775 Todd St · Beaumont, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this charming 4-bedroom, 2-bath single-family home nestled in the desirable West End. Situated on three lots and over half an acre, this property offers the perfect blend of space, comfort, and convenience. Inside you will find fresh new carpet in the bedrooms, creating a cozy and move-in-ready feel. Don't miss this opportunity to own a well-maintained home with room to grow, inside and out. Plenty of outdoor space for potential expansion or landscaping.
Key facts
- Three lots
- Outdoor space
- Half an acre
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $595 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 5.2% in Beaumont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#739 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Beaumont ISD (urban): math 14% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #789 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Amelia El (math 8% / reading 15%, grade F, #4,225 of 4,322 statewide, top 98%, 544 students, 84% FRL); Vincent Middle (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,616 of 1,662 statewide, top 97%, 688 students, 75% FRL); West Brook Sr H S (math 19% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,228 of 1,632 statewide, top 76%, 2,245 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools at 72% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 196 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 73d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 343 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 414 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 414 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.01%
- DSCR
- 1.76
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $182,000
- List price
- $149,900
- Delta
- -17.64%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9770 Shepherd Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,835 (+0%) | 0mo | $225,000 | $123 | 73 |
| 9710 Mapes St | 0.03mi | 4/3.0 | 1,664 (-9%) | 15mo | $229,000 | $138 | 67 |
| 9660 N Nevada St | 0.77mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,833 (+0%) | 13mo | $260,000 | $142 | 49 |
| 8670 Greenridge Ln | 1.00mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,816 (-1%) | 18mo | $189,500 | $104 | 42 |
| 1577 Wescalder Rd | 1.00mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,758 (-4%) | 21mo | $195,000 | $111 | 36 |
| 265 Enfield Ln | 0.91mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,182 (+19%) | 14mo | $140,000 | $64 | 23 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $13,672
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.45×
- Total profit
- $60,992
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 12 active · 8 under contract
- Months of supply
- 36.0 mo (3%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $247,500 ($140/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 49 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -29.0% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 77707
- Active inventory
- 196
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,149 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$254 /mo · $3,048/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$451
- Net cashflow
- $595
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $680 | -5% $637 | +0% $595 | +5% $552 | +10% $510 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $425 | -5% $510 | +0% $595 | +5% $680 | +10% $765 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $670 | -0.5pp $633 | base $595 | +0.5pp $556 | +1.0pp $517 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9260 Josey St Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 93d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 120 Smelker St Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,795 | $1.38 | 63d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2065 88th Cir Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $1,800 | $1.03 | 72d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 405 Harbor Oaks Dr Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1828 | $2,600 | $1.42 | 72d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 434 Harbor Oaks Dr Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1844 | $2,500 | $1.36 | 72d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1625 Glendale St Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1330 | $1,800 | $1.35 | 93d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $149,900 Active 414 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $149,900 Active 413 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $149,900 Active 412 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $149,900 Active 411 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $149,900 Active 410 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $149,900 Active 409 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $149,900 Active 406 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $149,900 Active 404 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $149,900 Active 402 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $149,900 Active 400 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $149,900 Active 398 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $149,900 Active 397 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $149,900 Active 396 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $149,900 Active 393 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $149,900 Active 391 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $149,900 Active 390 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $149,900 Active 389 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $149,900 Active 388 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $149,900 Active 387 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $149,900 Active 386 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $149,900 Active 385 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $149,900 Active 384 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $149,900 Active 383 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $149,900 Active 382 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $149,900 Active 381 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $149,900 Active 380 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $149,900 Active 379 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $149,900 Active 378 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $149,900 Active 377 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $149,900 Active 376 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $149,900 Active 375 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $149,900 Active 374 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $149,900 Active 373 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $149,900 Active 372 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $149,900 Active 371 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $149,900 Active 369 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $149,900 Active 367 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $149,900 Active 366 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 363 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 362 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 361 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 360 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $149,900 Active 358 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 357 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $149,900 Active 355 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 354 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 353 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 352 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Active 348 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 347 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,048 · $254/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,048 · $254/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,785
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$3,048
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,063
- − Management
- −$2,063
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $5,104
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,225
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,914/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This single-family home has average condition with cosmetic updates needed, particularly in painting and landscaping, to enhance its resale and rental value.
Components & finishes AI
Deferred maintenance Est. $2,500–$10,000 screening
- Minor Roof (roof) — No visible signs of damage or wear
- Minor Windows (windows) — No visible signs of damage or wear
- Minor Electrical (electrical) — No visible signs of damage or wear
- Minor Plumbing (plumbing) — No visible signs of damage or wear
- Minor Exterior (exterior) — No visible signs of damage or wear
Repairs flagged
- Minor Landscaping — Overgrown grass and shrubs need trimming
- Minor Paint — Faded paint on exterior and interior walls
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping improves curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both Replace dated bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures in bathrooms increase appeal and value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Beaumont ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4809670
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,683
- Composite
- 15.43/100
- National rank
- #9316
- State rank
- #789 of 826 in TX
Livability — Beaumont
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #739
- US rank
- #13710
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Beaumont, TX
- County
- Jefferson County · 259,015 people
- City population
- 125,901
- Metro
- Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,323
- Household income
- $69,756
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 20% of renters
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 259,015 people
- By 2030
- 260,685 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 263,309 · +1.7%
- By 2050
- 265,237 · +2.4%
- By 2075
- 270,193 · +4.3%
- By 2100
- 255,628 · -1.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 40% White 28% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 18% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 19% Vietnamese 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.9) · D 45.1% · R 54.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -8.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.9 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -163.16%
- Current HPI
- 167.8109
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-23.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $149,900 BBOR
- 2026-01-19 Price Changed $165,000 BBOR
- 2025-11-10 Price Changed $175,000 BBOR
- 2025-08-17 Price Changed $185,000 BBOR
- 2025-06-20 Listed $195,000 BBOR
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,048 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…