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16101 N EL Mirage Rd #322
C+ Composite 62.7
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,500

16101 N EL Mirage Rd #322 · El Mirage, AZ 85335
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,530 sqft · Manufactured · 381 Days on market
Built 2004 Good condition 5,250 sqft lot $85/sqft · 41% above area Est $92k · 41% over ↓ 28% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This spacious 3-bed, 2-bath mobile home is located in a quiet 55+ community which is move-in ready! Featuring an open-concept layout with natural light. The kitchen includes a large walk-in pantry, island and gas stove. New vinyl plank hardwood flows through the main living areas. The primary bedroom offers a large walk-in closet, fully remodeled large master shower with dual sinks. Spacious family room for all your entertainment needs. The property features a storage shed and 2-car carport. The community clubhouse offers a pool, spa, and hosts many events for your entertainment. This home sits on leased land, buyer must apply with park.

Key facts

  • Vinyl plank hardwood
  • Walk-in closet
  • Gas stove

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTLARGE WALK-IN PANTRYGAS STOVEVINYL PLANK HARDWOODWALK-IN CLOSETREMODELED MASTER SHOWER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $705 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 4.5% in El Mirage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#112 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Dysart Unified District (4243) (suburban): math 34% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #73 of 249 in AZ (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 132 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $895 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.1% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 381 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $113,960 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 381 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.56%
Cap rate
12.83%
Cash-on-cash
23.34%
DSCR
2.04
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$91,859
List price
$129,500
Delta
40.98%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16101 N El Mirage Rd #16 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,560 (+2%) 3mo $150,000 $96 93
16101 N EL Mirage Rd #426 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,568 (+2%) 7mo $115,000 $73 85
16101 N EL Mirage Rd #320 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,456 (-5%) 14mo $135,900 $93 80
16101 N EL Mirage Rd #378 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,377 (-10%) 4mo $112,000 $81 80
16101 N EL Mirage Rd #434 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,430 (-6%) 6mo $120,000 $84 78
16101 N EL Mirage Rd #425 0.06mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,428 (-7%) 7mo $97,750 $68 75
16101 N EL Mirage Rd #371 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-12%) 0mo $64,000 $48 74
16101 N EL Mirage Rd #435 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,408 (-8%) 15mo $105,000 $75 73
16101 N EL Mirage Rd #369 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,326 (-13%) 8mo $85,000 $64 68
16101 N EL Mirage Rd #354 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,326 (-13%) 11mo $90,000 $68 67
16101 N EL Mirage Rd #445 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,351 (-12%) 22mo $92,000 $68 61
15632 N Greasewood St 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,352 (-12%) 21mo $315,000 $233 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.08% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.1%
Equity multiple
1.50×
Total profit
$18,190
Equity at exit
$19,309
10-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
2.42×
Total profit
$51,431
Equity at exit
$11,197

Cash invested: $36,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85335

Home prices YoY
-13.3%
Rents YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
132
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,026 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$679
Tax est. 1.5%
$162 /mo · $1,942/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$425
Net cashflow
$705

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,133
Max offer price $129,500
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $795 -5% $750 +0% $705 +5% $661 +10% $616
Rent -10% $545 -5% $625 +0% $705 +5% $785 +10% $865
Rate -1.0pp $771 -0.5pp $738 base $705 +0.5pp $672 +1.0pp $638

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,375
Closing costs
$3,885
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12134 W Ironwood St El Mirage, AZ 3.0 2.0 1680 $1,950 $1.16 24d 1 0.07mi
12121 W Ironwood St El Mirage, AZ 3.0 2.0 1680 $1,999 $1.19 24d 1 0.11mi
12128 W Tara Ln El Mirage, AZ 4.0 3.0 2117 $2,145 $1.01 19d 1 0.12mi
12128 W Tara Ln El Mirage, AZ 4.0 3.0 2117 $2,145 $1.01 1d 1 0.12mi
12204 W Ocotillo Ln El Mirage, AZ 4.0 3.0 2117 $1,949 $0.92 24d 1 0.16mi
15620 N El Mirage Rd Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.5 1310 $1,599 $1.22 24d 2 0.22mi
15204 N El Frio Ct El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.5 1978 $2,019 $1.02 3d 1 0.48mi
15109 N Verbena St El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.0 1642 $1,869 $1.14 44d 1 0.53mi
16520 N Greasewood St Surprise, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.5 1267 $1,850 $1.46 2d 17 0.54mi
16629 N Greasewood St Surprise, AZ 2.0 1.5 1052 $1,462 $1.39 2d 3 0.57mi
14715 N 124th Ave El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.0 1534 $2,010 $1.31 44d 1 0.71mi
14809 N El Frio Cir El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.0 1459 $2,199 $1.51 22d 1 0.72mi
14809 N El Frio Cir El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.0 1700 $2,300 $1.35 24d 1 0.72mi
12438 W Hearn Rd El Mirage, AZ 3.0 2.0 1308 $1,595 $1.22 24d 1 0.76mi
14815 N Tonya Cir El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.0 1642 $2,040 $1.24 44d 1 0.78mi
12817 W Cottonwood St Surprise, AZ 2.0 1.0 1795 $1,300 $0.72 4d 1 0.79mi
12437 W Via Camille El Mirage, AZ 3.0 2.0 1534 $1,875 $1.22 17d 1 0.80mi
11759 W Banff Ln El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.5 1495 $2,000 $1.34 44d 1 0.86mi
12532 W Saint Moritz Ln El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.0 1534 $1,875 $1.22 5d 1 0.91mi
12945 W Greenway Rd El Mirage, AZ 2.0 2.0 1060 $1,300 $1.23 24d 4 0.97mi
12574 W Lisbon Ln El Mirage, AZ 3.0 2.0 1058 $1,700 $1.61 5d 1 0.98mi
12537 W Redfield Rd El Mirage, AZ 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,795 $1.12 24d 1 1.01mi
15426 N Cactus Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 1.0 1376 $1,634 $1.19 44d 1 1.07mi
11402 W Hutton Dr Surprise, AZ 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,800 $1.12 24d 1 1.09mi
11417 W Amber Trl Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1130 $1,750 $1.55 5d 1 1.12mi
11345 W Loma Blanca Dr Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1368 $1,930 $1.41 44d 1 1.14mi
11755 W Thompson Ranch Rd El Mirage, AZ 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 936 $2,771 $2.96 1d 1 1.16mi
16608 N 113th Dr Surprise, AZ 4.0 2.0 1571 $1,900 $1.21 44d 1 1.17mi
11554 W Mule Deer Ct Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1963 $1,816 $0.93 44d 1 1.21mi
13029 W Lisbon Ln El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.5 1949 $1,860 $0.95 2d 1 1.24mi
13007 W Mandalay Ln El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.5 2178 $2,095 $0.96 24d 1 1.26mi
12830 W Via Camille El Mirage, AZ 4.0 2.5 2179 $2,145 $0.98 2d 1 1.28mi
13227 W Port au Prince Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1522 $1,709 $1.12 15d 1 1.31mi
13227 W Port au Prince Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1522 $1,759 $1.16 24d 1 1.31mi
13002 W Hearn Rd El Mirage, AZ 3.0 2.0 1518 $1,795 $1.18 11d 1 1.39mi
13217 W Mauna Loa Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1672 $1,900 $1.14 1d 1 1.41mi
17447 Avenue of the Arts Unit 2 Surprise, AZ 2.0 2.0 1078 $1,732 $1.61 24d 1 1.42mi
17447 Avenue of the Arts Unit 3 Surprise, AZ 3.0 2.0 1183 $1,822 $1.54 24d 1 1.42mi
12430 W Willow Ave El Mirage, AZ 3.0 2.0 1183 $5,900 $4.99 5d 1 1.42mi
17590 N 114th Ln Surprise, AZ 3.0 3.0 1737 $1,695 $0.98 5d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,500 Active 381 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,500 Active 380 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,500 Active 379 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,500 Active 378 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,500 Active 376 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,500 Active 372 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,500 Active 371 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,500 Active 370 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $129,500 Active 367 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,500 Active 366 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,500 Active 365 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,500 Active 364 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,500 Active 363 DOM
  14. 2026-04-01
    status Active 645-char remark
    Show marketing remark (645 chars)

    This spacious 3-bed, 2-bath mobile home is located in a quiet 55+ community which is move-in ready! Featuring an open-concept layout with natural light. The kitchen includes a large walk-in pantry, island and gas stove. New vinyl plank hardwood flows through the main living areas. The primary bedroom offers a large walk-in closet, fully remodeled large master shower with dual sinks. Spacious family room for all your entertainment needs. The property features a storage shed and 2-car carport. The community clubhouse offers a pool, spa, and hosts many events for your entertainment. This home sits on leased land, buyer must apply with park.

  15. 2026-04-01
    historical 645-char remark
    Show marketing remark (645 chars)

    This spacious 3-bed, 2-bath mobile home is located in a quiet 55+ community which is move-in ready! Featuring an open-concept layout with natural light. The kitchen includes a large walk-in pantry, island and gas stove. New vinyl plank hardwood flows through the main living areas. The primary bedroom offers a large walk-in closet, fully remodeled large master shower with dual sinks. Spacious family room for all your entertainment needs. The property features a storage shed and 2-car carport. The community clubhouse offers a pool, spa, and hosts many events for your entertainment. This home sits on leased land, buyer must apply with park.

  16. 2026-01-05
    status Active 645-char remark
    Show marketing remark (645 chars)

    This spacious 3-bed, 2-bath mobile home is located in a quiet 55+ community which is move-in ready! Featuring an open-concept layout with natural light. The kitchen includes a large walk-in pantry, island and gas stove. New vinyl plank hardwood flows through the main living areas. The primary bedroom offers a large walk-in closet, fully remodeled large master shower with dual sinks. Spacious family room for all your entertainment needs. The property features a storage shed and 2-car carport. The community clubhouse offers a pool, spa, and hosts many events for your entertainment. This home sits on leased land, buyer must apply with park.

  17. 2026-01-05
    price $129,500 645-char remark
    Show marketing remark (645 chars)

    This spacious 3-bed, 2-bath mobile home is located in a quiet 55+ community which is move-in ready! Featuring an open-concept layout with natural light. The kitchen includes a large walk-in pantry, island and gas stove. New vinyl plank hardwood flows through the main living areas. The primary bedroom offers a large walk-in closet, fully remodeled large master shower with dual sinks. Spacious family room for all your entertainment needs. The property features a storage shed and 2-car carport. The community clubhouse offers a pool, spa, and hosts many events for your entertainment. This home sits on leased land, buyer must apply with park.

  18. 2026-01-01
    historical 645-char remark
    Show marketing remark (645 chars)

    This spacious 3-bed, 2-bath mobile home is located in a quiet 55+ community which is move-in ready! Featuring an open-concept layout with natural light. The kitchen includes a large walk-in pantry, island and gas stove. New vinyl plank hardwood flows through the main living areas. The primary bedroom offers a large walk-in closet, fully remodeled large master shower with dual sinks. Spacious family room for all your entertainment needs. The property features a storage shed and 2-car carport. The community clubhouse offers a pool, spa, and hosts many events for your entertainment. This home sits on leased land, buyer must apply with park.

  19. 2025-11-21
    price $135,000 645-char remark
    Show marketing remark (645 chars)

    This spacious 3-bed, 2-bath mobile home is located in a quiet 55+ community which is move-in ready! Featuring an open-concept layout with natural light. The kitchen includes a large walk-in pantry, island and gas stove. New vinyl plank hardwood flows through the main living areas. The primary bedroom offers a large walk-in closet, fully remodeled large master shower with dual sinks. Spacious family room for all your entertainment needs. The property features a storage shed and 2-car carport. The community clubhouse offers a pool, spa, and hosts many events for your entertainment. This home sits on leased land, buyer must apply with park.

  20. 2025-11-07
    price $142,500 645-char remark
    Show marketing remark (645 chars)

    This spacious 3-bed, 2-bath mobile home is located in a quiet 55+ community which is move-in ready! Featuring an open-concept layout with natural light. The kitchen includes a large walk-in pantry, island and gas stove. New vinyl plank hardwood flows through the main living areas. The primary bedroom offers a large walk-in closet, fully remodeled large master shower with dual sinks. Spacious family room for all your entertainment needs. The property features a storage shed and 2-car carport. The community clubhouse offers a pool, spa, and hosts many events for your entertainment. This home sits on leased land, buyer must apply with park.

  21. 2025-10-04
    price $147,500 645-char remark
    Show marketing remark (645 chars)

    This spacious 3-bed, 2-bath mobile home is located in a quiet 55+ community which is move-in ready! Featuring an open-concept layout with natural light. The kitchen includes a large walk-in pantry, island and gas stove. New vinyl plank hardwood flows through the main living areas. The primary bedroom offers a large walk-in closet, fully remodeled large master shower with dual sinks. Spacious family room for all your entertainment needs. The property features a storage shed and 2-car carport. The community clubhouse offers a pool, spa, and hosts many events for your entertainment. This home sits on leased land, buyer must apply with park.

  22. 2025-07-08
    price $149,900 645-char remark
    Show marketing remark (645 chars)

    This spacious 3-bed, 2-bath mobile home is located in a quiet 55+ community which is move-in ready! Featuring an open-concept layout with natural light. The kitchen includes a large walk-in pantry, island and gas stove. New vinyl plank hardwood flows through the main living areas. The primary bedroom offers a large walk-in closet, fully remodeled large master shower with dual sinks. Spacious family room for all your entertainment needs. The property features a storage shed and 2-car carport. The community clubhouse offers a pool, spa, and hosts many events for your entertainment. This home sits on leased land, buyer must apply with park.

  23. 2025-05-29
    listed $160,000 Active 645-char remark
    Show marketing remark (645 chars)

    This spacious 3-bed, 2-bath mobile home is located in a quiet 55+ community which is move-in ready! Featuring an open-concept layout with natural light. The kitchen includes a large walk-in pantry, island and gas stove. New vinyl plank hardwood flows through the main living areas. The primary bedroom offers a large walk-in closet, fully remodeled large master shower with dual sinks. Spacious family room for all your entertainment needs. The property features a storage shed and 2-car carport. The community clubhouse offers a pool, spa, and hosts many events for your entertainment. This home sits on leased land, buyer must apply with park.

  24. 2023-06-13
    soldstatus $140,000 Closed 738-char remark
    Show marketing remark (738 chars)

    Looking for a new place to call home? This mobile home located in the desirable adult Community of Copper Sun is waiting just for you! Offering carport space and low-care landscape. Discover a welcoming interior with vaulted ceilings, wood-look flooring, a soothing palette, and lots of natural light great for interior plants. Continue onto the well-kept eat-in kitchen to find honey oak cabinets, matching appliances, tile countertops, a skylight, and a center island. The primary bedroom includes a walk-in closet and a spotless ensuite with dual sinks and a separate tub. Enjoy relaxing afternoons under the covered patio. This wonderful Community has all the amenities you have waiting for. Don't wait any longer! Make it yours today

  25. 2023-05-03
    status Pending 738-char remark
    Show marketing remark (738 chars)

    Looking for a new place to call home? This mobile home located in the desirable adult Community of Copper Sun is waiting just for you! Offering carport space and low-care landscape. Discover a welcoming interior with vaulted ceilings, wood-look flooring, a soothing palette, and lots of natural light great for interior plants. Continue onto the well-kept eat-in kitchen to find honey oak cabinets, matching appliances, tile countertops, a skylight, and a center island. The primary bedroom includes a walk-in closet and a spotless ensuite with dual sinks and a separate tub. Enjoy relaxing afternoons under the covered patio. This wonderful Community has all the amenities you have waiting for. Don't wait any longer! Make it yours today

  26. 2023-04-07
    price $140,000 738-char remark
    Show marketing remark (738 chars)

    Looking for a new place to call home? This mobile home located in the desirable adult Community of Copper Sun is waiting just for you! Offering carport space and low-care landscape. Discover a welcoming interior with vaulted ceilings, wood-look flooring, a soothing palette, and lots of natural light great for interior plants. Continue onto the well-kept eat-in kitchen to find honey oak cabinets, matching appliances, tile countertops, a skylight, and a center island. The primary bedroom includes a walk-in closet and a spotless ensuite with dual sinks and a separate tub. Enjoy relaxing afternoons under the covered patio. This wonderful Community has all the amenities you have waiting for. Don't wait any longer! Make it yours today

  27. 2023-03-24
    listed $180,000 Active 738-char remark
    Show marketing remark (738 chars)

    Looking for a new place to call home? This mobile home located in the desirable adult Community of Copper Sun is waiting just for you! Offering carport space and low-care landscape. Discover a welcoming interior with vaulted ceilings, wood-look flooring, a soothing palette, and lots of natural light great for interior plants. Continue onto the well-kept eat-in kitchen to find honey oak cabinets, matching appliances, tile countertops, a skylight, and a center island. The primary bedroom includes a walk-in closet and a spotless ensuite with dual sinks and a separate tub. Enjoy relaxing afternoons under the covered patio. This wonderful Community has all the amenities you have waiting for. Don't wait any longer! Make it yours today

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,309
− Mortgage interest
−$7,254
− Property taxes
−$1,942
− Insurance
−$648
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,945
− Management
−$1,945
− Depreciation
−$3,767
Taxable income
$6,808
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,634
After-tax cash flow
$6,831/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 None rehab

This move-in ready mobile home in a quiet 55+ community features an open-concept layout with modern finishes and ample natural light.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal
  • Rental trim bushes — improves landscaping
  • Both install smart home devices — increases home's modern appeal and convenience

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal
  • Rental trim bushes — improves landscaping
  • Both install smart home devices — increases home's modern appeal and convenience

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dysart Unified District (4243)
NCES district ID
0402690
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$58,033
Composite
32.76/100
National rank
#5634
State rank
#73 of 249 in AZ

Livability — El Mirage

Score
63/100
State rank
#112
US rank
#15164

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
El Mirage, AZ
County
Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
City population
36,088
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
36,088
Household income
$78,050
Rent vs Own
30.3% rent · 69.7% own
Severe rent burden
669.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,979,203 people
By 2030
5,378,229 · +8.0%
By 2040
6,156,598 · +23.6%
By 2050
6,872,376 · +38.0%
By 2075
8,401,270 · +68.7%
By 2100
9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 50% White 35% Two or more races 28% Black 6% Native American 1% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 37%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada
Languages at home
66% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -52.81%
Current HPI
342.6503
Rent YoY
▲ 0.08%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-28.1% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2026-01-05 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2026-01-05 Price Changed $129,500 ARMLS
  • 2026-01-01 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2025-11-21 Price Changed $135,000 ARMLS
  • 2025-11-07 Price Changed $142,500 ARMLS
  • 2025-10-04 Price Changed $147,500 ARMLS
  • 2025-07-08 Price Changed $149,900 ARMLS
  • 2025-05-29 Listed $160,000 ARMLS
  • 2023-06-13 Sold (MLS) $140,000 ARMLS
  • 2023-05-03 Pending ARMLS
  • 2023-04-07 Price Changed $140,000 ARMLS
  • 2023-03-24 Listed $180,000 ARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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