2300 Hwy 182 · Raceland, LA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AH
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,142 – $2,507
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$103,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
HUD OWNED PROPERTY CASE # 221-450585. SOLD AS-IS WITH NO REPAIRS PRIOR TO CLOSING NO EXCEPTION. Go to www.HUDHOMESTORE.gov for more details or to see other HUD Owned properties. $100 down payment for eligible owner occupants using FHA financing. Approx 1/2 acre lot with large detached storage building. ADA accessible front entrace ramp.
Key facts
- 0.51 acre lot
- Built 2011
- Listed 48 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $103k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $363 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $103k).
- Recommended offer: $100k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 7.1% in Raceland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#295 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Lafourche Parish (other): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #22 of 98 in LA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 128 active listings in the ZIP; 319 units permitted in Lafourche Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $712 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.44%
- DSCR
- 1.95
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $6,586
- Equity at exit
- $15,358
- IRR
- 15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.25×
- Total profit
- $36,106
- Equity at exit
- $8,906
Cash invested: $28,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70394
- Active inventory
- 128
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,606 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$540
- Tax from tax record
- −$171 /mo · $2,050/yr
- Insurance
- −$43
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$337
- Net cashflow
- $363
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,750
- Closing costs
- $3,090
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-07status Pending 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
HUD OWNED PROPERTY CASE # 221-450585. SOLD AS-IS WITH NO REPAIRS PRIOR TO CLOSING NO EXCEPTION. Go to www.HUDHOMESTORE.gov for more details or to see other HUD Owned properties. $100 down payment for eligible owner occupants using FHA financing. Approx 1/2 acre lot with large detached storage building. ADA accessible front entrace ramp.
-
2026-04-07status Pending
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
HUD OWNED PROPERTY CASE # 221-450585. SOLD AS-IS WITH NO REPAIRS PRIOR TO CLOSING NO EXCEPTION. Go to www.HUDHOMESTORE.gov for more details or to see other HUD Owned properties. $100 down payment for eligible owner occupants using FHA financing. Approx 1/2 acre lot with large detached storage building. ADA accessible front entrace ramp.
-
2026-02-18$103,000 Active 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
HUD OWNED PROPERTY CASE # 221-450585. SOLD AS-IS WITH NO REPAIRS PRIOR TO CLOSING NO EXCEPTION. Go to www.HUDHOMESTORE.gov for more details or to see other HUD Owned properties. $100 down payment for eligible owner occupants using FHA financing. Approx 1/2 acre lot with large detached storage building. ADA accessible front entrace ramp.
-
2026-02-18$103,000 Active
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
HUD OWNED PROPERTY CASE # 221-450585. SOLD AS-IS WITH NO REPAIRS PRIOR TO CLOSING NO EXCEPTION. Go to www.HUDHOMESTORE.gov for more details or to see other HUD Owned properties. $100 down payment for eligible owner occupants using FHA financing. Approx 1/2 acre lot with large detached storage building. ADA accessible front entrace ramp.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,050 · $171/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,050 · $171/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AH · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,278
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,770
- − Property taxes
- −$2,050
- − Insurance
- −$2,340
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,542
- − Management
- −$1,542
- − Depreciation
- −$2,996
- Taxable income
- $3,038
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$729
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,629/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafourche Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200900
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -43.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,703
- Composite
- 34.4/100
- National rank
- #5205
- State rank
- #22 of 98 in LA
Livability — Raceland
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #295
- US rank
- #20904
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Raceland, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,683
Population outlook (Lafourche County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 102,122 people
- By 2030
- 103,361 · +1.2%
- By 2040
- 104,401 · +2.2%
- By 2050
- 102,795 · +0.7%
- By 2075
- 95,599 · -6.4%
- By 2100
- 82,303 · -19.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 21% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 23% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafourche
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.1) · D 18.4% · R 80.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.1pp toward R · 2008: -46.0pp · 2024: -62.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.1 2020: R+60.3 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+48.5 2008: R+46.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.48%
- Current HPI
- 136.5498
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-07 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2026-02-18 Listed $103,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-02-18 Listed $103,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2024): $2,050 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…