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14 Fulton St
C- Composite 53.5
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$128,000

14 Fulton St · Antwerp, NY 13608
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,393 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 77 Days on market
Built 1860 0.32 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Check out this home just 20 min from fort drum! All new paint and new flooring here!! This 3 bedroom 1 bathroom home features an open layout with a large Livingroom/dinning room combo. Huge kitchen with tons of cabinets and center island. Large back room with laundry hook ups and room for a family room or mud room. Upstairs features 3 large bedrooms. All new pex plumbing. Cant beat this home for the price, Priced below assessed value for quick sale! Call today for your showing!!

Key facts

  • Front porch
  • Bonus space
  • First-floor laundry

Tags

FRONT PORCHCOUNTRY-STYLE KITCHENOPEN LIVING AND DINING AREAFIRST-FLOOR LAUNDRYBONUS SPACEDETACHED GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-story existing home
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Stone foundation
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Rectangular residential lot (approx. 0.316 acres, 83 x 166); City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Bonus room (counts as additional room)
  • Flooring: Vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Oil-fired forced air heating
  • Interior features: Country kitchen; Varied and vinyl flooring; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $128k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $117 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $128k).
  • Recommended offer: $120k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,064 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Indian River Central School District (rural): math 33% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #502 of 590 in NY (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 196 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($885 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
  • Jefferson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($120k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $128k implies a 113% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $120,320 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.39%
Cash-on-cash
3.91%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$84,973
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12 Fulton St 0.01mi 3/1.5 1,524 (+9%) 15mo $95,400 $63 69
37754 County Route 194 0.33mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,294 (-7%) 7mo $35,000 $27 60
5 Mcallister Ave 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,536 (+10%) 7mo $145,868 $95 58
316 Main St 0.42mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,210 (-13%) 15mo $74,000 $61 41
227 Main St 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,566 (+12%) 23mo $10,000 $6 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.79% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.8%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$8,539
Equity at exit
$42,280
10-year hold
IRR
9.3%
Equity multiple
2.10×
Total profit
$39,572
Equity at exit
$55,107

Cash invested: $35,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13608

Home prices YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
19
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,299 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$671
Tax from tax record
$185 /mo · $2,221/yr
Insurance
$53
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$117

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,151
Max offer price $128,000
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $189 -5% $153 +0% $117 +5% $81 +10% $44
Rent -10% $14 -5% $66 +0% $117 +5% $168 +10% $219
Rate -1.0pp $181 -0.5pp $149 base $117 +0.5pp $84 +1.0pp $50

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,000
Closing costs
$3,840
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $128,000 Active 77 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $128,000 Active 76 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $128,000 Active 75 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    price $128,000 Active 74 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 74 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 73 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $130,000 Active 71 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $130,000 Active 70 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $130,000 Active 67 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 66 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 65 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $130,000 Active 62 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $130,000 Active 61 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $130,000 Active 60 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $133,000 Active 59 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $133,000 Active 58 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $133,000 Active 57 DOM
  18. 2026-05-06
    price $133,000
  19. 2026-04-17
    price $135,000
  20. 2026-04-03
    listed $139,000 Active
  21. 2020-08-31
    soldstatus $60,000
  22. 2020-08-28
    soldstatus $60,000 485-char remark
    Show marketing remark (485 chars)

    Check out this home just 20 min from fort drum! All new paint and new flooring here!! This 3 bedroom 1 bathroom home features an open layout with a large Livingroom/dinning room combo. Huge kitchen with tons of cabinets and center island. Large back room with laundry hook ups and room for a family room or mud room. Upstairs features 3 large bedrooms. All new pex plumbing. Cant beat this home for the price, Priced below assessed value for quick sale! Call today for your showing!!

  23. 2020-06-10
    listed $59,900 485-char remark
    Show marketing remark (485 chars)

    Check out this home just 20 min from fort drum! All new paint and new flooring here!! This 3 bedroom 1 bathroom home features an open layout with a large Livingroom/dinning room combo. Huge kitchen with tons of cabinets and center island. Large back room with laundry hook ups and room for a family room or mud room. Upstairs features 3 large bedrooms. All new pex plumbing. Cant beat this home for the price, Priced below assessed value for quick sale! Call today for your showing!!

  24. 2020-03-20
    soldstatus $7,000 205-char remark
    Show marketing remark (205 chars)

    within 15 minutes to Fort Drum. Homes \ has lots of potential with 3 bedrooms, bath, kitchen with island, formal dining room and large living room. Living room has a built in book case. Very easy to show

  25. 2019-12-16
    listed $10,900 205-char remark
    Show marketing remark (205 chars)

    within 15 minutes to Fort Drum. Homes \ has lots of potential with 3 bedrooms, bath, kitchen with island, formal dining room and large living room. Living room has a built in book case. Very easy to show

  26. 2014-05-15
    historical
  27. 2014-03-07
    listed $92,900
  28. 2013-04-15
    historical
  29. 2013-02-07
    listed $94,900
  30. 2012-12-31
    historical
  31. 2012-04-26
    listed $94,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,221 · $185/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,221 · $185/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,592
− Mortgage interest
−$7,170
− Property taxes
−$2,221
− Insurance
−$640
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,247
− Management
−$1,247
− Depreciation
−$3,724
Taxable loss
−$657
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$158
After-tax cash flow
$1,560/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Indian River Central School District
NCES district ID
3615300
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$45,599
Composite
35.25/100
National rank
#4977
State rank
#502 of 590 in NY

Livability — Antwerp

Score
58/100
State rank
#1064
US rank
#21270

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Antwerp, NY
Population (ZIP)
1,845

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
111,748 people
By 2030
109,370 · -2.1%
By 2040
103,828 · -7.1%
By 2050
98,523 · -11.8%
By 2075
91,422 · -18.2%
By 2100
78,214 · -30.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Iranian 4% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.6) · D 38.2% · R 61.8%
2008→2024 swing
-18.3pp toward R · 2008: -5.3pp · 2024: -23.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.6 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+22.4 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+5.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.79%
Current HPI
582.0014
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+41.5% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $133,000 CNYIS
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $135,000 CNYIS
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $139,000 CNYIS
  • 2020-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2020-08-28 Sold (MLS) $60,000 CNYIS
  • 2020-06-10 Listed $59,900 CNYIS
  • 2020-03-20 Sold (MLS) $7,000 CNYIS
  • 2019-12-16 Listed $10,900 CNYIS
  • 2014-05-15 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2014-03-07 Listed $92,900 CNYIS
  • 2013-04-15 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2013-02-07 Listed $94,900 CNYIS
  • 2012-12-31 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2012-04-26 Listed $94,000 CNYIS

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,221 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…