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3283 Peterson Pl
D Composite 43.44
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.4/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.1/30.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.4/10.0

$380,000

3283 Peterson Pl · Fruitland Park, FL 32163
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,639 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 49 Days on market
Built 2017 5,492 sqft lot Est $416k · 9% under $204/mo HOA · 7% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to the Village of Pine Hills, where this beautifully maintained JASMINE MODEL (3 BEDROOM, 2 BATH) offers the perfect blend of comfort, style, and investment potential with TURNKEY option available separately. As you arrive, you’re immediately greeted by standout curb appeal with a PAVERED DRIVEWAY and a spacious PAVERED FRONT PORCH—an inviting place to enjoy your morning coffee. The SCREENED-IN FRONT ENTRY adds both charm and functionality, allowing you to enjoy Florida breezes year-round. Step through the entrance and into a welcoming FOYER that opens to a light and airy OPEN FLOOR PLAN featuring LUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORING and VAULTED CEILINGS. To your left, the kitche

Key facts

  • 5,492 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Furnished: negotiable
  • Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: Community clubhouse; Community mailbox; Deed restrictions; Dog park; Fitness center; Golf carts allowed; Golf; Park; Community pool; Racquetball; Street lights; Senior community; Pets allowed; Total monthly fees approximately $204; Total annual fees approximately $2,448; Other annual assessment approximately $611; CDD present

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Water connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Northwest-facing; Entry level: One
  • Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Builder model: Jasmine; Built as a single-story home
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Rear porch; Exterior lighting; Rain gutters; Sliding doors; Irrigation equipment; Paved roads

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Exhaust fan; Freezer; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Living room/dining room combo; Open floorplan; Split bedroom layout; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closets
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Inside laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $380k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-711 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $254k (33.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $296k (22.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $254k (33.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#447 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, health & safety A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 265 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $41k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $38k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$65k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($369k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $254,386 (33.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
4.05%
Cash-on-cash
-8.02%
DSCR
0.64
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$416,306
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
744 Shelton St 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,474 (-10%) 13mo $275,000 $187 66
832 Parrish Pl 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,652 (+1%) 12mo $425,000 $257 65
2975 Bowles Pl 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,652 (+1%) 20mo $500,000 $303 58
1049 Carver Ct 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,652 (+1%) 17mo $420,000 $254 50
301 Brookstone Ln 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,774 (+8%) 14mo $355,000 $200 48
3180 Dressendorfer Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,781 (+9%) 15mo $385,000 $216 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.7%
Equity multiple
2.52×
Total profit
$161,974
Equity at exit
$342,334
10-year hold
IRR
17.3%
Equity multiple
5.82×
Total profit
$513,206
Equity at exit
$738,256

Cash invested: $106,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32163

Home prices YoY
9.8%
Active inventory
265
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,959 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,993
Tax from tax record
$694 /mo · $8,324/yr
Insurance
$158
HOA
$204
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$621
Net cashflow
$-711

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,859
Max offer price $254,386
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-496 -5% $-604 +0% $-711 +5% $-819 +10% $-926
Rent -10% $-945 -5% $-828 +0% $-711 +5% $-594 +10% $-477
Rate -1.0pp $-520 -0.5pp $-614 base $-711 +0.5pp $-810 +1.0pp $-910

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$95,000
Closing costs
$11,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1609 Hoofprint Ct Fruitland Park, FL 4.0 2.0 2128 $2,191 $1.03 5d 1 0.61mi
3225 Wise Way The Villages, FL 3.0 2.0 1652 $2,650 $1.60 24d 1 0.83mi
1069 Becker Ave The Villages, FL 3.0 2.0 1656 $5,000 $3.02 24d 1 0.84mi
3530 E Harbor Dr Fruitland Park, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1061 $2,014 $1.90 2d 37 0.93mi
307 Willard Ave Fruitland Park, FL 3.0 2.0 1796 $1,881 $1.05 13d 1 1.37mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$204 · $2,448/yr

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $380,000 Active 49 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $380,000 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $380,000 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $380,000 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $380,000 Active 44 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $380,000 Active 40 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $380,000 Active 39 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $380,000 Active 38 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $380,000 Active 35 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $380,000 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $380,000 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $380,000 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $380,000 Active 31 DOM
  14. 2026-04-30
    listed $380,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$8,324 · $694/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,324 · $694/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,509
− Mortgage interest
−$21,286
− Property taxes
−$8,324
− Insurance
−$1,900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,841
− Management
−$2,841
− HOA
−$2,448
− Depreciation
−$11,055
Taxable loss
−$15,185
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,644
After-tax cash flow
$-4,889/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lake
NCES district ID
1201050
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$46,632
Composite
42.05/100
National rank
#3327
State rank
#37 of 73 in FL

Livability — Fruitland Park

Score
70/100
State rank
#447
US rank
#8098

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fruitland Park, FL
County
Sumter County · 110,591 people
City population
12,196
Metro
The Villages, FL
Population (ZIP)
28,549
Household income
$96,775
Rent vs Own
5.7% rent · 94.3% own
Severe rent burden
307.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
386,640 people
By 2030
417,107 · +7.9%
By 2040
476,676 · +23.3%
By 2050
531,296 · +37.4%
By 2075
648,303 · +67.7%
By 2100
698,530 · +80.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 20.47%
Current HPI
229.0075
Rent YoY
Metro
The Villages, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $380,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+13.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $8,324 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…