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64 Maple Ave
C Composite 57.12
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.2/30.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.2/10.0

$124,900

64 Maple Ave · Cedarville, NJ 08311
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,093 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 94 Days on market
Built 1900 10,454 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2-story home in quaint village of Cedarville would make a great starter home. Needs some cosmetic updating. Has 1-car detached garage, partially fenced yard and deep lot. Close to fishing and boating on the Delaware Bay.

Key facts

  • 0.24 acre lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1900

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed (cats and dogs OK)
  • Financial info: Ownership: Fee simple; Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking (2 spaces); Total of 2 garage/parking spaces
  • Utilities: Private water; Private sewer; Natural gas heating and hot water
  • Home design: Detached structure; Main entrance faces south; Entry level: 1
  • Construction: Frame construction; Stone foundation with crawl space; Asphalt roof; Building winterized
  • Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Shed on property; Other structures above grade and below grade; Not in a federal flood zone; Paved road access (city/county road responsibility)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Partial basement; Living area source: Assessor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $249 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#443 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-; Watch: crime C-, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Lawrence Township School District (rural): math 14% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #373 of 472 in NJ (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 216 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cumberland County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $78k; list at $125k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $113,659 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
8.68%
Cash-on-cash
8.53%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$261,227
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
59 Mulford Ave 0.61mi 2/1.0 1,105 (+1%) 14mo $180,000 $163 58
478 Main St 0.61mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,025 (-6%) 3mo $245,000 $239 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.3%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-4,346
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
6.4%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$16,865
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08311

Home prices YoY
-4.2%
Active inventory
14
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,497 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$227 /mo · $2,727/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$314
Net cashflow
$249

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,183
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $124,900 Active 94 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,900 Active 93 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,900 Active 92 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,900 Active 91 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,900 Active 90 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $124,900 Active 88 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $124,900 Active 87 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $124,900 Active 85 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $124,900 Active 84 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,900 Active 83 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $124,900 Active 82 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $124,900 Active 78 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $124,900 Active 77 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $124,900 Active 76 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $124,900 Active 75 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $124,900 Active 74 DOM
  17. 2026-05-05
    price $124,900
  18. 2026-03-17
    listed $134,900 Active
  19. 2011-02-14
    soldstatus $77,500
  20. 2011-02-04
    soldstatus $77,500 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (174 chars)

    Older 2-story home in Cedarville would make a great starter home. Has 1-car detached garage, partially fenced yard and deep lot. Close to fishing and boating on Delaware Bay.

  21. 2011-02-04
    soldstatus $77,500 174-char remark
    Show marketing remark (174 chars)

    Older 2-story home in Cedarville would make a great starter home. Has 1-car detached garage, partially fenced yard and deep lot. Close to fishing and boating on Delaware Bay.

  22. 2010-12-14
    historical 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (174 chars)

    Older 2-story home in Cedarville would make a great starter home. Has 1-car detached garage, partially fenced yard and deep lot. Close to fishing and boating on Delaware Bay.

  23. 2010-12-14
    historical 174-char remark
    Show marketing remark (174 chars)

    Older 2-story home in Cedarville would make a great starter home. Has 1-car detached garage, partially fenced yard and deep lot. Close to fishing and boating on Delaware Bay.

  24. 2010-03-23
    listed $74,900 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (174 chars)

    Older 2-story home in Cedarville would make a great starter home. Has 1-car detached garage, partially fenced yard and deep lot. Close to fishing and boating on Delaware Bay.

  25. 2010-03-23
    listed $74,900 174-char remark
    Show marketing remark (174 chars)

    Older 2-story home in Cedarville would make a great starter home. Has 1-car detached garage, partially fenced yard and deep lot. Close to fishing and boating on Delaware Bay.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,727 · $227/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,918 · $243/mo
Expected delta
+$192/yr (+$16/mo · 7.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,966
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$2,727
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,437
− Management
−$1,437
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$1,110
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$266
After-tax cash flow
$2,716/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lawrence Township School District
NCES district ID
3408370
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$66,807
Composite
23.99/100
National rank
#7778
State rank
#373 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Cedarville

Score
62/100
State rank
#443
US rank
#16441

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime C- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cedarville, NJ
City population
1,656
Population (ZIP)
1,656

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
152,743 people
By 2030
150,373 · -1.6%
By 2040
146,881 · -3.8%
By 2050
142,653 · -6.6%
By 2075
129,468 · -15.2%
By 2100
107,456 · -29.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 8% Black 7% Native American 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 9%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 8% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 51.3% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-25.4pp toward R · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: -3.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.8 2020: D+6.0 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+23.1 2008: D+21.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -9.66%
Current HPI
219.916
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+66.8% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $124,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $134,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2011-02-14 Sold (Public Records) $77,500 Public Records
  • 2011-02-04 Sold (MLS) $77,500 SJSRMLS
  • 2011-02-04 Sold (MLS) $77,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-12-14 Listing Removed SJSRMLS
  • 2010-12-14 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-03-23 Listed $74,900 SJSRMLS
  • 2010-03-23 Listed $74,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,727 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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