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775 Todd St
B Composite 73.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.1/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

775 Todd St · Beaumont, TX 77707
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,829 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 366 Days on market
Built 1978 0.72 ac lot $82/sqft · 15% below area Est $176k · 15% under ↓ 23% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming 4-bedroom, 2-bath single-family home nestled in the desirable West End. Situated on three lots and over half an acre, this property offers the perfect blend of space, comfort, and convenience. Inside you will find fresh new carpet in the bedrooms, creating a cozy and move-in-ready feel. Don't miss this opportunity to own a well-maintained home with room to grow, inside and out. Plenty of outdoor space for potential expansion or landscaping.

Key facts

  • Three lots
  • Outdoor space
  • Half an acre

Tags

THREE LOTSHALF AN ACREOUTDOOR SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $595 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 5.3% in Beaumont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#739 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
  • Beaumont ISD (urban): math 14% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #789 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 343 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 366 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $131,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 366 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
11.06%
Cash-on-cash
17.01%
DSCR
1.76
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$175,515
List price
$149,900
Delta
-14.59%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9710 Mapes St 0.03mi 4/3.0 1,664 (-9%) 14mo $229,000 $138 68

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.3%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$13,672
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
2.45×
Total profit
$60,992
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77707

Active inventory
151
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,149 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$254 /mo · $3,048/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$451
Net cashflow
$595

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,396
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $680 -5% $637 +0% $595 +5% $552 +10% $510
Rent -10% $425 -5% $510 +0% $595 +5% $680 +10% $765
Rate -1.0pp $670 -0.5pp $633 base $595 +0.5pp $556 +1.0pp $517

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9260 Josey St Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,100 $1.40 45d 1 0.49mi
120 Smelker St Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,795 $1.38 15d 1 0.87mi
2065 88th Cir Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1750 $1,800 $1.03 24d 1 1.01mi
405 Harbor Oaks Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.5 1828 $2,600 $1.42 24d 1 1.21mi
434 Harbor Oaks Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1844 $2,500 $1.36 24d 1 1.24mi
1625 Glendale St Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1330 $1,800 $1.35 45d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $149,900 Active 366 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,900 Active 363 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,900 Active 362 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,900 Active 361 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,900 Active 360 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $149,900 Active 358 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,900 Active 357 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $149,900 Active 355 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,900 Active 354 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 Active 353 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,900 Active 352 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,900 Active 348 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,900 Active 347 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 346 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 345 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $149,900 Active 344 DOM
  17. 2026-04-20
    price $149,900 469-char remark
    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 4-bedroom, 2-bath single-family home nestled in the desirable West End. Situated on three lots and over half an acre, this property offers the perfect blend of space, comfort, and convenience. Inside you will find fresh new carpet in the bedrooms, creating a cozy and move-in-ready feel. Don't miss this opportunity to own a well-maintained home with room to grow, inside and out. Plenty of outdoor space for potential expansion or landscaping.

  18. 2026-01-19
    price $165,000 469-char remark
    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 4-bedroom, 2-bath single-family home nestled in the desirable West End. Situated on three lots and over half an acre, this property offers the perfect blend of space, comfort, and convenience. Inside you will find fresh new carpet in the bedrooms, creating a cozy and move-in-ready feel. Don't miss this opportunity to own a well-maintained home with room to grow, inside and out. Plenty of outdoor space for potential expansion or landscaping.

  19. 2025-11-10
    price $175,000 469-char remark
    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 4-bedroom, 2-bath single-family home nestled in the desirable West End. Situated on three lots and over half an acre, this property offers the perfect blend of space, comfort, and convenience. Inside you will find fresh new carpet in the bedrooms, creating a cozy and move-in-ready feel. Don't miss this opportunity to own a well-maintained home with room to grow, inside and out. Plenty of outdoor space for potential expansion or landscaping.

  20. 2025-08-17
    price $185,000 469-char remark
    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 4-bedroom, 2-bath single-family home nestled in the desirable West End. Situated on three lots and over half an acre, this property offers the perfect blend of space, comfort, and convenience. Inside you will find fresh new carpet in the bedrooms, creating a cozy and move-in-ready feel. Don't miss this opportunity to own a well-maintained home with room to grow, inside and out. Plenty of outdoor space for potential expansion or landscaping.

  21. 2025-06-20
    listed $195,000 Active 469-char remark
    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 4-bedroom, 2-bath single-family home nestled in the desirable West End. Situated on three lots and over half an acre, this property offers the perfect blend of space, comfort, and convenience. Inside you will find fresh new carpet in the bedrooms, creating a cozy and move-in-ready feel. Don't miss this opportunity to own a well-maintained home with room to grow, inside and out. Plenty of outdoor space for potential expansion or landscaping.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,048 · $254/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,048 · $254/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,785
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$3,048
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,063
− Management
−$2,063
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable income
$5,104
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,225
After-tax cash flow
$5,914/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Beaumont ISD
NCES district ID
4809670
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,683
Composite
15.43/100
National rank
#9316
State rank
#789 of 826 in TX

Livability — Beaumont

Score
64/100
State rank
#739
US rank
#13710

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Beaumont, TX
County
Jefferson County · 203,592 people
City population
125,901
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
Population (ZIP)
18,323
Household income
$69,756
Rent vs Own
31.8% rent · 68.2% own
Severe rent burden
596.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
259,015 people
By 2030
260,685 · +0.6%
By 2040
263,309 · +1.7%
By 2050
265,237 · +2.4%
By 2075
270,193 · +4.3%
By 2100
255,628 · -1.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
Black 40% White 28% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 18% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 19% Vietnamese 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.9) · D 45.1% · R 54.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -8.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.9 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -163.16%
Current HPI
167.8109
Rent YoY
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-23.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $149,900 BBOR
  • 2026-01-19 Price Changed $165,000 BBOR
  • 2025-11-10 Price Changed $175,000 BBOR
  • 2025-08-17 Price Changed $185,000 BBOR
  • 2025-06-20 Listed $195,000 BBOR

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,048 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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