15750 Arroyo Dr #137 · Moorpark, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.7/30.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$439,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 15750 Arroyo Dr. , Unit 137, located in the desirable Villa Del Arroyo Mobile Home Park in Moorpark. This well-maintained 2016 manufactured home offers a peaceful, family-friendly setting with beautiful mountain views and an easy-going community atmosphere. Inside, you'll find a bright open-concept kitchen and living room, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen features a breakfast bar, pendant and recessed lighting, and a large pantry, with a dedicated dining area just off the kitchen. Enjoy the beautiful sunsets in the spacious front porch, ideal for relaxing or enjoying the surrounding scenery. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and an en-suite bathroom with dual sinks, providing comfort and privacy. Outside, the home offers drought-resistant landscaping and a triple tandem carport for ample parking. Villa Del Arroyo residents enjoy outstanding amenities, including scenic walking trails with mountain views, a clubhouse with library, game room with pool table, tennis court, basketball hoop, and horseshoe pits. This is a wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfortable living in a welcoming community close to nature.
Key facts
- Open-concept kitchen
- Walk-in closet
- Spacious front porch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $440k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $271 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $362k (17.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $362k (17.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 2.3% in Moorpark — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#60 in CA, #2,240 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Moorpark Unified (suburban): math 43% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #105 of 517 in CA (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 101 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,759 units permitted in Ventura County in 2024 (1,196 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ventura County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($400k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.64%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $305,170
- List price
- $439,900
- Delta
- 44.15%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15750 Arroyo Dr #240 | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (-1%) | 14mo | $298,000 | $186 | 84 |
| 15750 Arroyo Dr #238 | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (-7%) | 9mo | $350,000 | $233 | 79 |
| 15750 Arroyo Dr #185 | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,566 (-3%) | 17mo | $349,900 | $223 | 70 |
| 15750 Arroyo Dr #149 | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,680 (+4%) | 21mo | $310,000 | $185 | 70 |
| 15750 Arroyo Dr #9 | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,488 (-8%) | 13mo | $410,000 | $276 | 66 |
| 15750 Arroyo Dr #95 | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (-11%) | 12mo | $440,000 | $306 | 64 |
| 15750 Arroyo Dr #154 | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-11%) | 14mo | $390,000 | $271 | 62 |
| 15750 Arroyo Dr #64 | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-11%) | 11mo | $315,000 | $219 | 58 |
| 15750 Arroyo Dr #119 | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-11%) | 19mo | $310,000 | $215 | 54 |
| 15750 Arroyo Dr #195 | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,816 (+12%) | 20mo | $300,000 | $165 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-64,828
- Equity at exit
- $65,591
- IRR
- -11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-76,099
- Equity at exit
- $38,035
Cash invested: $123,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93021
- Rents YoY
- -1.1%
- Active inventory
- 101
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,620 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,307
- Tax from tax record
- −$99 /mo · $1,182/yr
- Insurance
- −$183
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$760
- Net cashflow
- $271
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $109,975
- Closing costs
- $13,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6516 Marquette St Unit F Moorpark, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1514 | $3,500 | $2.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 14987 Campus Park Dr Unit D Moorpark, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1245 | $3,600 | $2.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 14640 Marymount St Moorpark, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1521 | $4,000 | $2.63 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 6894 Auburn Cir Moorpark, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1241 | $3,595 | $2.90 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 38 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $439,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $439,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $439,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $439,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $439,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $439,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $439,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $439,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $439,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $439,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $439,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $439,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $439,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $439,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $439,900 Active 86 DOM
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2026-05-20status Pending Sale 1168-char remark
Show marketing remark (1168 chars)
Welcome to 15750 Arroyo Dr. , Unit 137, located in the desirable Villa Del Arroyo Mobile Home Park in Moorpark. This well-maintained 2016 manufactured home offers a peaceful, family-friendly setting with beautiful mountain views and an easy-going community atmosphere. Inside, you'll find a bright open-concept kitchen and living room, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen features a breakfast bar, pendant and recessed lighting, and a large pantry, with a dedicated dining area just off the kitchen. Enjoy the beautiful sunsets in the spacious front porch, ideal for relaxing or enjoying the surrounding scenery. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and an en-suite bathroom with dual sinks, providing comfort and privacy. Outside, the home offers drought-resistant landscaping and a triple tandem carport for ample parking. Villa Del Arroyo residents enjoy outstanding amenities, including scenic walking trails with mountain views, a clubhouse with library, game room with pool table, tennis court, basketball hoop, and horseshoe pits. This is a wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfortable living in a welcoming community close to nature.
-
2026-04-30price $439,900 1168-char remark
Show marketing remark (1168 chars)
Welcome to 15750 Arroyo Dr. , Unit 137, located in the desirable Villa Del Arroyo Mobile Home Park in Moorpark. This well-maintained 2016 manufactured home offers a peaceful, family-friendly setting with beautiful mountain views and an easy-going community atmosphere. Inside, you'll find a bright open-concept kitchen and living room, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen features a breakfast bar, pendant and recessed lighting, and a large pantry, with a dedicated dining area just off the kitchen. Enjoy the beautiful sunsets in the spacious front porch, ideal for relaxing or enjoying the surrounding scenery. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and an en-suite bathroom with dual sinks, providing comfort and privacy. Outside, the home offers drought-resistant landscaping and a triple tandem carport for ample parking. Villa Del Arroyo residents enjoy outstanding amenities, including scenic walking trails with mountain views, a clubhouse with library, game room with pool table, tennis court, basketball hoop, and horseshoe pits. This is a wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfortable living in a welcoming community close to nature.
-
2026-04-21status Active 1168-char remark
Show marketing remark (1168 chars)
Welcome to 15750 Arroyo Dr. , Unit 137, located in the desirable Villa Del Arroyo Mobile Home Park in Moorpark. This well-maintained 2016 manufactured home offers a peaceful, family-friendly setting with beautiful mountain views and an easy-going community atmosphere. Inside, you'll find a bright open-concept kitchen and living room, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen features a breakfast bar, pendant and recessed lighting, and a large pantry, with a dedicated dining area just off the kitchen. Enjoy the beautiful sunsets in the spacious front porch, ideal for relaxing or enjoying the surrounding scenery. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and an en-suite bathroom with dual sinks, providing comfort and privacy. Outside, the home offers drought-resistant landscaping and a triple tandem carport for ample parking. Villa Del Arroyo residents enjoy outstanding amenities, including scenic walking trails with mountain views, a clubhouse with library, game room with pool table, tennis court, basketball hoop, and horseshoe pits. This is a wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfortable living in a welcoming community close to nature.
-
2026-03-19status Pending Sale 1168-char remark
Show marketing remark (1168 chars)
Welcome to 15750 Arroyo Dr. , Unit 137, located in the desirable Villa Del Arroyo Mobile Home Park in Moorpark. This well-maintained 2016 manufactured home offers a peaceful, family-friendly setting with beautiful mountain views and an easy-going community atmosphere. Inside, you'll find a bright open-concept kitchen and living room, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen features a breakfast bar, pendant and recessed lighting, and a large pantry, with a dedicated dining area just off the kitchen. Enjoy the beautiful sunsets in the spacious front porch, ideal for relaxing or enjoying the surrounding scenery. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and an en-suite bathroom with dual sinks, providing comfort and privacy. Outside, the home offers drought-resistant landscaping and a triple tandem carport for ample parking. Villa Del Arroyo residents enjoy outstanding amenities, including scenic walking trails with mountain views, a clubhouse with library, game room with pool table, tennis court, basketball hoop, and horseshoe pits. This is a wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfortable living in a welcoming community close to nature.
-
2026-01-22$440,000 Active 1168-char remark
Show marketing remark (1168 chars)
Welcome to 15750 Arroyo Dr. , Unit 137, located in the desirable Villa Del Arroyo Mobile Home Park in Moorpark. This well-maintained 2016 manufactured home offers a peaceful, family-friendly setting with beautiful mountain views and an easy-going community atmosphere. Inside, you'll find a bright open-concept kitchen and living room, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen features a breakfast bar, pendant and recessed lighting, and a large pantry, with a dedicated dining area just off the kitchen. Enjoy the beautiful sunsets in the spacious front porch, ideal for relaxing or enjoying the surrounding scenery. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and an en-suite bathroom with dual sinks, providing comfort and privacy. Outside, the home offers drought-resistant landscaping and a triple tandem carport for ample parking. Villa Del Arroyo residents enjoy outstanding amenities, including scenic walking trails with mountain views, a clubhouse with library, game room with pool table, tennis court, basketball hoop, and horseshoe pits. This is a wonderful opportunity to enjoy comfortable living in a welcoming community close to nature.
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2023-11-14soldstatus $390,000 Sold 1542-char remark
Show marketing remark (1542 chars)
SELLERS MOTIVATED. .. WANT TO SEE OFFERS! Style. Warmth. Beauty. Serenity. Welcome to 15750 Arroyo Drive, one of the newest (2016) homes in the community, the meticulous blend of all and more you deserve. Stroll through the storybook patio with tech flooring and wood railing, and upon entering, you are greeted by abundant natural light filtering through the dual-paned windows, filling the spacious open floorpan. The designer kitchen featuring Maganite counters, pendant and recessed lighting, large pantry, pull-out drawers, and new Stainless Steel appliances is truly a chefs delight. Guests can enjoy their meals at the massive the 6' island, then relax in the huge great room underneath the relaxing breeze of the custom ceiling fan. Retire for the evening to your primary suite with walk-in closet, and en-suite bath with dual sinks. Set up your guests in one of two spacious secondary bedrooms, while you utilize the other for ideal home office. Other incredible features include designer wall cover with with white accents, recessed lighting, and laundry room! Outside enjoy the well thought drought resistance landscaping, convenience of triple tandem parking, and exterior easy maintenance finish that never needs painting. Spend the weekends strolling through the spectacular community, enjoying the newer pool area, newer outdoor furniture, wonderful walking trails, gardens, sport court, club house, game room, and library. On top of it all, one of the lowest space rent in the area! When you deserve the best, look no further!
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2023-11-03status Pending 1542-char remark
Show marketing remark (1542 chars)
SELLERS MOTIVATED. .. WANT TO SEE OFFERS! Style. Warmth. Beauty. Serenity. Welcome to 15750 Arroyo Drive, one of the newest (2016) homes in the community, the meticulous blend of all and more you deserve. Stroll through the storybook patio with tech flooring and wood railing, and upon entering, you are greeted by abundant natural light filtering through the dual-paned windows, filling the spacious open floorpan. The designer kitchen featuring Maganite counters, pendant and recessed lighting, large pantry, pull-out drawers, and new Stainless Steel appliances is truly a chefs delight. Guests can enjoy their meals at the massive the 6' island, then relax in the huge great room underneath the relaxing breeze of the custom ceiling fan. Retire for the evening to your primary suite with walk-in closet, and en-suite bath with dual sinks. Set up your guests in one of two spacious secondary bedrooms, while you utilize the other for ideal home office. Other incredible features include designer wall cover with with white accents, recessed lighting, and laundry room! Outside enjoy the well thought drought resistance landscaping, convenience of triple tandem parking, and exterior easy maintenance finish that never needs painting. Spend the weekends strolling through the spectacular community, enjoying the newer pool area, newer outdoor furniture, wonderful walking trails, gardens, sport court, club house, game room, and library. On top of it all, one of the lowest space rent in the area! When you deserve the best, look no further!
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2023-09-07price $395,000 1542-char remark
Show marketing remark (1542 chars)
SELLERS MOTIVATED. .. WANT TO SEE OFFERS! Style. Warmth. Beauty. Serenity. Welcome to 15750 Arroyo Drive, one of the newest (2016) homes in the community, the meticulous blend of all and more you deserve. Stroll through the storybook patio with tech flooring and wood railing, and upon entering, you are greeted by abundant natural light filtering through the dual-paned windows, filling the spacious open floorpan. The designer kitchen featuring Maganite counters, pendant and recessed lighting, large pantry, pull-out drawers, and new Stainless Steel appliances is truly a chefs delight. Guests can enjoy their meals at the massive the 6' island, then relax in the huge great room underneath the relaxing breeze of the custom ceiling fan. Retire for the evening to your primary suite with walk-in closet, and en-suite bath with dual sinks. Set up your guests in one of two spacious secondary bedrooms, while you utilize the other for ideal home office. Other incredible features include designer wall cover with with white accents, recessed lighting, and laundry room! Outside enjoy the well thought drought resistance landscaping, convenience of triple tandem parking, and exterior easy maintenance finish that never needs painting. Spend the weekends strolling through the spectacular community, enjoying the newer pool area, newer outdoor furniture, wonderful walking trails, gardens, sport court, club house, game room, and library. On top of it all, one of the lowest space rent in the area! When you deserve the best, look no further!
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2023-08-28historical
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2023-07-20price $419,000
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2023-06-05status Active
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2023-05-27historical Active Under Contract
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2023-05-18price $435,000
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2023-05-09$414,999 Active 1542-char remark
Show marketing remark (1542 chars)
SELLERS MOTIVATED. .. WANT TO SEE OFFERS! Style. Warmth. Beauty. Serenity. Welcome to 15750 Arroyo Drive, one of the newest (2016) homes in the community, the meticulous blend of all and more you deserve. Stroll through the storybook patio with tech flooring and wood railing, and upon entering, you are greeted by abundant natural light filtering through the dual-paned windows, filling the spacious open floorpan. The designer kitchen featuring Maganite counters, pendant and recessed lighting, large pantry, pull-out drawers, and new Stainless Steel appliances is truly a chefs delight. Guests can enjoy their meals at the massive the 6' island, then relax in the huge great room underneath the relaxing breeze of the custom ceiling fan. Retire for the evening to your primary suite with walk-in closet, and en-suite bath with dual sinks. Set up your guests in one of two spacious secondary bedrooms, while you utilize the other for ideal home office. Other incredible features include designer wall cover with with white accents, recessed lighting, and laundry room! Outside enjoy the well thought drought resistance landscaping, convenience of triple tandem parking, and exterior easy maintenance finish that never needs painting. Spend the weekends strolling through the spectacular community, enjoying the newer pool area, newer outdoor furniture, wonderful walking trails, gardens, sport court, club house, game room, and library. On top of it all, one of the lowest space rent in the area! When you deserve the best, look no further!
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2023-05-09$449,000 Active
Show marketing remark (1542 chars)
SELLERS MOTIVATED. .. WANT TO SEE OFFERS! Style. Warmth. Beauty. Serenity. Welcome to 15750 Arroyo Drive, one of the newest (2016) homes in the community, the meticulous blend of all and more you deserve. Stroll through the storybook patio with tech flooring and wood railing, and upon entering, you are greeted by abundant natural light filtering through the dual-paned windows, filling the spacious open floorpan. The designer kitchen featuring Maganite counters, pendant and recessed lighting, large pantry, pull-out drawers, and new Stainless Steel appliances is truly a chefs delight. Guests can enjoy their meals at the massive the 6' island, then relax in the huge great room underneath the relaxing breeze of the custom ceiling fan. Retire for the evening to your primary suite with walk-in closet, and en-suite bath with dual sinks. Set up your guests in one of two spacious secondary bedrooms, while you utilize the other for ideal home office. Other incredible features include designer wall cover with with white accents, recessed lighting, and laundry room! Outside enjoy the well thought drought resistance landscaping, convenience of triple tandem parking, and exterior easy maintenance finish that never needs painting. Spend the weekends strolling through the spectacular community, enjoying the newer pool area, newer outdoor furniture, wonderful walking trails, gardens, sport court, club house, game room, and library. On top of it all, one of the lowest space rent in the area! When you deserve the best, look no further!
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2020-08-17status Pending
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2020-08-17soldstatus $262,000
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2020-08-17soldstatus $262,000 Sold
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2020-07-27historical Active Under Contract
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2020-06-23price $274,500
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2020-06-19price $284,900
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2020-06-18price $274,900
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2020-06-02$295,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,182 · $99/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,343 · $279/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,161/yr (+$180/mo · 182.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,445
- − Mortgage interest
- −$24,641
- − Property taxes
- −$1,182
- − Insurance
- −$2,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,476
- − Management
- −$3,476
- − Depreciation
- −$12,797
- Taxable loss
- −$4,326
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,038
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,295/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Moorpark Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0625690
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $98,989
- Composite
- 47.83/100
- National rank
- #2222
- State rank
- #105 of 517 in CA
Livability — Moorpark
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #60
- US rank
- #2240
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Moorpark, CA
- County
- Ventura County · 829,955 people
- City population
- 37,746
- Metro
- Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,746
- Household income
- $147,636
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 624.0
Population outlook (Ventura County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 895,754 people
- By 2030
- 912,134 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 931,454 · +4.0%
- By 2050
- 934,609 · +4.3%
- By 2075
- 924,899 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 864,712 · -3.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 20% Asian 6% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 3% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ventura
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.1) · D 56.1% · R 41.0% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.8pp toward D · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: 15.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.1 2020: D+21.1 2016: D+16.8 2012: D+5.3 2008: D+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -499.76%
- Current HPI
- 291.3981
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.12%
- Metro
- Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+49.1% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — CRMLS
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $439,900 CRMLS
- 2026-04-21 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2026-03-19 Pending — CRMLS
- 2026-01-22 Listed $440,000 CRMLS
- 2023-11-14 Sold (MLS) $390,000 CSMAR
- 2023-11-03 Pending — CSMAR
- 2023-09-07 Price Changed $395,000 CSMAR
- 2023-08-28 Listing Removed — CSMAR
- 2023-07-20 Price Changed $419,000 CSMAR
- 2023-06-05 Relisted — CSMAR
- 2023-05-27 Contingent — CSMAR
- 2023-05-18 Price Changed $435,000 CSMAR
- 2023-05-09 Listed $449,000 CSMAR
- 2023-05-09 Listed $414,999 CSMAR
- 2020-08-17 Pending — CRMLS
- 2020-08-17 Sold (MLS) $262,000 CRMLS
- 2020-08-17 Sold (MLS) $262,000 CSMAR
- 2020-07-27 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2020-06-23 Price Changed $274,500 CRMLS
- 2020-06-19 Price Changed $284,900 CRMLS
- 2020-06-18 Price Changed $274,900 CRMLS
- 2020-06-02 Listed $295,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
-5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,182 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…