130 Co Rd 339 · Dodge City, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fix Upper or Investors Alert!!! 1982 Double Wide Mobile home on permanent foundation with concrete front porch, metal roof on 1.09 acre. Redo the property to be an everyday living home or Rental property. Currently 2 bedroom due to wall was taken down to make the master bedroom larger, could add wall back to make it a 3 bedroom. The surrounding property has been survey so the property corners are marked. Property is being Sold in the current condition & NO Repairs to be made. No Utilities on. Property conveyed with a right to use an existing 20 foot easement as a boat launch. PLEASE USE CAUTION & DO NOT WALK ON THE SIDE DECK OR BACK PORCH. NOT SAFE!!!!!!!
Key facts
- 1.09 acre
- Concrete front porch
- Metal roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $379 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#444 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, schools F.
- Cullman County (rural): math 19% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #49 of 129 in AL (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 319 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Cullman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.25%
- DSCR
- 2.03
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $421,875
- List price
- $69,900
- Delta
- -83.43%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 County Road 334 | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,424 (+7%) | 4mo | $615,000 | $432 | 46 |
| 745 Co Rd 335 | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,463 (+10%) | 21mo | $675,000 | $461 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $12,840
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 24.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.16×
- Total profit
- $42,346
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35053
- Home prices YoY
- -8.2%
- Active inventory
- 319
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,091 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$87 /mo · $1,048/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$229
- Net cashflow
- $379
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $427 | -5% $403 | +0% $379 | +5% $355 | +10% $331 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $293 | -5% $336 | +0% $379 | +5% $422 | +10% $465 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $414 | -0.5pp $397 | base $379 | +0.5pp $361 | +1.0pp $343 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $69,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $69,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $69,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $69,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $69,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $69,900 675-char remark
Show marketing remark (675 chars)
Fix Upper or Investors Alert!!! 1982 Double Wide Mobile home on permanent foundation with concrete front porch, metal roof on 1.09 acre. Redo the property to be an everyday living home or Rental property. Currently 2 bedroom due to wall was taken down to make the master bedroom larger, could add wall back to make it a 3 bedroom. The surrounding property has been survey so the property corners are marked. Property is being Sold in the current condition & NO Repairs to be made. No Utilities on. Property conveyed with a right to use an existing 20 foot easement as a boat launch. PLEASE USE CAUTION & DO NOT WALK ON THE SIDE DECK OR BACK PORCH. NOT SAFE!!!!!!!
-
2026-04-12$79,900 Active 675-char remark
Show marketing remark (675 chars)
Fix Upper or Investors Alert!!! 1982 Double Wide Mobile home on permanent foundation with concrete front porch, metal roof on 1.09 acre. Redo the property to be an everyday living home or Rental property. Currently 2 bedroom due to wall was taken down to make the master bedroom larger, could add wall back to make it a 3 bedroom. The surrounding property has been survey so the property corners are marked. Property is being Sold in the current condition & NO Repairs to be made. No Utilities on. Property conveyed with a right to use an existing 20 foot easement as a boat launch. PLEASE USE CAUTION & DO NOT WALK ON THE SIDE DECK OR BACK PORCH. NOT SAFE!!!!!!!
-
2010-04-08$69,900
-
2007-12-18$90,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,098
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$1,048
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,048
- − Management
- −$1,048
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $3,655
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$877
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,673/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This double-wide mobile home requires extensive repairs and renovations to be suitable for everyday living or rental. Significant exterior and interior work is needed to improve its condition and value.
Repairs flagged
- Major exterior siding — Significant damage and wear
- Major roof — Appears old and possibly rusted
- Major HVAC/mechanicals — No visible units
- Major landscaping — Overgrown lawn and lack of landscaping
Value-add opportunities
- Both exterior renovation — Improves curb appeal and resale value
- Both HVAC upgrade — Enhances comfort and energy efficiency
- Both landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · Significant damage and wear | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| roof · Appears old and possibly rusted | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC/mechanicals · No visible units | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · Overgrown lawn and lack of landscaping | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $60,000–200,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both exterior renovation — Improves curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both HVAC upgrade — Enhances comfort and energy efficiency ↑
- Both landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cullman County
- NCES district ID
- 0101020
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -35.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,449
- Composite
- 28.39/100
- National rank
- #6767
- State rank
- #49 of 129 in AL
Livability — Dodge City
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #444
- US rank
- #23517
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,890
Population outlook (Cullman County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 84,522 people
- By 2030
- 85,402 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 86,152 · +1.9%
- By 2050
- 85,202 · +0.8%
- By 2075
- 79,679 · -5.7%
- By 2100
- 66,943 · -20.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 3% Italian 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cullman
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+80.5) · D 9.4% · R 89.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.3pp toward R · 2008: -65.2pp · 2024: -80.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+80.5 2020: R+77.4 2016: R+77.8 2012: R+69.5 2008: R+65.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.70%
- Current HPI
- 354.4452
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
-22.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $69,900 SAARMLS
- 2026-04-12 Listed $79,900 SAARMLS
- 2010-04-08 Listed $69,900 SAARMLS
- 2007-12-18 Listed $90,000 SAARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…