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2250 New River Inlet Rd #311
C- Composite 53.13
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.2/30.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$187,500

2250 New River Inlet Rd #311 · North Topsail Beach, NC 28460
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 768 sqft · Condo · 118 Days on market
Built 1980 $514/mo HOA · 21% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

COME CHECK OUT THIS OCEANFRONT CONDO!!! IT HAS 2 BEDROOMS 1 BATH COMES PARTIALLY FURNISHED. HAS DECK TO SIT ON TO WATCH SUN COME UP. TENNIS COURT, GRILLING AREAS, TRASH DISPOSAL ON SITE. BUY AS A PLACE TO CALL HOME OR AN INVESTMENT FOR LONG TERM OR SHORT TERM RENTALS

Key facts

  • Ocean front
  • Sunrise view
  • Endless ocean views

Tags

OCEAN FRONTENDLESS OCEAN VIEWSSUNRISE VIEWFULLY FURNISHEDSUBSTANTIAL RENTAL INCOME

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: Topsail Reef; Street lights in community
  • Financial info: Association fee billed annually (derived monthly approximately $513.67)
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association; Association amenities include laundry, grounds maintenance, structure maintenance, tennis courts, trash service, water, and cable TV; Annual association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: On-site paved parking
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Water available
  • Home design: Residential condominium; One story; Wood siding construction; Composition roof; Entry on one level
  • Construction: Wood siding exterior; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built with composition roof
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Deck; Oceanfront location; Has view; Smoke detector(s); Pets allowed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 3 total rooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Wall/window cooling unit(s)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry available through association

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $188k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $167 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $188k).
  • Recommended offer: $171k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 0.6% in North Topsail Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#424 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Onslow County Schools (other): math 42% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #84 of 178 in NC (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Dixon Elementary (math 63% / reading 66%, grade B, #147 of 1,410 statewide, top 11%, 736 students, 30% FRL); Dixon Middle (math 49% / reading 53%, grade C, #106 of 475 statewide, top 22%, 948 students, 39% FRL); Dixon High (math 62% / reading 72%, grade B, #142 of 535 statewide, top 28%, 1,149 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools at 34% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 61% at this address vs 46% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Onslow County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 560 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,246 units permitted in Onslow County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($171k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $64k; list at $188k implies a 193% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
Recommended offer $170,625 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
7.36%
Cash-on-cash
3.81%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.68% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.2%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-12,488
Equity at exit
$27,957
10-year hold
IRR
7.4%
Equity multiple
1.65×
Total profit
$34,262
Equity at exit
$16,212

Cash invested: $52,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28460

Rents YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
560
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,502 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$983
Tax est. 1.5%
$234 /mo · $2,812/yr
Insurance
$78
HOA
$514
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$525
Net cashflow
$167

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,291
Max offer price $187,500
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $296 -5% $231 +0% $167 +5% $102 +10% $37
Rent -10% $-31 -5% $68 +0% $167 +5% $265 +10% $364
Rate -1.0pp $261 -0.5pp $214 base $167 +0.5pp $118 +1.0pp $69

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,875
Closing costs
$5,625
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
177 Sea Gull Ln N Topsail Beach, NC 3.0 2.0 1012 $2,300 $2.27 21d 1 0.08mi
231 Port Dr N Topsail Beach, NC 3.0 2.0 1024 $4,800 $4.69 14d 1 0.20mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$514 · $6,168/yr
Likely covers
trash
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $187,500 Active 118 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $187,500 Active 117 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $187,500 Active 116 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $187,500 Active 115 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $187,500 Active 114 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $187,500 Active 112 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $187,500 Active 111 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $187,500 Active 109 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $187,500 Active 108 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $187,500 Active 107 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $187,500 Active 106 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $187,500 Active 102 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $187,500 Active 101 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $187,500 Active 100 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $187,500 Active 99 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $187,500 Active 98 DOM
  17. 2026-02-22
    price $187,500
  18. 2026-02-21
    listed $197,500 Active
  19. 2022-07-15
    price $227,000
  20. 2022-06-20
    status Active
  21. 2022-06-03
    status Pending
  22. 2022-06-03
    historical
  23. 2022-05-27
    price $232,000
  24. 2022-05-20
    status Active
  25. 2022-05-10
    status Pending
  26. 2022-05-06
    price $237,000
  27. 2022-04-22
    listed $240,000 Active
  28. 2018-10-31
    soldstatus $64,000 267-char remark
    Show marketing remark (267 chars)

    COME CHECK OUT THIS OCEANFRONT CONDO!!! IT HAS 2 BEDROOMS 1 BATH COMES PARTIALLY FURNISHED. HAS DECK TO SIT ON TO WATCH SUN COME UP. TENNIS COURT, GRILLING AREAS, TRASH DISPOSAL ON SITE. BUY AS A PLACE TO CALL HOME OR AN INVESTMENT FOR LONG TERM OR SHORT TERM RENTALS

  29. 2018-06-26
    listed $80,000 267-char remark
    Show marketing remark (267 chars)

    COME CHECK OUT THIS OCEANFRONT CONDO!!! IT HAS 2 BEDROOMS 1 BATH COMES PARTIALLY FURNISHED. HAS DECK TO SIT ON TO WATCH SUN COME UP. TENNIS COURT, GRILLING AREAS, TRASH DISPOSAL ON SITE. BUY AS A PLACE TO CALL HOME OR AN INVESTMENT FOR LONG TERM OR SHORT TERM RENTALS

  30. 2013-08-13
    historical
  31. 2012-08-17
    listed $95,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,022
− Mortgage interest
−$10,503
− Property taxes
−$2,812
− Insurance
−$938
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,402
− Management
−$2,402
− HOA
−$6,168
− Depreciation
−$5,455
Taxable loss
−$657
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$158
After-tax cash flow
$2,158/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Onslow County Schools
NCES district ID
3703450
Math proficiency
42% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$46,076
Composite
38.66/100
National rank
#4148
State rank
#84 of 178 in NC

Livability — North Topsail Beach

Score
63/100
State rank
#424
US rank
#15770

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing B- Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Topsail Beach, NC
County
Onslow County · 164,453 people
Metro
Jacksonville, NC
Population (ZIP)
13,532
Household income
$88,908
Rent vs Own
25.3% rent · 74.7% own
Severe rent burden
349.0

Population outlook (Onslow County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
189,789 people
By 2030
194,463 · +2.5%
By 2040
193,629 · +2.0%
By 2050
193,248 · +1.8%
By 2075
196,995 · +3.8%
By 2100
201,513 · +6.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
3% · South Korea, Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onslow

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.5% · R 67.5% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-14.5pp toward R · 2008: -21.5pp · 2024: -35.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.9 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+34.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+21.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -162.21%
Current HPI
176.3461
Rent YoY
▲ 5.68%
Metro
Jacksonville, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+97.4% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-22 Price Changed $187,500 Hive MLS
  • 2026-02-21 Listed $197,500 Hive MLS
  • 2022-07-15 Price Changed $227,000 Hive MLS
  • 2022-06-20 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2022-06-03 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2022-06-03 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2022-05-27 Price Changed $232,000 Hive MLS
  • 2022-05-20 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2022-05-10 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2022-05-06 Price Changed $237,000 Hive MLS
  • 2022-04-22 Listed $240,000 Hive MLS
  • 2018-10-31 Sold (MLS) $64,000 Hive MLS
  • 2018-06-26 Listed $80,000 Hive MLS
  • 2013-08-13 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2012-08-17 Listed $95,000 Hive MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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