14 Fulton St · Antwerp, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- Appreciation +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$128,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Check out this home just 20 min from fort drum! All new paint and new flooring here!! This 3 bedroom 1 bathroom home features an open layout with a large Livingroom/dinning room combo. Huge kitchen with tons of cabinets and center island. Large back room with laundry hook ups and room for a family room or mud room. Upstairs features 3 large bedrooms. All new pex plumbing. Cant beat this home for the price, Priced below assessed value for quick sale! Call today for your showing!!
Key facts
- Front porch
- Bonus space
- First-floor laundry
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water connected; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single-story existing home
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Stone foundation
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Rectangular residential lot (approx. 0.316 acres, 83 x 166); City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bonus room (counts as additional room)
- Flooring: Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Oil-fired forced air heating
- Interior features: Country kitchen; Varied and vinyl flooring; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $128k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $117 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $128k).
- Recommended offer: $120k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,064 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
- Indian River Central School District (rural): math 33% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #502 of 590 in NY (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 196 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($885 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
- Jefferson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($120k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $128k implies a 113% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.91%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $84,973
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Fulton St | 0.01mi | 3/1.5 | 1,524 (+9%) | 15mo | $95,400 | $63 | 69 |
| 37754 County Route 194 | 0.33mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,294 (-7%) | 7mo | $35,000 | $27 | 60 |
| 5 Mcallister Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,536 (+10%) | 7mo | $145,868 | $95 | 58 |
| 316 Main St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,210 (-13%) | 15mo | $74,000 | $61 | 41 |
| 227 Main St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,566 (+12%) | 23mo | $10,000 | $6 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.79% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $8,539
- Equity at exit
- $42,280
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.10×
- Total profit
- $39,572
- Equity at exit
- $55,107
Cash invested: $35,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13608
- Home prices YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 19
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,299 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$671
- Tax from tax record
- −$185 /mo · $2,221/yr
- Insurance
- −$53
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$273
- Net cashflow
- $117
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $189 | -5% $153 | +0% $117 | +5% $81 | +10% $44 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $14 | -5% $66 | +0% $117 | +5% $168 | +10% $219 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $181 | -0.5pp $149 | base $117 | +0.5pp $84 | +1.0pp $50 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,000
- Closing costs
- $3,840
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $128,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $128,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $128,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-17price $128,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $130,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $130,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $130,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $130,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-02pricedays on market $130,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $133,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $133,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $133,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-05-06price $133,000
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2026-04-17price $135,000
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2026-04-03$139,000 Active
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2020-08-31soldstatus $60,000
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2020-08-28soldstatus $60,000 485-char remark
Show marketing remark (485 chars)
Check out this home just 20 min from fort drum! All new paint and new flooring here!! This 3 bedroom 1 bathroom home features an open layout with a large Livingroom/dinning room combo. Huge kitchen with tons of cabinets and center island. Large back room with laundry hook ups and room for a family room or mud room. Upstairs features 3 large bedrooms. All new pex plumbing. Cant beat this home for the price, Priced below assessed value for quick sale! Call today for your showing!!
-
2020-06-10$59,900 485-char remark
Show marketing remark (485 chars)
Check out this home just 20 min from fort drum! All new paint and new flooring here!! This 3 bedroom 1 bathroom home features an open layout with a large Livingroom/dinning room combo. Huge kitchen with tons of cabinets and center island. Large back room with laundry hook ups and room for a family room or mud room. Upstairs features 3 large bedrooms. All new pex plumbing. Cant beat this home for the price, Priced below assessed value for quick sale! Call today for your showing!!
-
2020-03-20soldstatus $7,000 205-char remark
Show marketing remark (205 chars)
within 15 minutes to Fort Drum. Homes \ has lots of potential with 3 bedrooms, bath, kitchen with island, formal dining room and large living room. Living room has a built in book case. Very easy to show
-
2019-12-16$10,900 205-char remark
Show marketing remark (205 chars)
within 15 minutes to Fort Drum. Homes \ has lots of potential with 3 bedrooms, bath, kitchen with island, formal dining room and large living room. Living room has a built in book case. Very easy to show
-
2014-05-15historical
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2014-03-07$92,900
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2013-04-15historical
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2013-02-07$94,900
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2012-12-31historical
-
2012-04-26$94,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,221 · $185/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,221 · $185/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,592
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,170
- − Property taxes
- −$2,221
- − Insurance
- −$640
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,247
- − Management
- −$1,247
- − Depreciation
- −$3,724
- Taxable loss
- −$657
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$158
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,560/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian River Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3615300
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,599
- Composite
- 35.25/100
- National rank
- #4977
- State rank
- #502 of 590 in NY
Livability — Antwerp
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #1064
- US rank
- #21270
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Antwerp, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,845
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 111,748 people
- By 2030
- 109,370 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 103,828 · -7.1%
- By 2050
- 98,523 · -11.8%
- By 2075
- 91,422 · -18.2%
- By 2100
- 78,214 · -30.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Iranian 4% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.6) · D 38.2% · R 61.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.3pp toward R · 2008: -5.3pp · 2024: -23.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.6 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+22.4 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+5.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.79%
- Current HPI
- 582.0014
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+41.5% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $133,000 CNYIS
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $135,000 CNYIS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $139,000 CNYIS
- 2020-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2020-08-28 Sold (MLS) $60,000 CNYIS
- 2020-06-10 Listed $59,900 CNYIS
- 2020-03-20 Sold (MLS) $7,000 CNYIS
- 2019-12-16 Listed $10,900 CNYIS
- 2014-05-15 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2014-03-07 Listed $92,900 CNYIS
- 2013-04-15 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2013-02-07 Listed $94,900 CNYIS
- 2012-12-31 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2012-04-26 Listed $94,000 CNYIS
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,221 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…