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B Composite 74.54
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

900 14th St · Port Arthur, TX 77640
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,536 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 86 Days on market
Built 1962 6,970 sqft lot Est $115k · 48% under ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* * * INVESTOR OPPORTUNITY * * * 3 bed/2 bath home is a great investment property with several updates already started! Recent roof (approx. 4 years old) Remodeling in progress New sheetrock installed Some plumbing updates started Perfect for an investor looking for a fix-and-finish project, rental income opportunity, or resale. Major improvements are already underway, finish it your way and add value! Property being sold AS-IS

Key facts

  • 6,970 sq ft lot
  • Listed 86 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $611 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $56k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.9% vs local median 5.0% in Port Arthur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,014 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Port Arthur ISD (urban): math 15% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #796 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 148 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 343 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $56,306 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.35%
Cap rate
19.87%
Cash-on-cash
48.48%
DSCR
3.16
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$115,200
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
810 13th St 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,606 (+5%) 3mo $45,000 $28 86
1110 15th St 0.16mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,436 (-6%) 3mo $135,000 $94 74
1320 9th St 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,425 (-7%) 8mo $90,000 $63 57
1627 Gulfway Dr 0.55mi 3/1.5 1,536 (0%) 21mo $115,000 $75 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
40.7%
Equity multiple
2.75×
Total profit
$29,293
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
47.0%
Equity multiple
5.53×
Total profit
$75,933
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77640

Home prices YoY
-22.2%
Active inventory
148
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,407 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$95 /mo · $1,137/yr
Insurance
$25
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$295
Net cashflow
$611

Break-even live

Break-even rent $633
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1300 18th St Port Arthur, TX 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,495 $1.07 43d 1 0.37mi
1409 10th St Unit A Port Arthur, TX 3.0 1.0 1278 $1,275 $1.00 21d 1 0.50mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-04-21
    soldstatus
  2. 2026-04-09
    status Pending
  3. 2026-04-01
    price $59,900
  4. 2026-01-13
    listed $69,600 Active
  5. 2022-08-17
    soldstatus
  6. 2006-08-04
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,137 · $95/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,137 · $95/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,883
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$1,137
− Insurance
−$1,097
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,351
− Management
−$1,351
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$6,850
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,644
After-tax cash flow
$5,690/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Port Arthur ISD
NCES district ID
4835400
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$31,795
Composite
14.9/100
National rank
#9373
State rank
#796 of 826 in TX

Livability — Port Arthur

Score
61/100
State rank
#1014
US rank
#18061

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Port Arthur, TX
City population
38,358
Population (ZIP)
17,480

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
259,015 people
By 2030
260,685 · +0.6%
By 2040
263,309 · +1.7%
By 2050
265,237 · +2.4%
By 2075
270,193 · +4.3%
By 2100
255,628 · -1.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Black 54% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.9) · D 45.1% · R 54.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -8.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.9 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -47.78%
Current HPI
167.6359
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2026-04-09 Pending BBOR
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $59,900 BBOR
  • 2026-01-13 Listed $69,600 BBOR
  • 2022-08-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-08-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,137 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…