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1617 Armand Dr
D Composite 40.64
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$32,000

1617 Armand Dr · Cahokia Heights, IL 62206
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,106 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1958 8,276 sqft lot ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Attention investors, flippers, and renovation enthusiasts! This property is packed with potential and ready for a complete transformation. Featuring three bedrooms, a detached garage, and a functional footprint, this fixer-upper offers the opportunity to create significant value through updates and improvements. Whether you're looking for your next rehab project, a rental property, or a home to customize from the ground up, the possibilities are endless. Bring your vision, tools, and creativity to unlock this property's full potential. Being sold as-is.

Key facts

  • 8,276 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1958

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with space for 2 cars
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Cable available
  • Home design: Single family residence; One-story home; Private ownership
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Level lot; City street frontage

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: No listed interior appliances

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $32k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $846 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $32k).
  • Cap rate 38.0% vs local median 13.3% in Cahokia Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Cahokia CUSD 187 (suburban): math 3% / reading 5% proficiency, ranked #864 of 919 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Wirth/Parks Middle School (617 students, 0% FRL); Cahokia High School (math 8% / reading 2%, grade F, #614 of 693 statewide, top 95%, 845 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 85% district-wide (85 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 152 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,444/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 729% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $221 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $960 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $32,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.51%
Cap rate
38.03%
Cash-on-cash
113.33%
DSCR
6.04
GRM
1.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$105,070
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1511 Andrews Dr 0.38mi 3/1.5 1,092 (-1%) 2mo $105,000 $96 77
1700 Theodore Ln 0.07mi 3/1.0 1,216 (+10%) 6mo $50,000 $41 71
1614 Parklane Dr 0.22mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,152 (+4%) 5mo $110,000 $95 70
20 Leonard Dr 0.16mi 4/2.0 (+1) 975 (-12%) 0mo $110,000 $113 67
306 Marion St 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-10%) 1mo $49,000 $49 65
28 Fox Meadow Ln 0.43mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,056 (-4%) 2mo $180,000 $170 64
1710 Parklane Dr 0.22mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,225 (+11%) 5mo $110,000 $90 58
1735 Parklane Dr 0.18mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,248 (+13%) 6mo $110,000 $88 56
302 Saint Leonard Dr 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,155 (+4%) 7mo $105,000 $91 52
1601 Andrews Dr 0.28mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,261 (+14%) 3mo $110,000 $87 52
1808 Mullens Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 992 (-10%) 6mo $105,000 $106 46
1420 Doris Ave 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,008 (-9%) 2mo $105,000 $104 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.44×
Total profit
$48,777
Equity at exit
$4,771
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.52×
Total profit
$112,146
Equity at exit
$2,767

Cash invested: $8,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62206

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Active inventory
152
Price-to-rent
1.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,444 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$168
Tax from tax record
$114 /mo · $1,365/yr
Insurance
$13
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$303
Net cashflow
$846

Break-even live

Break-even rent $373
Max offer price $32,000
Occupancy floor 36%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $864 -5% $855 +0% $846 +5% $837 +10% $828
Rent -10% $732 -5% $789 +0% $846 +5% $903 +10% $960
Rate -1.0pp $862 -0.5pp $854 base $846 +0.5pp $838 +1.0pp $829

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,000
Closing costs
$960
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
102 Melvin Dr Unit 34 Sauget, IL 4.0 1.0 1352 $1,700 $1.26 9d 1 0.13mi
1710 Parklane Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1225 $1,395 $1.14 45d 1 0.24mi
1614 Parklane Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1152 $1,400 $1.22 25d 1 0.24mi
1706 Andrews Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 925 $1,320 $1.43 25d 1 0.29mi
1421 Richard Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,100 $1.18 4d 1 0.41mi
1417 Richard Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,400 $1.50 24d 1 0.42mi
1420 Williams St East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,500 $1.15 45d 1 0.44mi
2008 Delores St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,250 $1.35 6d 1 0.44mi
1312 Saint Raphael St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1280 $1,500 $1.17 45d 1 0.47mi
1405 Williams St Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 45d 1 0.51mi
1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 864 $875 $1.01 18d 1 0.53mi
1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 864 $875 $1.01 16d 1 0.53mi
1808 Mullens Ave Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 992 $1,500 $1.51 4d 1 0.56mi
302 Saint Leonard Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1155 $1,300 $1.13 45d 1 0.66mi
1716 # E Unit Loretta Ave unit East St Louis, IL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,000 $1.39 45d 1 0.66mi
1220 Williams St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 876 $1,500 $1.71 16d 1 0.68mi
1713 Loretta Ave East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 944 $1,095 $1.16 45d 1 0.69mi
2116 Doris Ave Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 880 $1,400 $1.59 24d 1 0.75mi
1162 Smith St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 988 $1,295 $1.31 24d 1 0.81mi
1109 Saint Helena Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 825 $1,400 $1.70 5d 1 0.87mi
1150 Price St Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 5d 1 0.91mi
818 La Salle Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1106 $1,300 $1.18 25d 1 0.95mi
819 Mildred Ave East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,250 $1.34 24d 1 1.05mi
142 Saint Barbara Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 2.0 990 $1,300 $1.31 45d 1 1.11mi
850 Saint Bartholomew Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,285 $1.22 18d 1 1.15mi
850 Saint Bartholomew Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,285 $1.22 0d 1 1.15mi
2 E Adams Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $885 $0.96 45d 1 1.17mi
701 Saint Paul Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,500 $1.74 45d 1 1.19mi
811 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,295 $1.25 0d 1 1.23mi
811 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,295 $1.25 25d 1 1.23mi
13 Drexel Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $995 $1.08 14d 1 1.23mi
121 Saint Dorothy Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 988 $1,500 $1.52 45d 1 1.25mi
32 Drexel Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1362 $1,675 $1.23 0d 1 1.29mi
70 W Adams Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,200 $1.30 45d 1 1.31mi
725 Saint Norbert Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1232 $1,500 $1.22 45d 1 1.33mi
2231 Loren St Cahokia Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,195 $1.20 46d 1 1.39mi
705 Saint Martin Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1033 $1,600 $1.55 24d 1 1.41mi
526 Saint Leo Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,400 $1.51 5d 1 1.43mi
148 Saint James Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,200 $1.39 45d 1 1.45mi
502 Saint Thomas Ln Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 0d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $32,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $32,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $32,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $32,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $32,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 559-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $32,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,365 · $114/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,365 · $114/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,333
− Mortgage interest
−$1,792
− Property taxes
−$1,365
− Insurance
−$160
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,387
− Management
−$1,387
− Depreciation
−$931
Taxable income
$10,311
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,475
After-tax cash flow
$7,680/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cahokia CUSD 187
NCES district ID
1708040
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
5% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$28,028
Composite
6.44/100
National rank
#14827
State rank
#864 of 919 in IL

Livability — Cahokia Heights

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Cahokia Heights, IL
County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
19,956
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
12,959
Household income
$33,838
Rent vs Own
44.5% rent · 55.5% own
Severe rent burden
729.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.26%
Current HPI
131.5144
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $32,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $34,500 Public Records
  • 1998-02-24 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
  • 1992-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,365 · -39.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…