124 County Road 882 · Etowah, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.6/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to the charming home located on a flat corner lot in McMinn County! This homes front porch is inviting and offers the opportunity to relax at the end of a long day. Inside, you will find a spacious living room that leads into a kitchen. The bedrooms are nicely spaced out, allowing for privacy and comfortable living quarters. A side door allows access to the yard- perfect for pets or kids running and playing. This home needs your finishing touches and is ready for you to make it is own!
Key facts
- Access to the yard
- Front porch
- Flat corner lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $307 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($995 rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 3.0% in Etowah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#195 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Mcminn County (rural): math 24% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #77 of 139 in TN (top 55%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 45 units permitted in McMinn County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.43%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $87,962
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- -9.05%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 County Road 882 | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 780 (-8%) | 10mo | $33,500 | $43 | 65 |
| 136 County Road 909 | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 800 (-6%) | 13mo | $159,000 | $199 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $6,540
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.37×
- Total profit
- $30,724
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37331
- Home prices YoY
- -7.4%
- Active inventory
- 70
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $995 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$26 /mo · $318/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$209
- Net cashflow
- $307
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 614 Washington Ave Etowah, TN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $995 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 21 DOM
Show marketing remark (498 chars)
Welcome to the charming home located on a flat corner lot in McMinn County! This homes front porch is inviting and offers the opportunity to relax at the end of a long day. Inside, you will find a spacious living room that leads into a kitchen. The bedrooms are nicely spaced out, allowing for privacy and comfortable living quarters. A side door allows access to the yard- perfect for pets or kids running and playing. This home needs your finishing touches and is ready for you to make it is own!
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $80,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $80,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $80,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $80,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-05-13price $80,000 498-char remark
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2026-04-17price $90,000 498-char remark
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2026-04-02$95,000 Active 498-char remark
Show marketing remark (498 chars)
Welcome to the charming home located on a flat corner lot in McMinn County! This homes front porch is inviting and offers the opportunity to relax at the end of a long day. Inside, you will find a spacious living room that leads into a kitchen. The bedrooms are nicely spaced out, allowing for privacy and comfortable living quarters. A side door allows access to the yard- perfect for pets or kids running and playing. This home needs your finishing touches and is ready for you to make it is own!
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2020-10-28soldstatus $105,000
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2020-10-26soldstatus $65,000 326-char remark
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2020-10-26soldstatus $65,000
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2020-04-29$67,900
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2019-12-19$25,000
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2007-08-29soldstatus $53,000
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2005-09-12soldstatus $62,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $318 · $26/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $568 · $47/mo
- Expected delta
- +$250/yr (+$21/mo · 78.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,940
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$318
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$955
- − Management
- −$955
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $2,503
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$601
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,080/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mcminn County
- NCES district ID
- 4702820
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,622
- Composite
- 22.49/100
- National rank
- #8099
- State rank
- #77 of 139 in TN
Livability — Etowah
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #15410
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 7,653
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,653
Population outlook (McMinn County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 53,766 people
- By 2030
- 54,098 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 54,450 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 54,202 · +0.8%
- By 2075
- 55,241 · +2.7%
- By 2100
- 56,399 · +4.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 8% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · McMinn
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.2) · D 17.5% · R 81.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.9pp · 2024: -64.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.2 2020: R+60.6 2016: R+59.7 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+41.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -27.76%
- Current HPI
- 346.2746
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+29.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listing Removed — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-27 Listed $80,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-23 Listing Removed — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $80,000 GCAR
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $90,000 GCAR
- 2026-04-02 Listed $80,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2020-10-26 Sold (MLS) $65,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-10-26 Sold (MLS) $65,000 RCAOR
- 2020-04-29 Listed $67,900 RCAOR
- 2019-12-19 Listed $25,000 RCAOR
- 2007-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
- 2005-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $318 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…