% in Middletown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#17 in CT, #1,390 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Middletown School District (urban): math 24% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #113 of 153 in CT (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Macdonough School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #318 of 553 statewide, top 60%, 227 students, 66% FRL); Middletown High School (math 25% / reading 52%, grade F, #111 of 194 statewide, top 57%, 1,214 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 38% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 143 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 278 units permitted in Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region in 2024 (89 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,778/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($79k/yr) (locally 2196% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $202k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.30%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $358,625
- List price
- $300,000
- Delta
- -16.35%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 410 High St | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,924 (-0%) | 6mo | $350,000 | $182 | 63 |
| 62 Grand St | 0.43mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,016 (+5%) | 8mo | $400,000 | $198 | 56 |
| 87 Woodward Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,712 (-11%) | 18mo | $280,000 | $164 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-33,028
- Equity at exit
- $44,731
- IRR
- -7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-34,333
- Equity at exit
- $25,939
Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06457
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 143
- Price-to-rent
- 13.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,778 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$426 /mo · $5,108/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$793
- Net cashflow
- $400
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2 | $3,778 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $1,889 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $1,889 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,778 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $75,000
- Closing costs
- $9,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 580 High St Middletown, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1466 | $1,900 | $1.30 | 1d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 103 Spring St Middletown, CT | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1602 | $2,500 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 57 Ferry St Unit 1 Middletown, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 10d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 505 Main St Middletown, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1263 | $2,000 | $1.58 | 1d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 184 Rose Cir Middletown, CT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1220 | $2,000 | $1.64 | 1d | 6 | 0.66mi |
| 1100 Springside Ln Middletown, CT | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1084 | $3,547 | $3.27 | 1d | 21 | 0.72mi |
| 200 Main St Unit 1 Portland, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,227 | $1.71 | 10d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 200 Main St Unit 1 Portland, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,227 | $1.71 | 1d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 85 Marlborough St Unit 426 Portland, CT | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1373 | $3,576 | $2.60 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-17status $300,000 Under Contract 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $300,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $300,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $300,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $300,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $300,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $339,900 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $339,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $339,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $339,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $339,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $339,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $339,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $339,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-10$359,900 Active 931-char remark
-
2026-05-08historical $359,900 931-char remark
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2015-07-16soldstatus $202,500
-
2015-07-15soldstatus $202,500 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
What an investment opportunity! This property is located on a corner lot in mint condition. Renovated throghout. Updates everywhere! Hardwood floors, fenced in yard, and a garage, plus off street parking. Don't wait on this gem!
-
2015-04-25historical 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
What an investment opportunity! This property is located on a corner lot in mint condition. Renovated throghout. Updates everywhere! Hardwood floors, fenced in yard, and a garage, plus off street parking. Don't wait on this gem!
-
2014-06-16$214,900 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
What an investment opportunity! This property is located on a corner lot in mint condition. Renovated throghout. Updates everywhere! Hardwood floors, fenced in yard, and a garage, plus off street parking. Don't wait on this gem!
-
2009-10-19soldstatus $137,500
Show marketing remark (177 chars)
Nice spacious units, hardwood floors, newer windows; ready to move in or rent out. To be sold in "as is" condition. Preapproval letter & addendum to be with offer.
-
2009-06-10$139,900
Show marketing remark (177 chars)
Nice spacious units, hardwood floors, newer windows; ready to move in or rent out. To be sold in "as is" condition. Preapproval letter & addendum to be with offer.
-
2007-12-31historical
-
2007-07-11$199,900
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2007-07-09historical
-
2007-01-09$218,000
-
2006-12-26historical
-
2006-06-26$239,900
-
2005-01-21soldstatus $183,000
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2005-01-21soldstatus $183,000
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2005-01-21soldstatus $183,000
-
2004-09-15$184,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,108 · $426/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,764 · $480/mo
- Expected delta
- +$656/yr (+$55/mo · 12.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $45,336
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,805
- − Property taxes
- −$5,108
- − Insurance
- −$7,025
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,627
- − Management
- −$3,627
- − Depreciation
- −$8,727
- Taxable income
- $417
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$100
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,703/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Middletown School District
- NCES district ID
- 0902490
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,733
- Composite
- 30.47/100
- National rank
- #6224
- State rank
- #113 of 153 in CT
Livability — Middletown
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #17
- US rank
- #1390
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Middletown, CT
- County
- Middlesex County · 63,941 people
- City population
- 46,720
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,720
- Household income
- $79,463
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2196.0
Population outlook (Lower Connecticut River Valley County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 188,651
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lower Connecticut River Valley
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.4) · D 55.9% · R 42.4% · Other 1.7%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -470.20%
- Current HPI
- 255.1597
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.22%
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+62.2% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-06-11 Price Changed $300,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-06-05 Relisted — Smart MLS
- 2026-06-03 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $339,900 Smart MLS
- 2026-05-10 Listed $359,900 Smart MLS
- 2026-05-08 Coming Soon $359,900 Smart MLS
- 2015-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $202,500 Public Records
- 2015-07-15 Sold (MLS) $202,500 Smart MLS
- 2015-04-25 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2014-06-16 Listed $214,900 Smart MLS
- 2009-10-19 Sold (MLS) $137,500 Smart MLS
- 2009-06-10 Listed $139,900 Smart MLS
- 2007-12-31 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2007-07-11 Listed $199,900 Smart MLS
- 2007-07-09 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2007-01-09 Listed $218,000 Smart MLS
- 2006-12-26 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2006-06-26 Listed $239,900 Smart MLS
- 2005-01-21 Sold (Public Records) $183,000 Public Records
- 2005-01-21 Sold (Public Records) $183,000 Public Records
- 2005-01-21 Sold (MLS) $183,000 Smart MLS
- 2004-09-15 Listed $184,900 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2022): $5,108 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…