323 Cresent Pl Pl · Waterloo, IA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.1/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This affordable 2-bedroom, 1-bath, home offers a great opportunity for a first-time homebuyer or investor. Currently used as a rental, the property provides a functional layout with plenty of potential to make it your own. A detached garage adds valuable storage and parking convenience. With its manageable size and price point, this home is an excellent option for those looking to build equity and step into homeownership.
Key facts
- Parking convenience
- Functional layout
- Valuable storage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-163 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $16k (63.9% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($760 rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $16k (63.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 4.2% in Waterloo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#74 in IA, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, employment D-.
- Waterloo Community School District (urban): math 50% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #276 of 289 in IA (top 96%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 98 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 287 units permitted in Black Hawk County in 2024 (67 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Black Hawk County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 64% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.69% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.35%
- DSCR
- 2.26
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $52,677
- List price
- $45,000
- Delta
- -14.57%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 314 Crescent Pl | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 | 772 (+7%) | 2mo | $37,000 | $48 | 85 |
| 324 Columbia St | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 752 (+4%) | 13mo | $40,000 | $53 | 78 |
| 707 Lincoln St | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 638 (-11%) | 18mo | $58,000 | $91 | 53 |
| 640 Kern St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 766 (+6%) | 14mo | $55,000 | $72 | 50 |
| 658 Newton St | 0.67mi | 2/1.5 | 734 (+2%) | 21mo | $70,500 | $96 | 46 |
| 127 Quincy St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 616 (-14%) | 8mo | $48,000 | $78 | 46 |
| 433 Kern St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 658 (-9%) | 23mo | $88,500 | $134 | 45 |
| 330 Cutler St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (+13%) | 11mo | $45,000 | $55 | 42 |
| 307 Oneida St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 616 (-14%) | 3mo | $74,500 | $121 | 39 |
| 745 Dawson St | 0.64mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 662 (-8%) | 18mo | $85,000 | $128 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -32.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.15×
- Total profit
- $-14,455
- Equity at exit
- $6,710
- IRR
- -11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.06×
- Total profit
- $-11,875
- Equity at exit
- $3,891
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50703
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 98
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $760 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $576/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$160
- Net cashflow
- $-163
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118 Harrison St Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $500 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 307 Riehl St Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $825 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 303 Franklin St Apt 2 Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $650 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 657 Dawson St Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 692 | $810 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 661 Dawson St Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $895 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1132 Ackermant St Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 685 | $825 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1137 Columbia St Waterloo, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $725 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 21 W Jefferson St Waterloo, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 711 | $1,410 | $1.98 | 21d | 6 | 0.74mi |
| 335 Cedar St Waterloo, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 540 | $1,510 | $2.80 | 21d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 611 Sycamore St Unit 302 Waterloo, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $750 | $1.36 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 606 Sycamore St Unit A Waterloo, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 622 | $875 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 322 Lester St Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $850 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 102 1/2 South St Waterloo, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 668 | $550 | $0.82 | 21d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 515 Stokes Dr Waterloo, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 664 | $675 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 408 E 8th St Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $850 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1124 Kern St Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $950 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 211 W Wellington St Unit 211 1/2 Wellington Waterloo, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $600 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 716 Beech St Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $875 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 808 W 2nd St Unit 1 Waterloo, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 452 | $595 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 706 South St Unit B Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $635 | $0.85 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 706 South St Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $675 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 811 W 3rd St #8 Waterloo, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $575 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 609 Wellington Ct Apt D6 Waterloo, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $600 | $1.02 | 21d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 609 Wellington Ct Waterloo, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 567 | $600 | $1.06 | 44d | 2 | 1.25mi |
| 1515 1/2 Franklin St Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 504 | $700 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 314 Locust St Apt 5 Waterloo, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $825 | $1.65 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 209 Baltimore St Waterloo, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 618 | $650 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 408 Locust St Waterloo, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 644 | $450 | $0.70 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1001 1/2 Randolph St Waterloo, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $475 | $0.76 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 125 Sherwood Ct Unit 6 Waterloo, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 490 | $625 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 125 Sherwood Ct Waterloo, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 490 | $625 | $1.28 | 44d | 2 | 1.45mi |
| 120 Sherwood Ct Unit 1 Waterloo, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 490 | $625 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 130 Sherwood Ct Waterloo, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 490 | $695 | $1.42 | 21d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $45,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $45,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $45,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $45,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $45,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $45,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $45,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $45,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $45,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $45,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $45,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $45,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $45,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $45,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $45,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $45,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $45,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-02-04$45,000 Active 425-char remark
Show marketing remark (425 chars)
This affordable 2-bedroom, 1-bath, home offers a great opportunity for a first-time homebuyer or investor. Currently used as a rental, the property provides a functional layout with plenty of potential to make it your own. A detached garage adds valuable storage and parking convenience. With its manageable size and price point, this home is an excellent option for those looking to build equity and step into homeownership.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $576 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $641 · $53/mo
- Expected delta
- +$65/yr (+$5/mo · 11.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,121
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$576
- − Insurance
- −$5,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$730
- − Management
- −$730
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable loss
- −$2,494
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$599
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,354/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waterloo Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1930480
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,545
- Composite
- 43.72/100
- National rank
- #2950
- State rank
- #276 of 289 in IA
Livability — Waterloo
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #74
- US rank
- #1589
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waterloo, IA
- County
- Black Hawk County · 112,933 people
- City population
- 69,066
- Metro
- Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,952
- Household income
- $50,060
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 871.0
Population outlook (Black Hawk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 139,716 people
- By 2030
- 142,853 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 147,843 · +5.8%
- By 2050
- 153,247 · +9.7%
- By 2075
- 167,977 · +20.2%
- By 2100
- 177,320 · +26.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Philippines, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Black Hawk
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.3pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 1.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.2 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.3 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -117.18%
- Current HPI
- 132.9478
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.67%
- Metro
- Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-02-04 Listed $45,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $576 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…