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3005 Lullwater Dr
A- Composite 80.66
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$75,000

3005 Lullwater Dr · Homeland Park, SC 29624
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · Manufactured public records · 34 Days on market
Built 1998 0.32 ac lot Est $146k · 49% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Well-maintained mobile home situated on a spacious lot offering affordable living with convenient access to local amenities. Functional layout with comfortable living spaces and ample outdoor room. A practical option for homeowners or investors seeking value.

Key facts

  • 0.32 acre lot
  • Listed 34 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA fees or community amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel driveway; No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Electric water heater; Public sewer; Private garbage pickup; No garage
  • Home design: Single-story residential property; Built approximately 21-30 years ago; Crawl space foundation
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Composition shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Level lot; Outbuilding for storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen approx. 10 x 9; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric oven/stand-alone electric range
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level; Primary bedroom on main level with double sinks; Primary bedroom approx. 10 x 11; Second bedroom approx. 10 x 11; Third bedroom approx. 10 x 11
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central forced air cooling (electric)
  • Interior features: Cable available; Ceiling fans; Blown ceiling insulation; Solid surface and other countertops; No fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on first floor; Washer connection; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $713 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 4.7% in Homeland Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#299 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Anderson 05 (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #20 of 80 in SC (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Varennes Elementary (math 18% / reading 18%, grade F, #508 of 597 statewide, top 86%, 370 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 52% district-wide (48 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 18% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-28 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Anderson 05 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 117 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,255 units permitted in Anderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.1%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Anderson County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $14k; list at $75k implies a 436% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $72,750 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.95%
Cap rate
17.69%
Cash-on-cash
40.72%
DSCR
2.81
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$145,824
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
104 Meadow Hills Dr 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,500 (-4%) 1mo $66,950 $45 64
300 Lawrence Rd 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,560 (-0%) 13mo $145,000 $93 56
409 Airline Rd 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,650 (+5%) 20mo $218,000 $132 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.06% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.6%
Equity multiple
2.72×
Total profit
$36,196
Equity at exit
$14,361
10-year hold
IRR
44.0%
Equity multiple
5.41×
Total profit
$92,516
Equity at exit
$12,079

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29624

Home prices YoY
-0.5%
Active inventory
117
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,461 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$17 /mo · $207/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$307
Net cashflow
$713

Break-even live

Break-even rent $559
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $755 -5% $734 +0% $713 +5% $691 +10% $670
Rent -10% $597 -5% $655 +0% $713 +5% $770 +10% $828
Rate -1.0pp $750 -0.5pp $732 base $713 +0.5pp $693 +1.0pp $673

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
109 Corning St Unit A Anderson, SC 2.0 2.0 1250 $1,300 $1.04 11d 1 1.02mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $75,000 Pending 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $75,000 Active 27 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $75,000 Active 21 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 17 DOM
  15. 2026-05-14
    price $75,000
  16. 2026-05-14
    price $75,000
  17. 2026-05-14
    historical
  18. 2026-05-14
    listed $75,000 Active
  19. 2026-05-14
    listed $75,000 Active
  20. 2026-05-13
    historical
  21. 2026-04-27
    price $80,000
  22. 2026-04-27
    price $80,000
  23. 2026-04-06
    price $90,000
  24. 2026-04-06
    price $90,000
  25. 2026-03-26
    status Active
  26. 2026-03-26
    status Active
  27. 2026-03-19
    historical Contingency Contract
  28. 2026-03-19
    historical Active Under Contract
  29. 2026-03-08
    listed $99,990 Active
  30. 2026-03-08
    listed $99,990 Active
  31. 2006-03-09
    soldstatus $14,000
  32. 2006-01-12
    listed $19,900
  33. 1998-08-01
    soldstatus $44,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$207 · $17/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$428 · $36/mo
Expected delta
+$220/yr (+$18/mo · 106.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,536
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$207
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,403
− Management
−$1,403
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$7,765
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,864
After-tax cash flow
$6,688/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Anderson 05
NCES district ID
4500900
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$39,718
Composite
38.89/100
National rank
#4098
State rank
#20 of 80 in SC

Livability — Homeland Park

Score
56/100
State rank
#299
US rank
#23092

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Homeland Park, SC
County
Anderson County · 99,076 people
City population
87,992
Metro
Greenville-Anderson, SC
Population (ZIP)
13,498
Household income
$30,549
Rent vs Own
48.8% rent · 51.2% own
Severe rent burden
843.0

Population outlook (Anderson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
210,546 people
By 2030
217,791 · +3.4%
By 2040
230,643 · +9.5%
By 2050
240,220 · +14.1%
By 2075
259,518 · +23.3%
By 2100
258,696 · +22.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 41% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Anderson

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.7% · R 73.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-14.1pp toward R · 2008: -33.3pp · 2024: -47.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.4 2020: R+42.0 2016: R+43.7 2012: R+36.4 2008: R+33.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.06%
Current HPI
406.0533
Rent YoY
Metro
Greenville-Anderson, SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+67.0% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $75,000 Greater Greenville MLS
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $75,000 WUMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $75,000 Greater Greenville MLS
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $75,000 WUMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Listing Removed Greater Greenville MLS
  • 2026-05-13 Listing Removed WUMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $80,000 Greater Greenville MLS
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $80,000 WUMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $90,000 Greater Greenville MLS
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $90,000 WUMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Relisted WUMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Relisted Greater Greenville MLS
  • 2026-03-19 Contingent Greater Greenville MLS
  • 2026-03-19 Contingent WUMLS
  • 2026-03-08 Listed $99,990 WUMLS
  • 2026-03-08 Listed $99,990 Greater Greenville MLS
  • 2006-03-09 Sold (MLS) $14,000 WUMLS
  • 2006-01-12 Listed $19,900 WUMLS
  • 1998-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $44,900 Public Records

Property tax history

-9.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $207 · -55.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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