Fourplex
209 Cemetary Ln · Jonesborough, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$625,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Remodeled 4 Plex in the heart of Jonesborough Tn walking distance to downtown! These 2 bedroom 1.5 bath units feature granite countertops and generous 1 level living space in the heart of Tennessee's oldest town. Call the listing agent for showing instructions. Minimum 48 Hour notice for showings! Seller is a family member of listing agent.
Key facts
- Remodeled 4 plex
- Granite countertops
- Built 1998
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: 00
Exterior
- Parking: Asphalt parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Multi-family residential income property; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Lot dimensions approximately 197' x 205' x 157' x 116'; Topography: Other
Interior
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Central heating; Central air conditioning
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 2.0-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $625k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $687 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $172/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $563k (10.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $563k (10.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.1% in Jonesborough — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#40 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Washington County (suburban): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #54 of 139 in TN (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Jonesborough Elementary (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #654 of 952 statewide, top 72%, 485 students, 0% FRL); Jonesborough Middle School (math 27% / reading 25%, grade F, #144 of 333 statewide, top 44%, 416 students, 0% FRL); David Crockett High School (math 25% / reading 39%, grade F, #56 of 332 statewide, top 20%, 1,181 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 41% district-wide (41 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 312 active listings in the ZIP; 1,155 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (437 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,626/mo this rent would consume 95% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 310% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $19k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.71%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-57,784
- Equity at exit
- $93,190
- IRR
- 0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $4,966
- Equity at exit
- $54,039
Cash invested: $175,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37659
- Home prices YoY
- -19.7%
- Active inventory
- 312
- Price-to-rent
- 37.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,626 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,278
- Tax from tax record
- −$220 /mo · $2,635/yr
- Insurance
- −$260
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,181
- Net cashflow
- $687
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2.0 | 1.5 | $5,628 |
| #1 | 2.0 | 1.5 | $1,407 |
| #2 | 2.0 | 1.5 | $1,407 |
| #3 | 2.0 | 1.5 | $1,407 |
| #4 | 2.0 | 1.5 | $1,407 |
| Total (4 units) | $5,626 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $156,250
- Closing costs
- $18,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $625,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-18remarks 343-char remark
-
2026-06-17remarks 299-char remark
-
2026-06-17$625,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,635 · $220/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,438 · $370/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,802/yr (+$150/mo · 68.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $67,512
- − Mortgage interest
- −$35,010
- − Property taxes
- −$2,635
- − Insurance
- −$3,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,401
- − Management
- −$5,401
- − Depreciation
- −$18,182
- Taxable loss
- −$2,241
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$538
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,782/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washington County
- NCES district ID
- 4704380
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,542
- Composite
- 25.85/100
- National rank
- #7350
- State rank
- #54 of 139 in TN
Livability — Jonesborough
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #40
- US rank
- #6626
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jonesborough, TN
- County
- Washington County · 129,006 people
- City population
- 29,080
- Metro
- Johnson City, TN
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,080
- Household income
- $71,110
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 310.0
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 132,816 people
- By 2030
- 135,823 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 140,897 · +6.1%
- By 2050
- 145,073 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 156,386 · +17.7%
- By 2100
- 159,893 · +20.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Serbian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Korean 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.6% · R 69.1% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.0pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -39.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.5 2020: R+36.2 2016: R+42.9 2012: R+38.5 2008: R+33.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -73.31%
- Current HPI
- 298.6464
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Johnson City, TN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $625,000 TVRMLS
Property tax history
-3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,635 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…