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154 Emma St
B Composite 74.46
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$64,900

154 Emma St · Irvona, PA 16656
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · Other · 5 Days on market
Built 1910 0.34 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nice two story home with new windows and large front porch for relaxing. Very well kept with all furnishings staying. Take a look for yourself.

Key facts

  • Large front porch
  • New windows
  • 0.34 acre lot

Tags

NEW WINDOWSLARGE FRONT PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $420 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,639 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Glendale SD (rural): math 39% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #195 of 539 in PA (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 99 units permitted in Clearfield County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $403 of equity ($449 loan paydown + $-46 appreciation (-0.1% local appreciation)).
  • Clearfield County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $64,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.69%
Cap rate
14.06%
Cash-on-cash
27.76%
DSCR
2.24
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.07% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.0%
Equity multiple
2.36×
Total profit
$24,671
Equity at exit
$18,615
10-year hold
IRR
31.8%
Equity multiple
4.54×
Total profit
$64,286
Equity at exit
$22,194

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16656

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
4
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,096 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$340
Tax from tax record
$78 /mo · $941/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$230
Net cashflow
$420

Break-even live

Break-even rent $564
Max offer price $64,900
Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,225
Closing costs
$1,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-06
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-01
    listed $64,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$941 · $78/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$983 · $82/mo
Expected delta
+$42/yr (+$4/mo · 4.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,156
− Mortgage interest
−$3,635
− Property taxes
−$941
− Insurance
−$324
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,052
− Management
−$1,052
− Depreciation
−$1,888
Taxable income
$4,262
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,023
After-tax cash flow
$4,021/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Glendale SD
NCES district ID
4210830
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$37,869
Composite
41.95/100
National rank
#3350
State rank
#195 of 539 in PA

Livability — Irvona

Score
56/100
State rank
#1639
US rank
#22644

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Irvona, PA
Population (ZIP)
1,206

Population outlook (Clearfield County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
79,658 people
By 2030
78,358 · -1.6%
By 2040
74,670 · -6.3%
By 2050
70,186 · -11.9%
By 2075
60,391 · -24.2%
By 2100
46,886 · -41.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 4% Polish 3%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Clearfield

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.5) · D 23.9% · R 75.4%
2008→2024 swing
-39.4pp toward R · 2008: -12.1pp · 2024: -51.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.5 2020: R+49.5 2016: R+49.6 2012: R+28.9 2008: R+12.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.07%
Current HPI
94.0865
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-06 Pending AHARMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $64,900 AHARMLS

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $941 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…